Language:English
Ilves Tampere v IF Gnistan
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ilves Tampere (Local)
Prediction 44.86%2.23fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -3.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.99%44.93%44.85%47.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.022.002.1554.05%49.56%50.00%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
IF Gnistan (Visit)
Prediction 29.11%3.43fair odd
EV +0.439%
Edge +0.127%
Kelly +0.179%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.53%28.95%29.16%30.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.213.203.4534.72%31.11%31.25%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.03%3.84fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -0.356%
Kelly -0.484%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.76%26.11%25.98%28.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.493.503.7934.72%28.65%28.57%26.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ilves Tampere (Local): 44.86%; IF Gnistan (Visit): 29.11%; Draw: 26.03%. For IF Gnistan (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.43. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.439%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -12.53%E -6.42%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV +0.439%E +0.127%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-23 11:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -12.98%E -6.69%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV +0.439%E +0.127%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 11:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -12.98%E -6.69%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV +0.439%E +0.127%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 11:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -12.98%E -6.69%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV +0.439%E +0.127%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 11:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -12.98%E -6.69%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV +0.439%E +0.127%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 11:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -12.98%E -6.69%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV +0.439%E +0.127%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 11:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -12.98%E -6.69%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV +0.439%E +0.127%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 11:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -12.98%E -6.69%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV +0.439%E +0.127%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 11:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -12.98%E -6.69%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV +0.439%E +0.127%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 11:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -13.42%E -6.96%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -1.02%E -0.299%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-23 11:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -13.42%E -6.96%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -1.02%E -0.299%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-23 11:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.32%EV -13.87%E -7.23%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -1.02%E -0.299%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-23 11:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.32%EV -13.87%E -7.23%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -1.02%E -0.299%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-23 11:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.32%EV -13.87%E -7.23%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -1.02%E -0.299%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-23 11:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.77%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.60%EV -2.18%E -0.649%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -2.39%E -0.638%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-23 09:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.00%EV -3.56%E -1.65%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.14%EV -3.35%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.87%EV -2.65%E -0.709%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -3.93%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.33%EV -17.01%E -9.20%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -3.93%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -12.80%E -3.82%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-23 11:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -4.90%E -2.31%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -5.38%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.60%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -4.90%E -2.31%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -5.38%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.60%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -7.59%E -3.69%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.00%EV -8.49%E -4.16%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.24%EV -6.55%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 24.76%EV -1.35%E -0.356%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-23 13:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -3.56%E -1.65%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-23 13:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-23 13:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-23 12:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-23 13:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-23 13:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -10.28%E -5.14%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-23 12:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-23 13:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -6.70%E -3.22%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.69%E -0.998%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 12:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -6.70%E -3.22%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.69%E -0.998%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 12:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.60%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-23 13:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -10.28%E -5.14%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-23 12:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.70%EV -4.00%E -1.87%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.88%EV -8.88%E -2.84%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.42%EV -7.86%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-23 13:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-23 13:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-23 13:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-23 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-23 13:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-23 12:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-23 13:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.20%E -2.96%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-23 13:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.28%E -5.14%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-23 12:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.28%E -5.14%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-23 12:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.28%E -5.14%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.10%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-23 13:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -10.28%E -5.14%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -15.41%E -4.74%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-23 13:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-23 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.28%E -5.14%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-23 13:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.28%E -5.14%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-23 12:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.28%E -5.14%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-23 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.28%E -5.14%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-23 12:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -12.53%E -6.42%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -14.32%E -7.50%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-23 13:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 42.99%EV -14.32%E -7.50%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -16.15%E -5.61%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -25.04%E -8.69%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 21.8% | 2026-05-23 13:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.55% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 0.7% | 2026-05-23 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90% | 1.8% | 2026-05-23 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90% | 1.8% | 2026-05-23 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90% | 1.8% | 2026-05-23 13:50 |