La escuela de los momios

KuPS Kuopio v IF Gnistan

Inicio: 2026-04-11 11:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

KuPS Kuopio (Local)

Predicción 67.16%1.49momio equitativo
EV -1.95%
Ventaja -1.34%
Kelly -4.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.17%67.25%67.15%69.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.281.361.361.4678.13%73.38%73.53%68.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IF Gnistan (Visitante)

Predicción 14.00%7.14momio equitativo
EV +4.98%
Ventaja +0.664%
Kelly +0.766%
Crecimiento +0.038%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.18%13.91%14.04%15.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.716.507.5018.18%14.90%15.38%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 18.85%5.31momio equitativo
EV -0.119%
Ventaja -0.022%
Kelly -0.028%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.12%18.84%18.81%21.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.804.875.3026.67%20.84%20.53%18.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.39I 71.94%NM 69.08%EV -6.65%E -4.78%K -17.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.80%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.12%EV -0.119%E -0.022%K -0.028%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 10:44
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 08:34
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 08:34
TABtouch1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 08:35
Grosvenor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 08:34
Casumo1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 08:35
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 08:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 08:34
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 08:34
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 08:35
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 08:35
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 08:35
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -11.35%E -8.60%K -35.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 08:34
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -11.35%E -8.60%K -35.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 08:35
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -11.35%E -8.60%K -35.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV +4.98%E +0.664%K +0.766%G +0.038%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 08:34
Betsson1.41I 70.92%NM 67.78%EV -5.31%E -3.76%K -12.95%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.91%EV +3.58%E +0.484%K +0.559%G +0.020%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.31%EV -6.72%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 10:44
NordicBet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.78%EV -5.31%E -3.76%K -12.95%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.91%EV +3.58%E +0.484%K +0.559%G +0.020%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.31%EV -6.72%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 10:45
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 68.34%EV -5.31%E -3.76%K -12.95%G +0.000%7.28I 13.74%NM 13.24%EV +1.90%E +0.261%K +0.302%G +0.006%5.23I 19.12%NM 18.42%EV -1.44%E -0.275%K -0.340%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 10:50
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 67.72%EV -6.65%E -4.78%K -17.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -2.02%E -0.289%K -0.337%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 10:50
PMU (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 68.85%EV -14.04%E -10.97%K -50.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -2.02%E -0.289%K -0.337%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.55%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-11 08:35
PointsBet (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.05%EV -7.99%E -5.84%K -21.61%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.61%EV -5.52%E -0.818%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:00
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 67.70%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -5.52%E -0.818%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 10:45
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.15%EV -1.95%E -1.34%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.66I 15.02%NM 14.06%EV -6.78%E -1.02%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -18.96%E -4.41%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 10:50
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.12%EV -6.65%E -4.78%K -17.05%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.03%EV -6.92%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -6.72%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 10:49
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 10:44
Bovada1.41I 70.92%NM 66.20%EV -5.31%E -3.76%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 10:50
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -7.32%E -5.31%K -19.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 10:00
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.10%EV -7.99%E -5.84%K -21.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 09:30
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 66.70%EV -7.99%E -5.84%K -21.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 10:00
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.67%E -6.37%K -24.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 10:44
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.67%E -6.37%K -24.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 10:45
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.67%E -6.37%K -24.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 10:19
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.67%E -6.37%K -24.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 10:15
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.67%E -6.37%K -24.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 10:50
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.67%E -6.37%K -24.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 10:20
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -8.67%E -6.37%K -24.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 10:45
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -9.34%E -6.92%K -26.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -9.02%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 10:00
GTbets1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.44I 15.53%NM 14.45%EV -9.86%E -1.53%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.10%EV -8.22%E -1.69%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 10:00
BetUS1.42I 70.42%NM 65.92%EV -4.64%E -3.27%K -11.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -12.52%E -2.00%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 10:49
BetAnything1.42I 70.42%NM 65.92%EV -4.64%E -3.27%K -11.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -12.52%E -2.00%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 10:49
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.49%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -12.52%E -2.00%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 09:29
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 66.28%EV -8.67%E -6.37%K -24.07%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.54%EV -13.22%E -2.13%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.18%EV -11.43%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 10:14
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 66.28%EV -8.67%E -6.37%K -24.07%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.54%EV -13.22%E -2.13%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.18%EV -11.43%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 10:15
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -16.02%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 10:15
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -8.67%E -6.37%K -24.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.02%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 10:15
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -16.02%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-11 09:30
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -16.02%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-11 10:14
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -19.52%E -3.39%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 09:29
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -19.52%E -3.39%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 09:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -19.52%E -3.39%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 09:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -19.52%E -3.39%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 09:30
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 65.29%EV -11.35%E -8.60%K -35.48%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.12%EV -20.22%E -3.55%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.59%EV -17.08%E -3.88%K -5.02%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-11 10:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 63.17%EV -12.70%E -9.77%K -42.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 14.93%EV -23.02%E -4.18%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 21.90%EV -29.33%E -7.82%K -10.67%G +0.000%21.8%2026-04-11 10:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 69.14%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.76%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.10%0.4%2026-04-11 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.67%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.1%2026-04-11 10:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.67%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.1%2026-04-11 10:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.67%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.1%2026-04-11 10:45