Language:English
Jaro v IFK Mariehamn
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jaro (Local)
Prediction 50.69%1.97fair odd
EV -3.69%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -4.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.05%50.69%50.73%51.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.821.821.9058.14%55.03%54.95%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
IFK Mariehamn (Visit)
Prediction 23.07%4.34fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -0.462%
Kelly -0.604%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.87%23.03%22.98%24.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.964.004.2527.78%25.24%25.00%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.24%3.81fair odd
EV -1.33%
Edge -0.353%
Kelly -0.481%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.42%26.28%26.29%28.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.473.503.7634.72%28.81%28.57%26.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jaro (Local): 50.69%; IFK Mariehamn (Visit): 23.07%; Draw: 26.24%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.81. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.76, with an expected value of -1.33%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.58%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.44%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -2.90%E -0.784%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-23 13:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -7.63%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 08:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.62%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.71%EV -1.96%E -0.462%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.67%EV -1.33%E -0.353%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.51%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -4.21%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-23 13:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-23 04:58 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -4.21%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 13:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -4.21%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 13:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -4.21%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.53%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-23 13:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -8.88%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -6.84%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -8.88%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -6.84%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.58%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -11.19%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.46%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -7.24%E -3.96%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -4.21%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 13:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -7.24%E -3.96%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.53%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 13:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.03%EV -7.24%E -3.96%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.52%EV -8.42%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.45%EV -3.69%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-23 13:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.24%E -3.96%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -7.24%E -3.96%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -13.50%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -13.40%E -4.06%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-23 04:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.53%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 16:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 16:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 16:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 16:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 16:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 16:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 16:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -12.34%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.46%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-21 16:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.46%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-21 16:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -9.46%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-23 13:38 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -13.50%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.40%E -4.06%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-23 13:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.40%E -4.06%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-23 13:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.40%E -4.06%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.40%E -4.06%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.86%EV -9.27%E -5.18%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -9.46%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-21 16:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.86%EV -9.27%E -5.18%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -9.46%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-21 16:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.86%EV -9.27%E -5.18%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -9.46%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-21 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -10.28%E -5.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-23 13:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -11.29%E -6.45%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -11.29%E -6.45%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.50%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -11.29%E -6.45%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -13.40%E -4.06%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.87%EV -12.31%E -7.11%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -11.19%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -12.09%E -3.61%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-21 16:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 48.05%EV -12.31%E -7.11%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.09%EV -16.96%E -4.71%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.86%EV -24.42%E -8.48%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-05-23 12:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.55%EV -12.81%E -7.45%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.50%EV -14.65%E -3.96%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.95%EV -12.09%E -3.61%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.07% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.10% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83% | 0.6% | 2026-05-23 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-05-23 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-05-23 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-05-23 13:50 |