Language:English
Ilves Tampere v KuPS Kuopio
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ilves Tampere (Local)
Prediction 36.11%2.77fair odd
EV -0.327%
Edge -0.118%
Kelly -0.186%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.20%36.24%36.13%38.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.502.502.7643.48%40.04%40.00%36.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
KuPS Kuopio (Visit)
Prediction 35.83%2.79fair odd
EV +4.63%
Edge +1.59%
Kelly +2.41%
Growth +0.112%
assuming max odds 2.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.57%35.70%35.77%37.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.622.622.9245.45%38.10%38.24%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.05%3.56fair odd
EV -4.61%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -1.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.68%28.06%28.10%29.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.253.253.4034.72%30.81%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ilves Tampere (Local): 36.11%; KuPS Kuopio (Visit): 35.83%; Draw: 28.05%. For KuPS Kuopio (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.79. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.92, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.63%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.43%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.90%EV +4.63%E +1.59%K +2.41%G +0.112% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.68%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 10:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV +0.329%E +0.118%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 13:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV +0.329%E +0.118%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 13:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV +0.329%E +0.118%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 13:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV +0.329%E +0.118%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 13:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV +0.329%E +0.118%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV +0.329%E +0.118%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV +0.329%E +0.118%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 13:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV +0.329%E +0.118%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 13:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV +0.329%E +0.118%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 13:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV +0.329%E +0.118%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -13.03%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 13:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -1.46%E -0.532%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -1.46%E -0.532%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -1.46%E -0.532%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 13:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -1.46%E -0.532%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 13:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -14.05%E -5.90%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -1.46%E -0.532%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -14.05%E -5.90%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -1.46%E -0.532%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 13:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -14.05%E -5.90%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -1.46%E -0.532%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 13:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.77%EV -2.85%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.51%EV -2.90%E -1.07%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 13:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -3.25%E -1.21%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 13:32 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.19%EV -0.327%E -0.118%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.24%EV -3.97%E -1.48%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 13:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.49%EV -16.94%E -7.36%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -5.05%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -11.63%E -3.69%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-04 13:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.12%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -13.03%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-04 13:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.12%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -13.03%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-04 13:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.12%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -13.03%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-04 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.12%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -13.03%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-04 13:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.13%EV -5.74%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.13%EV -6.48%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 13:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 13:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 13:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -9.66%E -3.00%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 13:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -9.66%E -3.00%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 13:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 13:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 13:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-04 13:38 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -8.63%E -3.38%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 13:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -1.77%E -0.651%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -9.70%E -3.85%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 13:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -1.77%E -0.651%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -9.70%E -3.85%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 13:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 13:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 13:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -5.38%E -2.05%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 13:43 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -11.52%E -4.70%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.22%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-04 13:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -11.52%E -4.70%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.22%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-04 13:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -11.52%E -4.70%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.22%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-04 13:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -11.52%E -4.70%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.22%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-04 13:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -12.21%E -4.98%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 13:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -12.21%E -4.98%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -10.22%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-04 13:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -12.21%E -4.98%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -10.22%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-04 13:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -12.21%E -4.98%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -13.03%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-04 13:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.87%EV -16.94%E -7.36%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.33%EV -14.00%E -5.83%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.80%EV -14.43%E -4.73%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-04-04 13:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -17.59%E -7.65%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -10.22%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-04 13:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.20%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.31%EV -21.17%E -9.62%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.50%EV -19.20%E -6.67%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 21.8% | 2026-04-04 13:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.53% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-04-04 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.39% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.70% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.39% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.70% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.39% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.70% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 13:45 |