L’École des cotes

Jaro v FC Lahti

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 14:04 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jaro (Local)

Prévision 30.94%3.23cote équitable
EV -0.977%
Avantage -0.305%
Kelly -0.444%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.09%30.94%30.96%34.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.892.903.2039.22%34.60%34.48%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Lahti (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.86%2.39cote équitable
EV -1.64%
Avantage -0.697%
Kelly -1.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.94%41.87%41.73%43.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.232.252.3552.36%44.91%44.54%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.20%3.68cote équitable
EV -2.08%
Avantage -0.579%
Kelly -0.801%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.08%27.19%27.32%28.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.383.403.6034.72%29.56%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 30.25%EV -0.977%E -0.305%K -0.444%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.09%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.66%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 14:00
BetOnline.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 30.25%EV -0.977%E -0.305%K -0.444%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.09%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.66%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 14:00
Pinnacle3.15I 31.75%NM 30.57%EV -2.52%E -0.801%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.68%EV -3.31%E -1.43%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.75%EV -5.62%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 13:59
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53%EV -2.52%E -0.801%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -2.08%E -0.579%K -0.801%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 13:59
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 14:00
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 13:58
1xBet3.06I 32.68%NM 30.60%EV -5.31%E -1.74%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.78%EV -8.34%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 13:59
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 13:59
BetAnything3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 13:59
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 13:50
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 30.70%EV -5.93%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.66%E -2.99%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 14:00
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.10%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 14:00
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 14:00
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 14:00
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 14:00
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 13:59
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.96%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-04 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -14.19%E -6.92%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -14.19%E -6.92%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 13:59
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -14.19%E -6.92%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 13:59
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -14.19%E -6.92%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 14:00
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -7.78%E -2.61%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -8.88%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:59
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -7.78%E -2.61%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -8.88%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:59
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -8.71%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 14:00
GTbets2.94I 34.01%NM 31.82%EV -9.02%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.76%EV -6.24%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.42%EV -3.72%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 13:59
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 13:59
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 13:59
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 13:59
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 13:59
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 14:00
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 13:59
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 13:59
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 14:00
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.96%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 29.09%EV -13.35%E -4.77%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 42.64%EV -20.05%E -10.50%K -22.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.28%EV -21.67%E -7.52%K -11.52%G +0.000%22.8%2026-04-04 14:00
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -14.90%E -5.42%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -12.10%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-04 13:55
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 30.79%EV -14.90%E -5.42%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.33%EV -16.29%E -8.14%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.88%EV -14.32%E -4.55%K -6.66%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-04 13:59
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 14:00
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 14:00
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 14:00
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 14:00
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 14:00
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 14:00
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 14:00
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 14:00
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.99%EV -2.48%E -1.06%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.99%EV -2.48%E -1.06%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 14:00
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -18.00%E -6.79%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.99%EV -2.48%E -1.06%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 14:00
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.41%EV -21.09%E -8.27%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.00%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.59%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-04 14:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%0.8%2026-04-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%0.8%2026-04-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.71%1.7%2026-04-04 14:00
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.71%1.7%2026-04-04 14:00