L’École des cotes

Ilves Tampere v KuPS Kuopio

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ilves Tampere (Local)

Prévision 36.11%2.77cote équitable
EV -0.327%
Avantage -0.118%
Kelly -0.186%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.20%36.24%36.13%38.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.502.502.7643.48%40.04%40.00%36.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

KuPS Kuopio (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.83%2.79cote équitable
EV +4.63%
Avantage +1.59%
Kelly +2.41%
Croissance +0.112%

avec la cote maximale 2.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.57%35.70%35.77%37.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.622.622.9245.45%38.10%38.24%34.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.05%3.56cote équitable
EV -4.61%
Avantage -1.36%
Kelly -1.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.68%28.06%28.10%29.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.253.253.4034.72%30.81%30.77%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.43%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.90%EV +4.63%E +1.59%K +2.41%G +0.112%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.68%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 10:59
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV +0.329%E +0.118%K +0.183%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 13:39
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV +0.329%E +0.118%K +0.183%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 13:39
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV +0.329%E +0.118%K +0.183%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 13:39
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV +0.329%E +0.118%K +0.183%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 13:40
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV +0.329%E +0.118%K +0.183%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 13:40
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV +0.329%E +0.118%K +0.183%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 13:40
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV +0.329%E +0.118%K +0.183%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 13:39
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV +0.329%E +0.118%K +0.183%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 13:40
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV +0.329%E +0.118%K +0.183%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 13:39
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV +0.329%E +0.118%K +0.183%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -13.03%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 13:10
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -1.46%E -0.532%K -0.836%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 13:30
BetAnything2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -1.46%E -0.532%K -0.836%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 13:30
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -1.46%E -0.532%K -0.836%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 13:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -1.46%E -0.532%K -0.836%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 13:40
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -14.05%E -5.90%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -1.46%E -0.532%K -0.836%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 13:40
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -14.05%E -5.90%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -1.46%E -0.532%K -0.836%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 13:39
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -14.05%E -5.90%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -1.46%E -0.532%K -0.836%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 13:39
Pinnacle2.69I 37.17%NM 35.77%EV -2.85%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.51%EV -2.90%E -1.07%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 13:40
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -3.25%E -1.21%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 13:32
LowVig.ag2.76I 36.23%NM 35.19%EV -0.327%E -0.118%K -0.186%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.24%EV -3.97%E -1.48%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 13:45
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.49%EV -16.94%E -7.36%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -5.05%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -11.63%E -3.69%K -5.41%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-04 13:39
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.12%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -13.03%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 13:39
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.12%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -13.03%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 13:39
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.12%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -13.03%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 13:40
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.12%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -13.03%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 13:39
GTbets2.61I 38.31%NM 36.13%EV -5.74%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.13%EV -6.48%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 13:44
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 13:44
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 13:39
1xBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -9.66%E -3.00%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:44
Marathon Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -9.66%E -3.00%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:45
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 13:35
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 13:39
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 13:38
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -8.63%E -3.38%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:44
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -1.77%E -0.651%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -9.70%E -3.85%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 13:44
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -1.77%E -0.651%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -9.70%E -3.85%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 13:44
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:44
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:44
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -5.38%E -2.05%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 13:43
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -11.52%E -4.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.22%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 13:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -11.52%E -4.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.22%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 13:39
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -11.52%E -4.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.22%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 13:39
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -11.52%E -4.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.22%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 13:40
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -12.21%E -4.98%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 13:44
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -12.21%E -4.98%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -10.22%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 13:45
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -12.21%E -4.98%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -10.22%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 13:44
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -12.21%E -4.98%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -13.03%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-04 13:45
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.87%EV -16.94%E -7.36%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.33%EV -14.00%E -5.83%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.80%EV -14.43%E -4.73%K -7.04%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-04 13:40
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -17.59%E -7.65%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -10.22%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-04 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.20%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.31%EV -21.17%E -9.62%K -17.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.50%EV -19.20%E -6.67%K -10.21%G +0.000%21.8%2026-04-04 13:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.53%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-04-04 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.39%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.70%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-04-04 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.39%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.70%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-04-04 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.39%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.70%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-04-04 13:45