Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jaro v VPS Vaasa

Início: 2026-08-08 16:00 UTC

Final: Jaro 1–3 VPS Vaasa

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jaro (Local)

Previsão 22.03%4.54odd justa
EV +0.233%
Vantagem +0.051%
Kelly +0.066%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.22%22.15%22.00%23.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.904.144.104.5525.64%24.15%24.39%21.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

VPS Vaasa (Visitante)

Previsão 51.87%1.93odd justa
EV -1.44%
Vantagem -0.758%
Kelly -1.60%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.11%51.75%51.88%52.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.791.791.9058.82%55.92%55.87%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.10%3.83odd justa
EV -2.14%
Vantagem -0.570%
Kelly -0.777%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.03%26.10%26.12%27.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.513.503.7530.30%28.51%28.57%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jaro (Local): 22.03%; VPS Vaasa (Visitante): 51.87%; Empate: 26.10%. Para Jaro (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.54. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.55, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.233%.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 21.22%EV +0.233%E +0.051%K +0.066%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.76%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.02%EV -3.18%E -0.857%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-08 15:50
BetOnline.ag🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 21.22%EV +0.233%E +0.051%K +0.066%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.76%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.02%EV -3.18%E -0.857%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-08 15:49
BetAnything🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 21.22%EV +0.233%E +0.051%K +0.066%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.76%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.02%EV -3.18%E -0.857%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-08 15:49
Pinnacle🎯4.49I 22.27%NM 21.53%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.312%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.26%EV -4.03%E -2.18%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.20%EV -3.70%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-08 15:59
BetMGM🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.62%EV -8.18%E -4.62%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.05%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 15:20
DraftKings🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -5.27%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.75%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 15:39
Bovada🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.27%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -6.05%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 15:33
BetUS🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.27%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -6.05%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 15:34
Marathon Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -5.27%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -7.15%E -3.99%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.09%EV -6.57%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 15:40
FanDuel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -5.27%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 15:59
SportsBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -5.27%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.01%EV -7.66%E -4.31%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 15:44
Tipico (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -5.27%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 15:19
GTbets🎯4.26I 23.47%NM 22.26%EV -6.16%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -4.03%E -2.18%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -6.57%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 15:24
1xBet🎯4.24I 23.58%NM 22.08%EV -6.60%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.89%EV -8.18%E -4.62%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.03%EV -2.40%E -0.641%K -0.875%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 15:48
Unibet (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -7.48%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.05%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 15:19
betano_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.48%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 15:45
Bet Victor🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.48%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 15:39
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -7.48%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 15:44
NordicBet🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -8.58%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -5.59%E -3.07%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 15:54
Betsson🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -8.58%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -5.59%E -3.07%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 15:54
Unibet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -7.15%E -3.99%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 15:34
Casumo🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -7.15%E -3.99%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 15:35
TABtouch🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -7.15%E -3.99%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 15:34
Grosvenor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -7.15%E -3.99%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 15:34
Unibet (NL)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -7.15%E -3.99%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 15:35
Unibet (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -7.15%E -3.99%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 15:34
betPARX🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -7.15%E -3.99%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 15:35
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -7.15%E -3.99%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 15:35
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -7.15%E -3.99%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -8.18%E -4.62%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 15:34
BetRivers🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -8.18%E -4.62%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 15:35
LiveScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -8.70%E -4.94%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -9.97%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 15:34
Virgin Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -8.70%E -4.94%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -9.97%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 15:34
Coolbet🎯4.03I 24.81%NM 23.83%EV -11.22%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.55%EV -1.44%E -0.758%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%EV -2.14%E -0.570%K -0.777%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 06:45
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 14:09
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 14:15
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 14:09
LeoVegas🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 14:29
Bet Right🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 15:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 15:29
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -8.18%E -4.62%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.05%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 15:40
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 15:29
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.32%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.58%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 15:54
Betr (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.80%EV -7.66%E -4.31%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 15:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -10.26%E -5.93%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -10.26%E -5.93%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 15:19
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -10.26%E -5.93%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 15:19
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -13.88%E -4.21%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 15:44
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.95%EV -11.81%E -6.95%K -16.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 15:39
PMU (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.28%EV -12.98%E -3.29%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 51.46%EV -11.30%E -6.61%K -15.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -12.58%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-08 15:34
Unibet (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%EV -14.09%E -3.61%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.22%EV -10.26%E -5.93%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 15:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.24%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.83%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.93%0.2%2026-08-08 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.24%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.83%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.93%0.2%2026-08-08 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-08-08 15:55
Matchbook◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-08-08 15:55