Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.55
assuming max odds 1.90
assuming max odds 3.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jaro (Local): 22.03%; VPS Vaasa (Visit): 51.87%; Draw: 26.10%. For Jaro (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.54. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.233%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.22%EV +0.233%E +0.051%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.76%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.02%EV -3.18%E -0.857%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-08 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.22%EV +0.233%E +0.051%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.76%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.02%EV -3.18%E -0.857%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-08 15:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.22%EV +0.233%E +0.051%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.76%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.02%EV -3.18%E -0.857%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-08 15:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.53%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.26%EV -4.03%E -2.18%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.20%EV -3.70%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-08 15:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.62%EV -8.18%E -4.62%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.05%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 15:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -5.27%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.75%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 15:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.27%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -6.05%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 15:33 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.27%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -6.05%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -5.27%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -7.15%E -3.99%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.09%EV -6.57%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 15:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -5.27%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 15:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -5.27%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.01%EV -7.66%E -4.31%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 15:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -5.27%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 15:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.26%EV -6.16%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -4.03%E -2.18%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -6.57%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 15:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.08%EV -6.60%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.89%EV -8.18%E -4.62%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.03%EV -2.40%E -0.641%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 15:48 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -7.48%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.05%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 15:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.48%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 15:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.48%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 15:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -7.48%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 15:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -8.58%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -5.59%E -3.07%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 15:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -8.58%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -5.59%E -3.07%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 15:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -7.15%E -3.99%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -7.15%E -3.99%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 15:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -7.15%E -3.99%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -7.15%E -3.99%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -7.15%E -3.99%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 15:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -7.15%E -3.99%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -7.15%E -3.99%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 15:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -7.15%E -3.99%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 15:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -7.15%E -3.99%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 15:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -8.18%E -4.62%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -8.18%E -4.62%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 15:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -8.70%E -4.94%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -9.97%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -8.70%E -4.94%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -9.97%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.83%EV -11.22%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.55%EV -1.44%E -0.758%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%EV -2.14%E -0.570%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 06:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 14:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 14:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 14:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 14:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -8.18%E -4.62%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.05%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 15:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.32%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.58%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 15:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.80%EV -7.66%E -4.31%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -10.26%E -5.93%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-08 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -10.26%E -5.93%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-08 15:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -10.26%E -5.93%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-08 15:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -13.88%E -4.21%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 15:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.95%EV -11.81%E -6.95%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-08 15:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.28%EV -12.98%E -3.29%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.46%EV -11.30%E -6.61%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -12.58%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%EV -14.09%E -3.61%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.22%EV -10.26%E -5.93%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.24% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.83% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.93% | 0.2% | 2026-08-08 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.24% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.83% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.93% | 0.2% | 2026-08-08 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 15:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 15:55 |