Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

KuPS Kuopio v Ilves Tampere

Kickoff: 2026-06-23 15:00 UTC

Final: KuPS Kuopio 4–3 Ilves Tampere

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

KuPS Kuopio (Local)

Prediction 57.63%1.74fair odd
EV -3.75%
Edge -2.25%
Kelly -5.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.82%57.67%57.44%59.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.611.621.6765.36%62.14%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ilves Tampere (Visit)

Prediction 19.35%5.17fair odd
EV +1.59%
Edge +0.304%
Kelly +0.375%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.37%19.36%19.35%20.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.694.605.2523.09%21.33%21.74%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.02%4.34fair odd
EV +0.813%
Edge +0.186%
Kelly +0.240%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.93%22.97%23.20%25.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.913.904.3830.77%25.56%25.64%22.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KuPS Kuopio (Local): 57.63%; Ilves Tampere (Visit): 19.35%; Draw: 23.02%. For Ilves Tampere (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.17. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.59%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.58%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.38%EV +1.59%E +0.304%K +0.375%G +0.006%4.38I 22.83%NM 22.04%EV +0.813%E +0.186%K +0.240%G +0.002%3.6%2026-06-23 14:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.16%EV -8.37%E -5.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -1.31%E -0.256%K -0.319%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.33%E -0.793%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-23 14:20
BetAnything🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.16%EV -8.37%E -5.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -1.31%E -0.256%K -0.319%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.33%E -0.793%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-23 14:20
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.20%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -1.31%E -0.256%K -0.319%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-23 13:10
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.35%EV -4.91%E -2.97%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.08I 19.69%NM 18.63%EV -1.69%E -0.334%K -0.415%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.02%EV -9.31%E -2.36%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-23 12:50
Coolbet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.43%EV -3.75%E -2.25%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.18%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -5.63%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 09:59
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -3.33%E -0.793%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-23 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -8.37%E -5.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.63%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-23 14:10
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -9.52%E -6.06%K -16.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-23 13:10
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.14%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.03%EV -4.79%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -5.63%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 14:20
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -5.18%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.63%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-23 14:18
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -5.18%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.63%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-23 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -9.52%E -6.06%K -16.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -7.11%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -5.63%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-23 13:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -4.91%E -2.97%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-20 15:10
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-23 13:30
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -10.24%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-23 13:10
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -9.52%E -6.06%K -16.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -3.33%E -0.793%K -1.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-23 13:50
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -10.24%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 13:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -10.24%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 13:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -10.24%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 13:10
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -9.52%E -6.06%K -16.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-23 14:18
Everygame🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -10.67%E -6.88%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-23 14:00
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -9.52%E -6.06%K -16.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -12.54%E -3.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-17 15:31
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -4.91%E -2.97%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -9.05%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-22 05:30
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -4.91%E -2.97%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -9.05%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-22 05:29
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -5.48%E -3.34%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 15:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -5.48%E -3.34%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 15:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -5.48%E -3.34%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 15:20
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -5.48%E -3.34%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 15:20
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -5.48%E -3.34%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 15:20
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -5.48%E -3.34%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 15:20
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -5.48%E -3.34%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 15:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -5.48%E -3.34%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 15:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -5.48%E -3.34%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.25%EV -6.06%E -3.72%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 15:20
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.25%EV -6.06%E -3.72%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 15:20
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.24%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-23 13:30
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -13.69%E -3.65%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-22 05:29
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.13%EV -10.67%E -6.88%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.62%EV -13.69%E -3.65%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-23 13:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -12.92%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -10.24%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-23 13:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.92%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -12.54%E -3.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-17 15:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.92%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -12.54%E -3.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-17 15:20
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.92%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -12.54%E -3.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-17 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.92%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -12.54%E -3.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-23 13:30
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -12.92%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -13.69%E -3.65%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-23 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -14.85%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -13.69%E -3.65%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-23 13:30
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -14.85%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -13.69%E -3.65%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-23 13:29
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -14.85%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -13.69%E -3.65%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-23 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -14.85%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -13.69%E -3.65%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-23 13:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.30%EV -10.09%E -6.47%K -18.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.96%EV -14.85%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -14.84%E -4.01%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-17 15:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.64%EV -10.67%E -6.88%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -14.85%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -13.69%E -3.65%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-23 12:40
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.29%EV -10.67%E -6.88%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -16.21%E -3.74%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-23 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 54.82%EV -11.82%E -7.73%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.37%EV -16.21%E -3.74%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.81%EV -25.20%E -7.75%K -11.20%G +0.000%19.2%2026-06-23 13:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.41%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-06-23 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.10%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.3%2026-06-23 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.10%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.3%2026-06-23 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.10%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.3%2026-06-23 14:20