La escuela de los momios

Jaro v FC Lahti

Inicio: 2026-04-04 14:04 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jaro (Local)

Predicción 30.94%3.23momio equitativo
EV -0.977%
Ventaja -0.305%
Kelly -0.444%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.09%30.94%30.96%34.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.892.903.2039.22%34.60%34.48%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Lahti (Visitante)

Predicción 41.86%2.39momio equitativo
EV -1.64%
Ventaja -0.697%
Kelly -1.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.94%41.87%41.73%43.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.232.252.3552.36%44.91%44.54%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.20%3.68momio equitativo
EV -2.08%
Ventaja -0.579%
Kelly -0.801%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.08%27.19%27.32%28.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.383.403.6034.72%29.56%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 30.25%EV -0.977%E -0.305%K -0.444%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.09%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.66%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 14:00
BetOnline.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 30.25%EV -0.977%E -0.305%K -0.444%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.09%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.66%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 14:00
Pinnacle3.15I 31.75%NM 30.57%EV -2.52%E -0.801%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.68%EV -3.31%E -1.43%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.75%EV -5.62%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 13:59
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53%EV -2.52%E -0.801%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -2.08%E -0.579%K -0.801%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 13:59
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 14:00
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 13:58
1xBet3.06I 32.68%NM 30.60%EV -5.31%E -1.74%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.78%EV -8.34%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 13:59
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 13:59
BetAnything3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 13:59
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 13:50
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 30.70%EV -5.93%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.66%E -2.99%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 14:00
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.10%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 14:00
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 14:00
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 14:00
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 14:00
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 13:59
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.96%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-04 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -14.19%E -6.92%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -14.19%E -6.92%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 13:59
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -14.19%E -6.92%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 13:59
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -14.19%E -6.92%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 14:00
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -7.78%E -2.61%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -8.88%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:59
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -7.78%E -2.61%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -8.88%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:59
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -8.71%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 14:00
GTbets2.94I 34.01%NM 31.82%EV -9.02%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.76%EV -6.24%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.42%EV -3.72%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 13:59
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 13:59
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 13:59
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 13:59
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 13:59
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 14:00
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 13:59
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 13:59
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 14:00
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.96%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 29.09%EV -13.35%E -4.77%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 42.64%EV -20.05%E -10.50%K -22.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.28%EV -21.67%E -7.52%K -11.52%G +0.000%22.8%2026-04-04 14:00
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -14.90%E -5.42%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -12.10%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-04 13:55
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 30.79%EV -14.90%E -5.42%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.33%EV -16.29%E -8.14%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.88%EV -14.32%E -4.55%K -6.66%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-04 13:59
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 14:00
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 14:00
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 14:00
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 14:00
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 14:00
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 14:00
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 14:00
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 14:00
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.99%EV -2.48%E -1.06%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.99%EV -2.48%E -1.06%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 14:00
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.99%EV -2.48%E -1.06%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 14:00
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.41%EV -21.09%E -8.27%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.00%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.59%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-04 14:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%0.8%2026-04-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%0.8%2026-04-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.71%1.7%2026-04-04 14:00
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.71%1.7%2026-04-04 14:00