L’École des cotes

KuPS Kuopio v HJK Helsinki

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

KuPS Kuopio (Local)

Prévision 37.08%2.70cote équitable
EV -3.97%
Avantage -1.53%
Kelly -2.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.95%37.16%37.14%38.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.462.452.5944.44%40.58%40.82%38.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

HJK Helsinki (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.37%2.75cote équitable
EV +2.92%
Avantage +1.03%
Kelly +1.60%
Croissance +0.047%

avec la cote maximale 2.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.99%36.20%36.39%37.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.512.502.8343.48%39.86%40.00%35.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.56%3.77cote équitable
EV -4.40%
Avantage -1.22%
Kelly -1.69%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.92%26.64%26.47%28.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.443.453.6034.72%29.04%28.99%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.72%EV -5.46%E -2.14%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.99%EV +2.92%E +1.03%K +1.60%G +0.047%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.29%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 20:49
Pinnacle2.59I 38.61%NM 36.82%EV -3.97%E -1.53%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.68%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 17:15
GTbets2.54I 39.37%NM 37.22%EV -5.83%E -2.29%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.37%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.41%EV -4.93%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 09:19
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 13:04
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -11.02%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 16:04
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -11.02%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 16:00
LowVig.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 36.75%EV -5.83%E -2.29%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -6.17%E -2.39%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 06:05
BetOnline.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 36.75%EV -5.83%E -2.29%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -6.17%E -2.39%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 06:05
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.94%EV -6.57%E -2.61%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.08%EV -6.17%E -2.39%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 16:18
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.94%EV -6.57%E -2.61%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.08%EV -6.17%E -2.39%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 16:19
1xBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -5.46%E -2.14%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.30%EV -6.53%E -2.54%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 12:24
Marathon Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -5.46%E -2.14%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.30%EV -6.53%E -2.54%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 12:18
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 16:05
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 37.25%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -5.73%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 12:30
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.25%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -5.73%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 13:04
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 37.25%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -5.73%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 14:15
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 14:25
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 14:24
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 14:25
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 14:25
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 14:24
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 14:24
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 14:25
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 14:25
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 14:24
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 13:05
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 06:44
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 06:45
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 06:45
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 06:44
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 14:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 14:24
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -9.90%E -4.08%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 14:25
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -9.90%E -4.08%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 14:24
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -9.90%E -4.08%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 14:24
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -11.04%E -3.30%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-24 01:05
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 12:24
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 12:22
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 12:25
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.02%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 06:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.02%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 06:49
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.02%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 06:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.02%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 06:44
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.47%EV -12.87%E -5.48%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.24%EV -11.63%E -4.78%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.29%EV -11.04%E -3.30%K -4.70%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-23 12:19
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -12.72%E -5.30%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 12:24
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -12.72%E -5.30%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 12:23
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -12.72%E -5.30%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 12:25
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 36.67%EV -11.02%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.67%EV -12.72%E -5.30%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -12.37%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-23 12:43
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -13.44%E -5.65%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 13:05
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.59%EV -16.58%E -7.37%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.99%EV -14.53%E -6.18%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.43%EV -15.02%E -4.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-23 09:14
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 36.28%EV -11.76%E -4.94%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.55%EV -16.35%E -7.11%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.17%EV -12.37%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-22 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 34.95%EV -11.76%E -4.94%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.17%EV -16.35%E -7.11%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.88%EV -23.52%E -8.17%K -12.51%G +0.000%20.2%2026-04-23 12:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 38.01%2.52I 39.68%NM 35.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%11.5%2026-04-23 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 38.01%2.52I 39.68%NM 35.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%11.5%2026-04-23 22:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 38.01%2.52I 39.68%NM 35.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%11.5%2026-04-23 16:24