L’École des cotes

TPS Turku v AC Oulu

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-11 14:02 UTC

Score final : TPS Turku 3–0 AC Oulu

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

TPS Turku (Local)

Prévision 38.39%2.61cote équitable
EV -2.11%
Avantage -0.829%
Kelly -1.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.07%38.27%38.36%39.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.432.422.5545.45%41.19%41.32%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

AC Oulu (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.30%2.92cote équitable
EV -1.22%
Avantage -0.425%
Kelly -0.651%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.25%34.41%34.29%36.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.642.622.8840.82%37.89%38.17%34.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.32%3.66cote équitable
EV -2.48%
Avantage -0.695%
Kelly -0.965%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.18%27.31%27.35%28.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.343.303.5731.75%29.96%30.30%28.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -2.11%E -0.829%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 13:59
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -2.11%E -0.829%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 13:59
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -2.11%E -0.829%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 13:59
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -2.11%E -0.829%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 13:59
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -2.11%E -0.829%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 13:59
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -2.11%E -0.829%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 13:59
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -2.11%E -0.829%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 13:59
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -2.11%E -0.829%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 13:59
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -2.11%E -0.829%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 13:59
GTbets2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -4.03%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.49%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 13:59
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -4.03%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-11 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -4.03%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-11 13:59
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -4.03%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-11 13:59
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -4.03%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-11 13:59
Pinnacle2.47I 40.49%NM 39.22%EV -5.19%E -2.10%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.64%EV -1.22%E -0.425%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.14%EV -2.48%E -0.695%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-11 13:59
LowVig.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 38.64%EV -5.57%E -2.26%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.20%EV -4.65%E -1.67%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -4.39%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 13:59
BetOnline.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 38.64%EV -5.57%E -2.26%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.20%EV -4.65%E -1.67%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -4.39%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 13:59
BetAnything2.46I 40.65%NM 38.64%EV -5.57%E -2.26%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.20%EV -4.65%E -1.67%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -4.39%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 13:59
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -5.95%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -3.97%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.76%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 13:59
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.95%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.68%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.12%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-11 14:00
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.95%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.40%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.12%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 13:59
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -5.95%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -10.83%E -4.16%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.12%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 13:59
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -5.95%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -10.83%E -4.16%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.12%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 13:59
Marathon Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.36%EV -6.72%E -2.77%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%EV -5.68%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -8.22%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 13:59
PMU (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 36.19%EV -6.72%E -2.77%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.89%EV -15.97%E -6.52%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -13.95%E -4.43%K -6.49%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-11 13:59
1xBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.61%EV -7.10%E -2.94%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.25%EV -3.63%E -1.29%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -9.31%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 13:59
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -7.10%E -2.94%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -6.71%E -2.47%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -5.76%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 14:00
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -7.10%E -2.94%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -6.71%E -2.47%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -5.76%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 13:59
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.87%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -5.68%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.12%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 13:59
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.87%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -5.68%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.12%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 14:00
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.87%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -5.68%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.12%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 13:59
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -7.87%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.12%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-11 13:59
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.87%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -10.83%E -4.16%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.12%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-11 13:58
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.87%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-11 13:59
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.87%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-11 13:59
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.87%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-11 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.87%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-11 13:59
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -7.87%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -7.12%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-11 13:59
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -8.64%E -3.63%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.68%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -7.12%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-11 13:58
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -8.64%E -3.63%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -10.83%E -4.16%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-11 13:57
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -8.64%E -3.63%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -10.83%E -4.16%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-11 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -8.64%E -3.63%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -10.83%E -4.16%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-11 13:59
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -9.02%E -3.81%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -10.83%E -4.16%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -9.02%E -3.81%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -10.83%E -4.16%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 13:59
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -9.79%E -4.17%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -7.40%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.49%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-11 13:59
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -9.79%E -4.17%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -7.40%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.49%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-11 13:59
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.79%E -4.17%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -8.49%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-11 13:59
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -9.79%E -4.17%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-11 14:00
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -11.71%E -5.09%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-11 13:58
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -11.71%E -5.09%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-11 13:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -11.71%E -5.09%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-11 13:59
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.76%EV -13.63%E -6.06%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.55%EV -10.83%E -4.16%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.69%EV -13.95%E -4.43%K -6.49%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-11 13:59
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -15.55%E -7.07%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -14.26%E -5.70%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-11 13:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.40%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-07-11 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.25%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-07-11 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.25%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-07-11 13:59
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.25%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-07-11 13:59