L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SJK Seinäjoki v IFK Mariehamn

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-18 15:00 UTC

Score final : SJK Seinäjoki 2–1 IFK Mariehamn

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SJK Seinäjoki (Local)

Prévision 54.73%1.83cote équitable
EV +1.80%
Avantage +0.969%
Kelly +2.10%
Croissance +0.038%

avec la cote maximale 1.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.37%54.43%54.77%56.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.541.711.701.8664.94%58.65%58.82%53.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

IFK Mariehamn (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.91%4.78cote équitable
EV -0.488%
Avantage -0.102%
Kelly -0.130%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.89%21.04%20.76%23.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.704.264.294.7627.03%23.50%23.31%21.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.36%4.10cote équitable
EV -0.604%
Avantage -0.148%
Kelly -0.196%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.52%24.53%24.47%26.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.683.674.0829.85%27.18%27.21%24.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : SJK Seinäjoki (Local) : 54.73% ; IFK Mariehamn (Visiteur) : 20.91% ; Match nul : 24.36%. Pour SJK Seinäjoki (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.83. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.86, soit une espérance positive de +1.80%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV +1.80%E +0.969%K +2.10%G +0.038%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.64%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 09:25
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.43%EV -3.12%E -1.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.08%EV -8.16%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 14:40
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -3.12%E -1.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -17.42%E -4.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.52%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 11:55
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -3.12%E -1.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -17.42%E -4.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.52%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 11:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -3.12%E -1.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -17.42%E -4.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.52%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 11:54
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -3.12%E -1.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -17.42%E -4.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.52%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 11:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -3.12%E -1.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -17.42%E -4.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.52%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 11:54
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -3.12%E -1.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -17.42%E -4.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.52%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 11:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -3.12%E -1.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -17.42%E -4.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.52%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 11:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -3.12%E -1.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -17.42%E -4.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.52%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 11:55
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -3.12%E -1.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -17.42%E -4.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.52%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 11:55
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.45%EV -5.31%E -3.07%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.12%EV -19.51%E -5.07%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.43%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-18 11:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.45%EV -5.31%E -3.07%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.12%EV -19.51%E -5.07%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.43%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-18 11:55
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.09%EV -5.86%E -3.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.27%EV -0.488%E -0.102%K -0.130%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.64%EV -0.604%E -0.148%K -0.196%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-18 14:55
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.43%EV -5.86%E -3.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -1.74%E -0.371%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 14:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.41%EV -5.86%E -3.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.97%EV -19.51%E -5.07%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -15.95%E -4.62%K -6.51%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-18 11:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.41%EV -5.86%E -3.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.97%EV -19.51%E -5.07%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -15.95%E -4.62%K -6.51%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-18 11:55
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.41%EV -6.41%E -3.75%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -3.83%E -0.833%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -3.77%E -0.955%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 14:55
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -6.41%E -3.75%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.92%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 14:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -6.41%E -3.75%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -11.15%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 14:50
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.67%EV -6.41%E -3.75%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.56%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -3.83%E -0.833%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -3.77%E -0.955%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.56%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -3.83%E -0.833%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -3.77%E -0.955%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:55
BetAnything🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.56%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -3.83%E -0.833%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -3.77%E -0.955%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:55
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -5.92%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -6.21%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 14:49
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -5.92%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -6.21%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 14:55
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.71%EV -5.71%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.33%EV -6.45%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.92%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.43%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 14:50
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.41%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -2.79%E -0.599%K -0.764%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 14:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.36%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -14.29%E -3.48%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -9.86%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 14:40
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -16.38%E -4.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-18 14:35
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.18%EV -7.50%E -4.44%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -3.83%E -0.833%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.43%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 14:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.38%EV -8.05%E -4.79%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.45%EV -4.88%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -6.21%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 14:54
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.72%EV -8.05%E -4.79%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.92%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.86%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 14:55
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -8.05%E -4.79%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -9.48%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.43%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 14:55
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.78%EV -8.05%E -4.79%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.77%EV -9.06%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -13.52%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 14:40
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 14:55
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 14:55
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 14:49
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -9.48%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 14:48
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -7.43%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 14:55
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 14:50
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 14:50
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -12.20%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-18 14:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 51.44%EV -9.14%E -5.51%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.08%EV -22.65%E -6.12%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.49%EV -18.39%E -5.49%K -7.82%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-18 11:55
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.37%EV -9.69%E -5.87%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -9.48%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 14:55
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -11.33%E -7.00%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -16.38%E -4.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-18 14:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 55.08%EV -15.71%E -10.20%K -29.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.69%EV -14.29%E -3.48%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.23%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%17.9%2026-09-18 14:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.86%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-09-18 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.86%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-09-18 14:55
Matchbook◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.86%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-09-18 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.52%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-09-18 14:50