La escuela de los momios

Ilves Tampere v KuPS Kuopio

Inicio: 2026-04-04 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Ilves Tampere (Local)

Predicción 36.11%2.77momio equitativo
EV -0.327%
Ventaja -0.118%
Kelly -0.186%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.20%36.24%36.13%38.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.502.502.7643.48%40.04%40.00%36.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

KuPS Kuopio (Visitante)

Predicción 35.83%2.79momio equitativo
EV +4.63%
Ventaja +1.59%
Kelly +2.41%
Crecimiento +0.112%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.57%35.70%35.77%37.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.622.622.9245.45%38.10%38.24%34.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.05%3.56momio equitativo
EV -4.61%
Ventaja -1.36%
Kelly -1.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.68%28.06%28.10%29.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.253.253.4034.72%30.81%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.43%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.90%EV +4.63%E +1.59%K +2.41%G +0.112%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.68%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 10:59
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV +0.329%E +0.118%K +0.183%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 13:39
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV +0.329%E +0.118%K +0.183%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 13:39
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV +0.329%E +0.118%K +0.183%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 13:39
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV +0.329%E +0.118%K +0.183%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 13:40
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV +0.329%E +0.118%K +0.183%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 13:40
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV +0.329%E +0.118%K +0.183%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 13:40
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV +0.329%E +0.118%K +0.183%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 13:39
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV +0.329%E +0.118%K +0.183%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 13:40
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV +0.329%E +0.118%K +0.183%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 13:39
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV +0.329%E +0.118%K +0.183%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -13.03%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 13:10
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -1.46%E -0.532%K -0.836%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 13:30
BetAnything2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -1.46%E -0.532%K -0.836%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 13:30
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -1.46%E -0.532%K -0.836%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 13:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -1.46%E -0.532%K -0.836%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 13:40
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -14.05%E -5.90%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -1.46%E -0.532%K -0.836%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 13:40
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -14.05%E -5.90%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -1.46%E -0.532%K -0.836%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 13:39
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -14.05%E -5.90%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -1.46%E -0.532%K -0.836%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 13:39
Pinnacle2.69I 37.17%NM 35.77%EV -2.85%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.51%EV -2.90%E -1.07%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 13:40
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -3.25%E -1.21%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 13:32
LowVig.ag2.76I 36.23%NM 35.19%EV -0.327%E -0.118%K -0.186%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.24%EV -3.97%E -1.48%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 13:45
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.49%EV -16.94%E -7.36%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -5.05%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -11.63%E -3.69%K -5.41%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-04 13:39
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.12%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -13.03%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 13:39
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.12%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -13.03%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 13:39
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.12%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -13.03%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 13:40
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.12%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -13.03%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 13:39
GTbets2.61I 38.31%NM 36.13%EV -5.74%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.13%EV -6.48%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 13:44
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 13:44
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 13:39
1xBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -9.66%E -3.00%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:44
Marathon Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -9.66%E -3.00%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:45
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 13:35
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 13:39
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 13:38
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -8.63%E -3.38%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:44
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -1.77%E -0.651%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -9.70%E -3.85%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 13:44
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -1.77%E -0.651%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -9.70%E -3.85%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 13:44
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:44
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:44
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -5.38%E -2.05%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 13:43
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -11.52%E -4.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.22%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 13:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -11.52%E -4.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.22%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 13:39
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -11.52%E -4.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.22%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 13:39
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -11.52%E -4.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.22%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 13:40
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -12.21%E -4.98%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 13:44
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -12.21%E -4.98%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -10.22%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 13:45
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -12.21%E -4.98%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -10.22%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 13:44
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -12.21%E -4.98%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -13.03%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-04 13:45
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.87%EV -16.94%E -7.36%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.33%EV -14.00%E -5.83%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.80%EV -14.43%E -4.73%K -7.04%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-04 13:40
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -17.59%E -7.65%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -10.22%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-04 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.20%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.31%EV -21.17%E -9.62%K -17.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.50%EV -19.20%E -6.67%K -10.21%G +0.000%21.8%2026-04-04 13:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.53%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-04-04 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.39%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.70%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-04-04 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.39%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.70%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-04-04 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.39%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.70%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-04-04 13:45