Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jaro v FC Lahti

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 14:04 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jaro (Local)

Prediction 30.94%3.23fair odd
EV -0.977%
Edge -0.305%
Kelly -0.444%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.09%30.94%30.96%34.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.892.903.2039.22%34.60%34.48%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Lahti (Visit)

Prediction 41.86%2.39fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.697%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.94%41.87%41.73%43.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.232.252.3552.36%44.91%44.54%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.20%3.68fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -0.579%
Kelly -0.801%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.08%27.19%27.32%28.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.383.403.6034.72%29.56%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jaro (Local): 30.94%; FC Lahti (Visit): 41.86%; Draw: 27.20%. For Jaro (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.23. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.20, with an expected value of -0.977%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.25%EV -0.977%E -0.305%K -0.444%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.09%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.66%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.25%EV -0.977%E -0.305%K -0.444%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.09%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.66%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 14:00
Pinnacle🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.57%EV -2.52%E -0.801%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.68%EV -3.31%E -1.43%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.75%EV -5.62%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 13:59
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53%EV -2.52%E -0.801%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -2.08%E -0.579%K -0.801%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 13:59
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 14:00
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 13:58
1xBet🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 30.60%EV -5.31%E -1.74%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.78%EV -8.34%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 13:59
BetUS🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 13:59
BetAnything🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 13:59
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.70%EV -5.93%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.66%E -2.99%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 14:00
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.10%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 14:00
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 14:00
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 14:00
Everygame🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 13:59
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.96%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-04 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -14.19%E -6.92%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -14.19%E -6.92%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 13:59
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -14.19%E -6.92%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 13:59
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -14.19%E -6.92%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 14:00
NordicBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -7.78%E -2.61%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -8.88%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:59
Betsson🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -7.78%E -2.61%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -8.88%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -8.71%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 14:00
GTbets🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 31.82%EV -9.02%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.76%EV -6.24%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.42%EV -3.72%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 13:59
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 13:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 13:59
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 13:59
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 13:59
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 13:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 13:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 13:59
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 14:00
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.96%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 29.09%EV -13.35%E -4.77%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 42.64%EV -20.05%E -10.50%K -22.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.28%EV -21.67%E -7.52%K -11.52%G +0.000%22.8%2026-04-04 14:00
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -14.90%E -5.42%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -12.10%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-04 13:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 30.79%EV -14.90%E -5.42%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.33%EV -16.29%E -8.14%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.88%EV -14.32%E -4.55%K -6.66%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-04 13:59
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 14:00
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 14:00
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 14:00
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 14:00
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 14:00
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.99%EV -2.48%E -1.06%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.99%EV -2.48%E -1.06%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.99%EV -2.48%E -1.06%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.41%EV -21.09%E -8.27%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.00%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.59%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-04 14:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%0.8%2026-04-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%0.8%2026-04-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.71%1.7%2026-04-04 14:00
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.71%1.7%2026-04-04 14:00