La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Jaro v IFK Mariehamn
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jaro (Local)
Predicción 50.69%1.97momio equitativo
EV -3.69%
Ventaja -1.94%
Kelly -4.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.05%50.69%50.73%51.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.821.821.9058.14%55.03%54.95%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
IFK Mariehamn (Visitante)
Predicción 23.07%4.34momio equitativo
EV -1.96%
Ventaja -0.462%
Kelly -0.604%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.87%23.03%22.98%24.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.964.004.2527.78%25.24%25.00%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.24%3.81momio equitativo
EV -1.33%
Ventaja -0.353%
Kelly -0.481%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.76
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.42%26.28%26.29%28.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.473.503.7634.72%28.81%28.57%26.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.58%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.44%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -2.90%E -0.784%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-23 13:30 |
| GTbets | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -7.63%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 08:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.62%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.71%EV -1.96%E -0.462%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.67%EV -1.33%E -0.353%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.51%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -4.21%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-23 13:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-23 04:58 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -4.21%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 13:49 |
| BetUS | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -4.21%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 13:49 |
| BetAnything | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -4.21%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.53%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-23 13:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -8.88%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -6.84%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -8.88%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -6.84%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| Bet Right | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.58%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -11.19%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.46%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -7.24%E -3.96%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -4.21%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 13:49 |
| Bovada | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -7.24%E -3.96%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.53%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 13:49 |
| 1xBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.03%EV -7.24%E -3.96%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.52%EV -8.42%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.45%EV -3.69%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-23 13:49 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.24%E -3.96%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -7.24%E -3.96%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -13.50%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -13.40%E -4.06%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-23 04:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.53%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| Unibet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 16:19 |
| Casumo | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 16:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 16:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 16:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 16:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 16:20 |
| betPARX | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 16:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -12.34%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.46%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-21 16:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.46%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-21 16:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -9.46%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-23 13:38 |
| PlayUp | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -13.50%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.40%E -4.06%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-23 13:49 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.40%E -4.06%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-23 13:49 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.40%E -4.06%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.40%E -4.06%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.86%EV -9.27%E -5.18%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -9.46%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-21 16:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.86%EV -9.27%E -5.18%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -9.46%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-21 16:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.86%EV -9.27%E -5.18%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -9.46%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-21 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -10.28%E -5.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-23 13:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -11.29%E -6.45%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -11.29%E -6.45%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.50%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -11.29%E -6.45%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -13.40%E -4.06%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.87%EV -12.31%E -7.11%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -11.19%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -12.09%E -3.61%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-21 16:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 48.05%EV -12.31%E -7.11%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.09%EV -16.96%E -4.71%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.86%EV -24.42%E -8.48%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-05-23 12:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.55%EV -12.81%E -7.45%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.50%EV -14.65%E -3.96%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.95%EV -12.09%E -3.61%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.07% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.10% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83% | 0.6% | 2026-05-23 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-05-23 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-05-23 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-05-23 13:50 |