La escuela de los momios

KuPS Kuopio v HJK Helsinki

Inicio: 2026-04-26 13:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

KuPS Kuopio (Local)

Predicción 37.08%2.70momio equitativo
EV -3.97%
Ventaja -1.53%
Kelly -2.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.95%37.16%37.14%38.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.462.452.5944.44%40.58%40.82%38.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

HJK Helsinki (Visitante)

Predicción 36.37%2.75momio equitativo
EV +2.92%
Ventaja +1.03%
Kelly +1.60%
Crecimiento +0.047%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.99%36.20%36.39%37.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.512.502.8343.48%39.86%40.00%35.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.56%3.77momio equitativo
EV -4.40%
Ventaja -1.22%
Kelly -1.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.92%26.64%26.47%28.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.443.453.6034.72%29.04%28.99%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.72%EV -5.46%E -2.14%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.99%EV +2.92%E +1.03%K +1.60%G +0.047%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.29%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 20:49
Pinnacle2.59I 38.61%NM 36.82%EV -3.97%E -1.53%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.68%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 17:15
GTbets2.54I 39.37%NM 37.22%EV -5.83%E -2.29%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.37%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.41%EV -4.93%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 09:19
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 13:04
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -11.02%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 16:04
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -11.02%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 16:00
LowVig.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 36.75%EV -5.83%E -2.29%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -6.17%E -2.39%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 06:05
BetOnline.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 36.75%EV -5.83%E -2.29%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -6.17%E -2.39%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 06:05
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.94%EV -6.57%E -2.61%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.08%EV -6.17%E -2.39%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 16:18
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.94%EV -6.57%E -2.61%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.08%EV -6.17%E -2.39%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 16:19
1xBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -5.46%E -2.14%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.30%EV -6.53%E -2.54%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 12:24
Marathon Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -5.46%E -2.14%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.30%EV -6.53%E -2.54%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 12:18
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 16:05
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 37.25%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -5.73%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 12:30
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.25%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -5.73%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 13:04
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 37.25%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -5.73%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 14:15
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 14:25
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 14:24
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 14:25
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 14:25
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 14:24
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 14:24
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 14:25
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 14:25
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 14:24
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 13:05
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 06:44
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 06:45
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 06:45
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 06:44
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 14:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 14:24
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -9.90%E -4.08%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 14:25
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -9.90%E -4.08%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 14:24
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -9.90%E -4.08%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 14:24
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -11.04%E -3.30%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-24 01:05
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 12:24
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 12:22
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 12:25
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.02%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 06:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.02%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 06:49
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.02%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 06:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.02%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 06:44
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.47%EV -12.87%E -5.48%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.24%EV -11.63%E -4.78%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.29%EV -11.04%E -3.30%K -4.70%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-23 12:19
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -12.72%E -5.30%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 12:24
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -12.72%E -5.30%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 12:23
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -12.72%E -5.30%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 12:25
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 36.67%EV -11.02%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.67%EV -12.72%E -5.30%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -12.37%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-23 12:43
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -13.44%E -5.65%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 13:05
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.59%EV -16.58%E -7.37%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.99%EV -14.53%E -6.18%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.43%EV -15.02%E -4.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-23 09:14
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 36.28%EV -11.76%E -4.94%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.55%EV -16.35%E -7.11%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.17%EV -12.37%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-22 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 34.95%EV -11.76%E -4.94%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.17%EV -16.35%E -7.11%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.88%EV -23.52%E -8.17%K -12.51%G +0.000%20.2%2026-04-23 12:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 38.01%2.52I 39.68%NM 35.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%11.5%2026-04-23 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 38.01%2.52I 39.68%NM 35.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%11.5%2026-04-23 22:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 38.01%2.52I 39.68%NM 35.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%11.5%2026-04-23 16:24