L’École des cotes

KuPS Kuopio v Ilves Tampere

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-23 15:00 UTC

Score final : KuPS Kuopio 4–3 Ilves Tampere

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

KuPS Kuopio (Local)

Prévision 57.63%1.74cote équitable
EV -3.75%
Avantage -2.25%
Kelly -5.60%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.82%57.67%57.44%59.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.611.621.6765.36%62.14%61.73%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ilves Tampere (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.35%5.17cote équitable
EV +1.59%
Avantage +0.304%
Kelly +0.375%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 5.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.37%19.36%19.35%20.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.334.694.605.2523.09%21.33%21.74%19.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.02%4.34cote équitable
EV +0.813%
Avantage +0.186%
Kelly +0.240%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.93%22.97%23.20%25.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.913.904.3830.77%25.56%25.64%22.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.58%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.38%EV +1.59%E +0.304%K +0.375%G +0.006%4.38I 22.83%NM 22.04%EV +0.813%E +0.186%K +0.240%G +0.002%3.6%2026-06-23 14:10
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.16%EV -8.37%E -5.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -1.31%E -0.256%K -0.319%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.33%E -0.793%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-23 14:20
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 59.16%EV -8.37%E -5.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -1.31%E -0.256%K -0.319%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.33%E -0.793%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-23 14:20
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 58.20%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -1.31%E -0.256%K -0.319%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-23 13:10
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 57.35%EV -4.91%E -2.97%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.08I 19.69%NM 18.63%EV -1.69%E -0.334%K -0.415%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.02%EV -9.31%E -2.36%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-23 12:50
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.43%EV -3.75%E -2.25%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.18%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -5.63%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 09:59
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -3.33%E -0.793%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-23 13:40
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -8.37%E -5.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.63%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-23 14:10
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -9.52%E -6.06%K -16.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-23 13:10
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.14%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.03%EV -4.79%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -5.63%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 14:20
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -5.18%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.63%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-23 14:18
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -5.18%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.63%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-23 14:20
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -9.52%E -6.06%K -16.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -7.11%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -5.63%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-23 13:10
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -4.91%E -2.97%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-20 15:10
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-23 13:30
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -10.24%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-23 13:10
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -9.52%E -6.06%K -16.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -3.33%E -0.793%K -1.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-23 13:50
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -10.24%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 13:10
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -10.24%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 13:10
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -10.24%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 13:10
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -9.52%E -6.06%K -16.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-23 14:18
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -10.67%E -6.88%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-23 14:00
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -9.52%E -6.06%K -16.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -12.54%E -3.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-17 15:31
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -4.91%E -2.97%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -9.05%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-22 05:30
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -4.91%E -2.97%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -9.05%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -9.08%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-22 05:29
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -5.48%E -3.34%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 15:20
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -5.48%E -3.34%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 15:20
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -5.48%E -3.34%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 15:20
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -5.48%E -3.34%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 15:20
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -5.48%E -3.34%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 15:20
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -5.48%E -3.34%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 15:20
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -5.48%E -3.34%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 15:20
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -5.48%E -3.34%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 15:20
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -5.48%E -3.34%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.25%EV -6.06%E -3.72%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 15:20
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 56.25%EV -6.06%E -3.72%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 15:20
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.24%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-23 13:30
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -13.69%E -3.65%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-22 05:29
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.13%EV -10.67%E -6.88%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.62%EV -13.69%E -3.65%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-23 13:10
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -12.92%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -10.24%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-23 13:30
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.92%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -12.54%E -3.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-17 15:20
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.92%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -12.54%E -3.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-17 15:20
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.92%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -12.54%E -3.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-17 15:20
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.92%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -12.54%E -3.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-23 13:30
betfred_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -12.92%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -13.69%E -3.65%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-23 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -14.85%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -13.69%E -3.65%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-23 13:30
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -14.85%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -13.69%E -3.65%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-23 13:29
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -14.85%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -13.69%E -3.65%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-23 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -14.85%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -13.69%E -3.65%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-23 13:30
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.30%EV -10.09%E -6.47%K -18.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.96%EV -14.85%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -14.84%E -4.01%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-17 15:20
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.64%EV -10.67%E -6.88%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -14.85%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -13.69%E -3.65%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-23 12:40
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 57.29%EV -10.67%E -6.88%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -16.21%E -3.74%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-23 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 54.82%EV -11.82%E -7.73%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.37%EV -16.21%E -3.74%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.81%EV -25.20%E -7.75%K -11.20%G +0.000%19.2%2026-06-23 13:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.41%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-06-23 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.10%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.3%2026-06-23 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.10%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.3%2026-06-23 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.10%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.3%2026-06-23 14:20