La scuola delle quote

Ilves Tampere v IF Gnistan

Inizio: 2026-05-23 14:00 UTC

Finale: Ilves Tampere 2–0 IF Gnistan

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

53 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Ilves Tampere (Casa)

Previsione 44.86%2.23quota equa
EV -3.56%
Vantaggio -1.65%
Kelly -3.09%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.99%44.93%44.85%47.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.852.022.002.1554.05%49.56%50.00%46.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

IF Gnistan (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.11%3.43quota equa
EV +0.439%
Vantaggio +0.127%
Kelly +0.179%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.53%28.95%29.16%30.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.213.203.4534.72%31.11%31.25%28.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.03%3.84quota equa
EV -1.35%
Vantaggio -0.356%
Kelly -0.484%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.79

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.76%26.11%25.98%28.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.493.503.7934.72%28.65%28.57%26.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -12.53%E -6.42%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV +0.439%E +0.127%K +0.179%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 11:09
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -12.98%E -6.69%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV +0.439%E +0.127%K +0.179%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 11:10
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -12.98%E -6.69%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV +0.439%E +0.127%K +0.179%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 11:10
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -12.98%E -6.69%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV +0.439%E +0.127%K +0.179%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 11:09
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -12.98%E -6.69%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV +0.439%E +0.127%K +0.179%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 11:10
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -12.98%E -6.69%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV +0.439%E +0.127%K +0.179%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 11:10
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -12.98%E -6.69%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV +0.439%E +0.127%K +0.179%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 11:10
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -12.98%E -6.69%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV +0.439%E +0.127%K +0.179%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 11:10
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -12.98%E -6.69%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV +0.439%E +0.127%K +0.179%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -13.42%E -6.96%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -1.02%E -0.299%K -0.423%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 11:10
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -13.42%E -6.96%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -1.02%E -0.299%K -0.423%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 11:10
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 47.32%EV -13.87%E -7.23%K -15.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -1.02%E -0.299%K -0.423%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 11:10
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.32%EV -13.87%E -7.23%K -15.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -1.02%E -0.299%K -0.423%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 11:10
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.32%EV -13.87%E -7.23%K -15.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -1.02%E -0.299%K -0.423%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 11:10
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.77%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.60%EV -2.18%E -0.649%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -2.39%E -0.638%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 09:29
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 45.00%EV -3.56%E -1.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.14%EV -3.35%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.87%EV -2.65%E -0.709%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-23 13:39
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -3.93%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 13:39
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.33%EV -17.01%E -9.20%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -3.93%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -12.80%E -3.82%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-23 11:10
LowVig.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -4.90%E -2.31%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -5.38%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.60%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 13:39
BetUS2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -4.90%E -2.31%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -5.38%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.60%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 13:39
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -7.59%E -3.69%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 13:39
GTbets2.04I 49.02%NM 46.00%EV -8.49%E -4.16%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.24%EV -6.55%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.76%EV -1.35%E -0.356%K -0.484%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 13:19
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -3.56%E -1.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 13:10
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 13:19
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 12:59
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 13:50
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 13:49
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -10.28%E -5.14%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 12:59
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 13:49
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -6.70%E -3.22%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.69%E -0.998%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 12:49
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -6.70%E -3.22%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.69%E -0.998%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 12:49
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.60%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 13:49
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -10.28%E -5.14%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 12:59
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.70%EV -4.00%E -1.87%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.88%EV -8.88%E -2.84%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.42%EV -7.86%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 13:49
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-23 13:49
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-23 13:49
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-23 13:50
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-23 13:49
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-23 12:49
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-23 13:49
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.20%E -2.96%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-23 13:49
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.28%E -5.14%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-23 12:59
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.28%E -5.14%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-23 12:59
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.28%E -5.14%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.10%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-23 13:20
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -10.28%E -5.14%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -15.41%E -4.74%K -6.85%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-23 13:50
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 13:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.28%E -5.14%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-23 13:00
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.28%E -5.14%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-23 12:59
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.28%E -5.14%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-23 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.28%E -5.14%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-23 12:59
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -12.53%E -6.42%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-23 13:39
Unibet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -14.32%E -7.50%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-23 13:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 42.99%EV -14.32%E -7.50%K -15.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -16.15%E -5.61%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -25.04%E -8.69%K -13.32%G +0.000%21.8%2026-05-23 13:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.55%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-05-23 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%1.8%2026-05-23 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%1.8%2026-05-23 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%1.8%2026-05-23 13:50