L’École des cotes

Ilves Tampere v IF Gnistan

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-23 14:00 UTC

Score final : Ilves Tampere 2–0 IF Gnistan

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ilves Tampere (Local)

Prévision 44.86%2.23cote équitable
EV -3.56%
Avantage -1.65%
Kelly -3.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.99%44.93%44.85%47.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.852.022.002.1554.05%49.56%50.00%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

IF Gnistan (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.11%3.43cote équitable
EV +0.439%
Avantage +0.127%
Kelly +0.179%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.53%28.95%29.16%30.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.213.203.4534.72%31.11%31.25%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.03%3.84cote équitable
EV -1.35%
Avantage -0.356%
Kelly -0.484%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.76%26.11%25.98%28.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.493.503.7934.72%28.65%28.57%26.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -12.53%E -6.42%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV +0.439%E +0.127%K +0.179%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 11:09
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -12.98%E -6.69%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV +0.439%E +0.127%K +0.179%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 11:10
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -12.98%E -6.69%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV +0.439%E +0.127%K +0.179%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 11:10
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -12.98%E -6.69%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV +0.439%E +0.127%K +0.179%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 11:09
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -12.98%E -6.69%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV +0.439%E +0.127%K +0.179%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 11:10
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -12.98%E -6.69%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV +0.439%E +0.127%K +0.179%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 11:10
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -12.98%E -6.69%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV +0.439%E +0.127%K +0.179%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 11:10
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -12.98%E -6.69%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV +0.439%E +0.127%K +0.179%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 11:10
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -12.98%E -6.69%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV +0.439%E +0.127%K +0.179%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -13.42%E -6.96%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -1.02%E -0.299%K -0.423%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 11:10
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -13.42%E -6.96%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -1.02%E -0.299%K -0.423%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 11:10
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 47.32%EV -13.87%E -7.23%K -15.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -1.02%E -0.299%K -0.423%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 11:10
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.32%EV -13.87%E -7.23%K -15.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -1.02%E -0.299%K -0.423%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 11:10
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.32%EV -13.87%E -7.23%K -15.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -1.02%E -0.299%K -0.423%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 11:10
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.77%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.60%EV -2.18%E -0.649%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -2.39%E -0.638%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 09:29
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 45.00%EV -3.56%E -1.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.14%EV -3.35%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.87%EV -2.65%E -0.709%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-23 13:39
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -3.93%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 13:39
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.33%EV -17.01%E -9.20%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -3.93%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -12.80%E -3.82%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-23 11:10
LowVig.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -4.90%E -2.31%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -5.38%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.60%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 13:39
BetUS2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -4.90%E -2.31%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -5.38%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.60%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 13:39
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -7.59%E -3.69%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 13:39
GTbets2.04I 49.02%NM 46.00%EV -8.49%E -4.16%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.24%EV -6.55%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.76%EV -1.35%E -0.356%K -0.484%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 13:19
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -3.56%E -1.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 13:10
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 13:19
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 12:59
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 13:50
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 13:49
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -10.28%E -5.14%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 12:59
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 13:49
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -6.70%E -3.22%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.69%E -0.998%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 12:49
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -6.70%E -3.22%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.69%E -0.998%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 12:49
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.60%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 13:49
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -10.28%E -5.14%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 12:59
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.70%EV -4.00%E -1.87%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.88%EV -8.88%E -2.84%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.42%EV -7.86%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 13:49
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-23 13:49
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-23 13:49
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-23 13:50
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-23 13:49
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-23 12:49
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-23 13:49
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.20%E -2.96%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-23 13:49
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.28%E -5.14%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-23 12:59
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.28%E -5.14%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-23 12:59
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.28%E -5.14%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.10%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-23 13:20
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -10.28%E -5.14%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -15.41%E -4.74%K -6.85%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-23 13:50
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 13:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.28%E -5.14%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-23 13:00
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.28%E -5.14%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-23 12:59
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.28%E -5.14%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-23 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.28%E -5.14%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-23 12:59
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -12.53%E -6.42%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-23 13:39
Unibet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -14.32%E -7.50%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-23 13:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 42.99%EV -14.32%E -7.50%K -15.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -16.15%E -5.61%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -25.04%E -8.69%K -13.32%G +0.000%21.8%2026-05-23 13:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.55%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-05-23 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%1.8%2026-05-23 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%1.8%2026-05-23 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%1.8%2026-05-23 13:50