L’École des cotes

Jaro v IFK Mariehamn

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-23 14:00 UTC

Score final : Jaro 3–0 IFK Mariehamn

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jaro (Local)

Prévision 50.69%1.97cote équitable
EV -3.69%
Avantage -1.94%
Kelly -4.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.05%50.69%50.73%51.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.821.821.9058.14%55.03%54.95%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

IFK Mariehamn (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.07%4.34cote équitable
EV -1.96%
Avantage -0.462%
Kelly -0.604%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.87%23.03%22.98%24.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.964.004.2527.78%25.24%25.00%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.24%3.81cote équitable
EV -1.33%
Avantage -0.353%
Kelly -0.481%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.42%26.28%26.29%28.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.473.503.7634.72%28.81%28.57%26.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.58%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.44%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -2.90%E -0.784%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 13:30
GTbets1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -7.63%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 08:09
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 51.62%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.71%EV -1.96%E -0.462%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.67%EV -1.33%E -0.353%K -0.481%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-23 13:39
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.51%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -4.21%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 13:49
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 04:58
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -4.21%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 13:49
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -4.21%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 13:49
BetAnything1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -4.21%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 13:50
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.53%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 13:39
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 13:50
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -8.88%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -6.84%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 13:39
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -8.88%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -6.84%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 13:39
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 49.58%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -11.19%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.46%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 13:39
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 13:39
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 13:39
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 13:39
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 13:39
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -7.24%E -3.96%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -4.21%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 13:49
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -7.24%E -3.96%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.53%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 13:49
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.03%EV -7.24%E -3.96%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.52%EV -8.42%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.45%EV -3.69%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 13:49
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.24%E -3.96%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 13:39
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -7.24%E -3.96%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -13.50%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -13.40%E -4.06%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-23 04:59
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.53%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 13:39
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 16:19
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 16:20
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 16:19
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 16:20
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 16:20
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 16:19
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 16:20
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 16:20
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 16:19
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -12.34%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 13:39
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 13:39
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 13:39
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.46%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-21 16:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.46%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-21 16:20
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-23 13:39
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -9.46%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 13:38
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -13.50%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-23 13:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.40%E -4.06%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 13:49
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.40%E -4.06%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 13:49
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.40%E -4.06%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 13:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.40%E -4.06%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 13:39
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.86%EV -9.27%E -5.18%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -9.46%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-21 16:20
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 50.86%EV -9.27%E -5.18%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -9.46%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-21 16:19
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.86%EV -9.27%E -5.18%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -9.46%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-21 16:20
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -10.28%E -5.81%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 13:49
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -11.29%E -6.45%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-23 13:39
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -11.29%E -6.45%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.50%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-23 13:39
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -11.29%E -6.45%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -13.40%E -4.06%K -5.83%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-23 13:39
PMU (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.87%EV -12.31%E -7.11%K -16.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -11.19%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -12.09%E -3.61%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-21 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.05%EV -12.31%E -7.11%K -16.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.09%EV -16.96%E -4.71%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.86%EV -24.42%E -8.48%K -12.99%G +0.000%20.3%2026-05-23 12:59
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 50.55%EV -12.81%E -7.45%K -17.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.50%EV -14.65%E -3.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.95%EV -12.09%E -3.61%K -5.14%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-23 13:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.91I 52.36%NM 52.07%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.10%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83%0.6%2026-05-23 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-05-23 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-05-23 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-05-23 13:50