Language:English
KuPS Kuopio v IF Gnistan
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
KuPS Kuopio (Local)
Prediction 67.16%1.49fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -4.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.17%67.25%67.15%69.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.361.361.4678.13%73.38%73.53%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
IF Gnistan (Visit)
Prediction 14.00%7.14fair odd
EV +4.98%
Edge +0.664%
Kelly +0.766%
Growth +0.038%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.18%13.91%14.04%15.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.716.507.5018.18%14.90%15.38%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 18.85%5.31fair odd
EV -0.119%
Edge -0.022%
Kelly -0.028%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.12%18.84%18.81%21.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.804.875.3026.67%20.84%20.53%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KuPS Kuopio (Local): 67.16%; IF Gnistan (Visit): 14.00%; Draw: 18.85%. For IF Gnistan (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.14. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.98%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.08%EV -6.65%E -4.78%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.80%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.12%EV -0.119%E -0.022%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 10:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 08:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 08:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 08:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 08:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 08:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 08:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 08:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 08:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 08:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 08:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 08:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -11.35%E -8.60%K -35.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 08:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -11.35%E -8.60%K -35.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 08:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -11.35%E -8.60%K -35.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 08:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.78%EV -5.31%E -3.76%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.91%EV +3.58%E +0.484%K +0.559%G +0.020% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.31%EV -6.72%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 10:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.78%EV -5.31%E -3.76%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.91%EV +3.58%E +0.484%K +0.559%G +0.020% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.31%EV -6.72%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 10:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.34%EV -5.31%E -3.76%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 7.28I 13.74%NM 13.24%EV +1.90%E +0.261%K +0.302%G +0.006% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 18.42%EV -1.44%E -0.275%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-11 10:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.72%EV -6.65%E -4.78%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -2.02%E -0.289%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 10:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.85%EV -14.04%E -10.97%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -2.02%E -0.289%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.55%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-11 08:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.05%EV -7.99%E -5.84%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.61%EV -5.52%E -0.818%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 10:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.70%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -5.52%E -0.818%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 10:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.15%EV -1.95%E -1.34%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.66I 15.02%NM 14.06%EV -6.78%E -1.02%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -18.96%E -4.41%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 10:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.12%EV -6.65%E -4.78%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.03%EV -6.92%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -6.72%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 10:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 10:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.20%EV -5.31%E -3.76%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 10:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -7.32%E -5.31%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 10:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.10%EV -7.99%E -5.84%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 09:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.70%EV -7.99%E -5.84%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 10:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.67%E -6.37%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 10:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.67%E -6.37%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 10:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.67%E -6.37%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 10:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.67%E -6.37%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 10:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.67%E -6.37%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 10:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.67%E -6.37%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 10:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -8.67%E -6.37%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 10:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -9.34%E -6.92%K -26.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 10:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 6.44I 15.53%NM 14.45%EV -9.86%E -1.53%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.10%EV -8.22%E -1.69%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 10:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.92%EV -4.64%E -3.27%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -12.52%E -2.00%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 10:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.92%EV -4.64%E -3.27%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -12.52%E -2.00%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 10:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.49%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -12.52%E -2.00%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 09:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.28%EV -8.67%E -6.37%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.54%EV -13.22%E -2.13%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.18%EV -11.43%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 10:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.28%EV -8.67%E -6.37%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.54%EV -13.22%E -2.13%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.18%EV -11.43%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 10:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -16.02%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 10:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -8.67%E -6.37%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.02%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-11 10:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -16.02%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-11 09:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -16.02%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-11 10:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -19.52%E -3.39%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 09:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -19.52%E -3.39%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -19.52%E -3.39%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -19.52%E -3.39%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 09:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 65.29%EV -11.35%E -8.60%K -35.48%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.12%EV -20.22%E -3.55%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.59%EV -17.08%E -3.88%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-11 10:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 63.17%EV -12.70%E -9.77%K -42.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 14.93%EV -23.02%E -4.18%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 21.90%EV -29.33%E -7.82%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 21.8% | 2026-04-11 10:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.14% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.76% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.10% | 0.4% | 2026-04-11 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.67% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 10:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.67% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 10:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.67% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 10:45 |