Idioma:Español
Jaro v VPS Vaasa
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jaro (Local)
Predicción 22.03%4.54momio equitativo
EV +0.233%
Ventaja +0.051%
Kelly +0.066%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.22%22.15%22.00%23.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.904.144.104.5525.64%24.15%24.39%21.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
VPS Vaasa (Visitante)
Predicción 51.87%1.93momio equitativo
EV -1.44%
Ventaja -0.758%
Kelly -1.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.11%51.75%51.88%52.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.701.791.791.9058.82%55.92%55.87%52.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.10%3.83momio equitativo
EV -2.14%
Ventaja -0.570%
Kelly -0.777%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.03%26.10%26.12%27.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.513.503.7530.30%28.51%28.57%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Jaro (Local): 22.03%; VPS Vaasa (Visitante): 51.87%; Empate: 26.10%. Para Jaro (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.54. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.55, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.233%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.22%EV +0.233%E +0.051%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.76%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.02%EV -3.18%E -0.857%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-08 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.22%EV +0.233%E +0.051%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.76%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.02%EV -3.18%E -0.857%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-08 15:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.22%EV +0.233%E +0.051%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.76%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.02%EV -3.18%E -0.857%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-08 15:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.53%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.26%EV -4.03%E -2.18%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.20%EV -3.70%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-08 15:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.62%EV -8.18%E -4.62%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.05%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 15:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -5.27%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.75%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 15:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.27%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -6.05%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 15:33 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.27%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -6.05%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -5.27%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -7.15%E -3.99%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.09%EV -6.57%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 15:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -5.27%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 15:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -5.27%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.01%EV -7.66%E -4.31%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 15:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -5.27%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 15:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.26%EV -6.16%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -4.03%E -2.18%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -6.57%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 15:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.08%EV -6.60%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.89%EV -8.18%E -4.62%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.03%EV -2.40%E -0.641%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 15:48 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -7.48%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.05%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 15:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.48%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 15:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.48%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 15:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -7.48%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 15:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -8.58%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -5.59%E -3.07%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 15:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -8.58%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -5.59%E -3.07%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 15:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -7.15%E -3.99%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -7.15%E -3.99%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 15:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -7.15%E -3.99%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -7.15%E -3.99%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -7.15%E -3.99%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 15:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -7.15%E -3.99%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -7.15%E -3.99%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 15:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -7.15%E -3.99%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 15:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -7.15%E -3.99%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 15:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -8.18%E -4.62%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -8.18%E -4.62%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 15:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -8.70%E -4.94%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -9.97%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -8.70%E -4.94%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -9.97%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.83%EV -11.22%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.55%EV -1.44%E -0.758%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%EV -2.14%E -0.570%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 06:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 14:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 14:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 14:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 14:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -8.18%E -4.62%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.05%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 15:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.32%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.58%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 15:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.80%EV -7.66%E -4.31%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -10.26%E -5.93%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-08 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -10.26%E -5.93%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-08 15:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -10.26%E -5.93%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-08 15:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -13.88%E -4.21%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 15:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.95%EV -11.81%E -6.95%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-08 15:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.28%EV -12.98%E -3.29%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.46%EV -11.30%E -6.61%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -12.58%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%EV -14.09%E -3.61%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.22%EV -10.26%E -5.93%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.24% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.83% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.93% | 0.2% | 2026-08-08 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.24% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.83% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.93% | 0.2% | 2026-08-08 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 15:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 15:55 |