Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SJK Seinäjoki v IFK Mariehamn

Kickoff: 2026-09-18 15:00 UTC

Final: SJK Seinäjoki 2–1 IFK Mariehamn

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SJK Seinäjoki (Local)

Prediction 54.73%1.83fair odd
EV +1.80%
Edge +0.969%
Kelly +2.10%
Growth +0.038%

assuming max odds 1.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.37%54.43%54.77%56.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.711.701.8664.94%58.65%58.82%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IFK Mariehamn (Visit)

Prediction 20.91%4.78fair odd
EV -0.488%
Edge -0.102%
Kelly -0.130%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.89%21.04%20.76%23.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.264.294.7627.03%23.50%23.31%21.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.36%4.10fair odd
EV -0.604%
Edge -0.148%
Kelly -0.196%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.52%24.53%24.47%26.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.683.674.0829.85%27.18%27.21%24.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SJK Seinäjoki (Local): 54.73%; IFK Mariehamn (Visit): 20.91%; Draw: 24.36%. For SJK Seinäjoki (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.83. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.86, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.80%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV +1.80%E +0.969%K +2.10%G +0.038%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.64%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 09:25
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.43%EV -3.12%E -1.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.08%EV -8.16%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 14:40
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -3.12%E -1.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -17.42%E -4.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.52%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 11:55
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -3.12%E -1.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -17.42%E -4.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.52%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 11:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -3.12%E -1.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -17.42%E -4.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.52%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 11:54
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -3.12%E -1.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -17.42%E -4.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.52%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 11:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -3.12%E -1.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -17.42%E -4.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.52%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 11:54
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -3.12%E -1.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -17.42%E -4.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.52%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 11:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -3.12%E -1.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -17.42%E -4.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.52%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 11:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -3.12%E -1.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -17.42%E -4.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.52%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 11:55
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -3.12%E -1.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -17.42%E -4.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.52%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 11:55
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.45%EV -5.31%E -3.07%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.12%EV -19.51%E -5.07%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.43%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-18 11:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.45%EV -5.31%E -3.07%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.12%EV -19.51%E -5.07%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.43%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-18 11:55
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.09%EV -5.86%E -3.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.27%EV -0.488%E -0.102%K -0.130%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.64%EV -0.604%E -0.148%K -0.196%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-18 14:55
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.43%EV -5.86%E -3.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -1.74%E -0.371%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 14:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.41%EV -5.86%E -3.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.97%EV -19.51%E -5.07%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -15.95%E -4.62%K -6.51%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-18 11:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.41%EV -5.86%E -3.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.97%EV -19.51%E -5.07%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -15.95%E -4.62%K -6.51%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-18 11:55
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.41%EV -6.41%E -3.75%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -3.83%E -0.833%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -3.77%E -0.955%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 14:55
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -6.41%E -3.75%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.92%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 14:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -6.41%E -3.75%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -11.15%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 14:50
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.67%EV -6.41%E -3.75%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.56%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -3.83%E -0.833%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -3.77%E -0.955%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.56%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -3.83%E -0.833%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -3.77%E -0.955%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:55
BetAnything🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.56%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -3.83%E -0.833%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -3.77%E -0.955%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:55
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -5.92%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -6.21%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 14:49
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -5.92%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -6.21%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 14:55
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.71%EV -5.71%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.33%EV -6.45%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.92%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.43%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 14:50
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.41%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -2.79%E -0.599%K -0.764%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 14:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.36%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -14.29%E -3.48%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -9.86%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 14:40
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -16.38%E -4.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-18 14:35
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.18%EV -7.50%E -4.44%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -3.83%E -0.833%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.43%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 14:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.38%EV -8.05%E -4.79%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.45%EV -4.88%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -6.21%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 14:54
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.72%EV -8.05%E -4.79%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.92%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.86%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 14:55
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -8.05%E -4.79%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -9.48%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.43%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 14:55
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.78%EV -8.05%E -4.79%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.77%EV -9.06%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -13.52%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 14:40
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 14:55
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 14:55
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 14:49
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -9.48%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 14:48
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -7.43%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 14:55
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 14:50
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 14:50
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-18 14:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 51.44%EV -9.14%E -5.51%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.08%EV -22.65%E -6.12%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.49%EV -18.39%E -5.49%K -7.82%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-18 11:55
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.37%EV -9.69%E -5.87%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -9.48%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 14:55
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -11.33%E -7.00%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -16.38%E -4.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-18 14:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 55.08%EV -15.71%E -10.20%K -29.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.69%EV -14.29%E -3.48%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.23%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%17.9%2026-09-18 14:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.86%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-09-18 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.86%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-09-18 14:55
Matchbook◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.86%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-09-18 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.52%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-09-18 14:50