L’École des cotes

KuPS Kuopio v IF Gnistan

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 11:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

KuPS Kuopio (Local)

Prévision 67.16%1.49cote équitable
EV -1.95%
Avantage -1.34%
Kelly -4.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.17%67.25%67.15%69.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.281.361.361.4678.13%73.38%73.53%68.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

IF Gnistan (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.00%7.14cote équitable
EV +4.98%
Avantage +0.664%
Kelly +0.766%
Croissance +0.038%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.18%13.91%14.04%15.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.716.507.5018.18%14.90%15.38%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 18.85%5.31cote équitable
EV -0.119%
Avantage -0.022%
Kelly -0.028%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.12%18.84%18.81%21.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.804.875.3026.67%20.84%20.53%18.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.39I 71.94%NM 69.08%EV -6.65%E -4.78%K -17.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.80%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.12%EV -0.119%E -0.022%K -0.028%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 10:44
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 08:34
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 08:34
TABtouch1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 08:35
Grosvenor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 08:34
Casumo1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 08:35
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 08:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 08:34
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 08:34
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 08:35
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 08:35
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 08:35
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -11.35%E -8.60%K -35.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 08:34
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -11.35%E -8.60%K -35.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 08:35
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -11.35%E -8.60%K -35.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 08:34
Betsson1.41I 70.92%NM 67.78%EV -5.31%E -3.76%K -12.95%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.91%EV +3.58%E +0.484%K +0.559%G +0.020%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.31%EV -6.72%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 10:44
NordicBet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.78%EV -5.31%E -3.76%K -12.95%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.91%EV +3.58%E +0.484%K +0.559%G +0.020%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.31%EV -6.72%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 10:45
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 68.34%EV -5.31%E -3.76%K -12.95%G +0.000%7.28I 13.74%NM 13.24%EV +1.90%E +0.261%K +0.302%G +0.006%5.23I 19.12%NM 18.42%EV -1.44%E -0.275%K -0.340%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 10:50
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 67.72%EV -6.65%E -4.78%K -17.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -2.02%E -0.289%K -0.337%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 10:50
PMU (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 68.85%EV -14.04%E -10.97%K -50.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -2.02%E -0.289%K -0.337%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.55%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-11 08:35
PointsBet (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.05%EV -7.99%E -5.84%K -21.61%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.61%EV -5.52%E -0.818%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:00
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 67.70%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -5.52%E -0.818%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 10:45
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.15%EV -1.95%E -1.34%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.66I 15.02%NM 14.06%EV -6.78%E -1.02%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -18.96%E -4.41%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 10:50
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.12%EV -6.65%E -4.78%K -17.05%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.03%EV -6.92%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -6.72%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 10:49
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 10:44
Bovada1.41I 70.92%NM 66.20%EV -5.31%E -3.76%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 10:50
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -7.32%E -5.31%K -19.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 10:00
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.10%EV -7.99%E -5.84%K -21.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 09:30
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 66.70%EV -7.99%E -5.84%K -21.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 10:00
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.67%E -6.37%K -24.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 10:44
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.67%E -6.37%K -24.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 10:45
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.67%E -6.37%K -24.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 10:19
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.67%E -6.37%K -24.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 10:15
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.67%E -6.37%K -24.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 10:50
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.67%E -6.37%K -24.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 10:20
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -8.67%E -6.37%K -24.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 10:45
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -9.34%E -6.92%K -26.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 10:00
GTbets1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.44I 15.53%NM 14.45%EV -9.86%E -1.53%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.10%EV -8.22%E -1.69%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 10:00
BetUS1.42I 70.42%NM 65.92%EV -4.64%E -3.27%K -11.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -12.52%E -2.00%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 10:49
BetAnything1.42I 70.42%NM 65.92%EV -4.64%E -3.27%K -11.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -12.52%E -2.00%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 10:49
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.49%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -12.52%E -2.00%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 09:29
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 66.28%EV -8.67%E -6.37%K -24.07%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.54%EV -13.22%E -2.13%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.18%EV -11.43%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 10:14
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 66.28%EV -8.67%E -6.37%K -24.07%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.54%EV -13.22%E -2.13%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.18%EV -11.43%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 10:15
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -16.02%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 10:15
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -8.67%E -6.37%K -24.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.02%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 10:15
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -16.02%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-11 09:30
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -16.02%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-11 10:14
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -19.52%E -3.39%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 09:29
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -19.52%E -3.39%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 09:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -19.52%E -3.39%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 09:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -19.52%E -3.39%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 09:30
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 65.29%EV -11.35%E -8.60%K -35.48%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.12%EV -20.22%E -3.55%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.59%EV -17.08%E -3.88%K -5.02%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-11 10:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 63.17%EV -12.70%E -9.77%K -42.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 14.93%EV -23.02%E -4.18%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 21.90%EV -29.33%E -7.82%K -10.67%G +0.000%21.8%2026-04-11 10:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 69.14%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.76%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.10%0.4%2026-04-11 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.67%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.1%2026-04-11 10:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.67%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.1%2026-04-11 10:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.67%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.1%2026-04-11 10:45