La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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SJK Seinäjoki v IFK Mariehamn

Inicio: 2026-09-18 15:00 UTC

Final: SJK Seinäjoki 2–1 IFK Mariehamn

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

SJK Seinäjoki (Local)

Predicción 54.73%1.83momio equitativo
EV +1.80%
Ventaja +0.969%
Kelly +2.10%
Crecimiento +0.038%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.37%54.43%54.77%56.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.541.711.701.8664.94%58.65%58.82%53.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

IFK Mariehamn (Visitante)

Predicción 20.91%4.78momio equitativo
EV -0.488%
Ventaja -0.102%
Kelly -0.130%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.89%21.04%20.76%23.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.704.264.294.7627.03%23.50%23.31%21.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 24.36%4.10momio equitativo
EV -0.604%
Ventaja -0.148%
Kelly -0.196%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.52%24.53%24.47%26.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.353.683.674.0829.85%27.18%27.21%24.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: SJK Seinäjoki (Local): 54.73%; IFK Mariehamn (Visitante): 20.91%; Empate: 24.36%. Para SJK Seinäjoki (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.83. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.86, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.80%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV +1.80%E +0.969%K +2.10%G +0.038%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.64%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 09:25
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.43%EV -3.12%E -1.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.08%EV -8.16%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 14:40
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -3.12%E -1.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -17.42%E -4.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.52%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 11:55
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -3.12%E -1.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -17.42%E -4.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.52%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 11:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -3.12%E -1.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -17.42%E -4.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.52%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 11:54
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -3.12%E -1.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -17.42%E -4.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.52%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 11:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -3.12%E -1.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -17.42%E -4.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.52%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 11:54
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -3.12%E -1.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -17.42%E -4.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.52%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 11:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -3.12%E -1.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -17.42%E -4.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.52%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 11:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -3.12%E -1.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -17.42%E -4.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.52%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 11:55
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -3.12%E -1.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -17.42%E -4.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.52%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 11:55
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.45%EV -5.31%E -3.07%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.12%EV -19.51%E -5.07%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.43%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-18 11:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.45%EV -5.31%E -3.07%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.12%EV -19.51%E -5.07%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.43%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-18 11:55
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.09%EV -5.86%E -3.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.27%EV -0.488%E -0.102%K -0.130%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.64%EV -0.604%E -0.148%K -0.196%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-18 14:55
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.43%EV -5.86%E -3.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -1.74%E -0.371%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 14:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.41%EV -5.86%E -3.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.97%EV -19.51%E -5.07%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -15.95%E -4.62%K -6.51%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-18 11:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.41%EV -5.86%E -3.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.97%EV -19.51%E -5.07%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -15.95%E -4.62%K -6.51%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-18 11:55
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.41%EV -6.41%E -3.75%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -3.83%E -0.833%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -3.77%E -0.955%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 14:55
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -6.41%E -3.75%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.92%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 14:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -6.41%E -3.75%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -11.15%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 14:50
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.67%EV -6.41%E -3.75%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.56%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -3.83%E -0.833%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -3.77%E -0.955%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.56%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -3.83%E -0.833%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -3.77%E -0.955%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:55
BetAnything🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.56%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -3.83%E -0.833%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -3.77%E -0.955%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:55
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -5.92%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -6.21%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 14:49
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -5.92%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -6.21%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 14:55
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.71%EV -5.71%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.33%EV -6.45%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.92%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.43%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 14:50
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.41%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -2.79%E -0.599%K -0.764%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 14:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.36%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -14.29%E -3.48%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -9.86%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 14:40
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -16.38%E -4.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-18 14:35
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.18%EV -7.50%E -4.44%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -3.83%E -0.833%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.43%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 14:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.38%EV -8.05%E -4.79%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.45%EV -4.88%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -6.21%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 14:54
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.72%EV -8.05%E -4.79%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.92%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.86%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 14:55
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -8.05%E -4.79%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -9.48%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.43%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 14:55
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.78%EV -8.05%E -4.79%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.77%EV -9.06%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -13.52%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 14:40
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 14:55
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 14:55
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 14:49
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -9.48%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 14:48
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -7.43%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 14:55
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 14:50
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 14:50
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-18 14:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 51.44%EV -9.14%E -5.51%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.08%EV -22.65%E -6.12%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.49%EV -18.39%E -5.49%K -7.82%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-18 11:55
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.37%EV -9.69%E -5.87%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -9.48%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 14:55
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -11.33%E -7.00%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -16.38%E -4.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-18 14:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 55.08%EV -15.71%E -10.20%K -29.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.69%EV -14.29%E -3.48%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.23%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%17.9%2026-09-18 14:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.86%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-09-18 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.86%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-09-18 14:55
Matchbook◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.86%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-09-18 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.52%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-09-18 14:50