Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

KuPS Kuopio v HJK Helsinki

Kickoff: 2026-04-26 13:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

KuPS Kuopio (Local)

Prediction 37.08%2.70fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -2.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.95%37.16%37.14%38.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.462.452.5944.44%40.58%40.82%38.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

HJK Helsinki (Visit)

Prediction 36.37%2.75fair odd
EV +2.92%
Edge +1.03%
Kelly +1.60%
Growth +0.047%

assuming max odds 2.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.99%36.20%36.39%37.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.512.502.8343.48%39.86%40.00%35.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.56%3.77fair odd
EV -4.40%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.92%26.64%26.47%28.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.443.453.6034.72%29.04%28.99%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KuPS Kuopio (Local): 37.08%; HJK Helsinki (Visit): 36.37%; Draw: 26.56%. For HJK Helsinki (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.75. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.92%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.72%EV -5.46%E -2.14%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.99%EV +2.92%E +1.03%K +1.60%G +0.047%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.29%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 20:49
Pinnacle🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.82%EV -3.97%E -1.53%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.68%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 17:15
GTbets🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.22%EV -5.83%E -2.29%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.37%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.41%EV -4.93%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 09:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 13:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -11.02%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 16:04
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -11.02%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 16:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.75%EV -5.83%E -2.29%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -6.17%E -2.39%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 06:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.75%EV -5.83%E -2.29%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -6.17%E -2.39%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 06:05
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.94%EV -6.57%E -2.61%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.08%EV -6.17%E -2.39%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 16:18
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.94%EV -6.57%E -2.61%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.08%EV -6.17%E -2.39%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 16:19
1xBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -5.46%E -2.14%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.30%EV -6.53%E -2.54%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 12:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -5.46%E -2.14%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.30%EV -6.53%E -2.54%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 12:18
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 16:05
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.25%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -5.73%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 12:30
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.25%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -5.73%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 13:04
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.25%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -5.73%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 14:15
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 14:25
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 14:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 14:25
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 14:24
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 14:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 14:25
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 14:24
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 13:05
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 06:44
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 06:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 06:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 06:44
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 14:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 14:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -9.90%E -4.08%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -9.90%E -4.08%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 14:24
LeoVegas🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -9.90%E -4.08%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 14:24
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -11.04%E -3.30%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-24 01:05
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 12:24
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 12:22
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 12:25
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.02%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 06:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.02%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 06:49
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.02%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 06:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.02%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 06:44
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.47%EV -12.87%E -5.48%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.24%EV -11.63%E -4.78%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.29%EV -11.04%E -3.30%K -4.70%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-23 12:19
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -12.72%E -5.30%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 12:24
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -12.72%E -5.30%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 12:23
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -12.72%E -5.30%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 12:25
Everygame🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.67%EV -11.02%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.67%EV -12.72%E -5.30%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -12.37%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-23 12:43
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -13.44%E -5.65%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 13:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 37.59%EV -16.58%E -7.37%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.99%EV -14.53%E -6.18%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.43%EV -15.02%E -4.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-23 09:14
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.28%EV -11.76%E -4.94%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.55%EV -16.35%E -7.11%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.17%EV -12.37%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-22 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 34.95%EV -11.76%E -4.94%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.17%EV -16.35%E -7.11%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.88%EV -23.52%E -8.17%K -12.51%G +0.000%20.2%2026-04-23 12:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 38.01%2.52I 39.68%NM 35.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%11.5%2026-04-23 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 38.01%2.52I 39.68%NM 35.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%11.5%2026-04-23 22:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 38.01%2.52I 39.68%NM 35.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%11.5%2026-04-23 16:24