La escuela de los momios

KuPS Kuopio v Ilves Tampere

Inicio: 2026-06-23 15:00 UTC

Final: KuPS Kuopio 4–3 Ilves Tampere

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

KuPS Kuopio (Local)

Predicción 57.63%1.74momio equitativo
EV -3.75%
Ventaja -2.25%
Kelly -5.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.82%57.67%57.44%59.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.611.621.6765.36%62.14%61.73%59.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Ilves Tampere (Visitante)

Predicción 19.35%5.17momio equitativo
EV +1.59%
Ventaja +0.304%
Kelly +0.375%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.37%19.36%19.35%20.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.334.694.605.2523.09%21.33%21.74%19.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.02%4.34momio equitativo
EV +0.813%
Ventaja +0.186%
Kelly +0.240%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.93%22.97%23.20%25.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.913.904.3830.77%25.56%25.64%22.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.58%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.38%EV +1.59%E +0.304%K +0.375%G +0.006%4.38I 22.83%NM 22.04%EV +0.813%E +0.186%K +0.240%G +0.002%3.6%2026-06-23 14:10
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.16%EV -8.37%E -5.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -1.31%E -0.256%K -0.319%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.33%E -0.793%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-23 14:20
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 59.16%EV -8.37%E -5.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -1.31%E -0.256%K -0.319%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.33%E -0.793%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-23 14:20
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 58.20%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -1.31%E -0.256%K -0.319%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-23 13:10
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 57.35%EV -4.91%E -2.97%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.08I 19.69%NM 18.63%EV -1.69%E -0.334%K -0.415%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.02%EV -9.31%E -2.36%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-23 12:50
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.43%EV -3.75%E -2.25%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.18%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -5.63%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 09:59
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -3.33%E -0.793%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-23 13:40
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -8.37%E -5.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.63%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-23 14:10
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -9.52%E -6.06%K -16.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-23 13:10
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.14%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.03%EV -4.79%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -5.63%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 14:20
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -5.18%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.63%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-23 14:18
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -5.18%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.63%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-23 14:20
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -9.52%E -6.06%K -16.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -7.11%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -5.63%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-23 13:10
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -4.91%E -2.97%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-20 15:10
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-23 13:30
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -10.24%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-23 13:10
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -9.52%E -6.06%K -16.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -3.33%E -0.793%K -1.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-23 13:50
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -10.24%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 13:10
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -10.24%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 13:10
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -10.24%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 13:10
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -9.52%E -6.06%K -16.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-23 14:18
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -10.67%E -6.88%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-23 14:00
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -9.52%E -6.06%K -16.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -12.54%E -3.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-17 15:31
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -4.91%E -2.97%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -9.05%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-22 05:30
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -4.91%E -2.97%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -9.05%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-22 05:29
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -5.48%E -3.34%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 15:20
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -5.48%E -3.34%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 15:20
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -5.48%E -3.34%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 15:20
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -5.48%E -3.34%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 15:20
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -5.48%E -3.34%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 15:20
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -5.48%E -3.34%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 15:20
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -5.48%E -3.34%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 15:20
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -5.48%E -3.34%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 15:20
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -5.48%E -3.34%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.25%EV -6.06%E -3.72%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 15:20
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 56.25%EV -6.06%E -3.72%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 15:20
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.24%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-23 13:30
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -13.69%E -3.65%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-22 05:29
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.13%EV -10.67%E -6.88%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.62%EV -13.69%E -3.65%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-23 13:10
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -12.92%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -10.24%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-23 13:30
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.92%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -12.54%E -3.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-17 15:20
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.92%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -12.54%E -3.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-17 15:20
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.92%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -12.54%E -3.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-17 15:20
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.92%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -12.54%E -3.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-23 13:30
betfred_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -12.92%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -13.69%E -3.65%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-23 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -14.85%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -13.69%E -3.65%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-23 13:30
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -14.85%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -13.69%E -3.65%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-23 13:29
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -14.85%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -13.69%E -3.65%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-23 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -14.85%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -13.69%E -3.65%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-23 13:30
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.30%EV -10.09%E -6.47%K -18.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.96%EV -14.85%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -14.84%E -4.01%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-17 15:20
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.64%EV -10.67%E -6.88%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -14.85%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -13.69%E -3.65%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-23 12:40
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 57.29%EV -10.67%E -6.88%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -16.21%E -3.74%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-23 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 54.82%EV -11.82%E -7.73%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.37%EV -16.21%E -3.74%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.81%EV -25.20%E -7.75%K -11.20%G +0.000%19.2%2026-06-23 13:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.41%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-06-23 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.10%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.3%2026-06-23 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.10%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.3%2026-06-23 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.10%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.3%2026-06-23 14:20