Language:English
Ilves Tampere v HJK Helsinki
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ilves Tampere (Local)
Prediction 26.82%3.73fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -0.728%
Kelly -1.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.33%26.76%26.88%28.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.443.453.6332.26%29.06%28.99%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
HJK Helsinki (Visit)
Prediction 48.91%2.04fair odd
EV -3.16%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -3.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.45%48.97%48.89%50.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.861.871.9858.82%53.71%53.48%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.27%4.12fair odd
EV -0.493%
Edge -0.120%
Kelly -0.159%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.29%24.27%24.24%25.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.743.754.1028.57%26.71%26.67%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ilves Tampere (Local): 26.82%; HJK Helsinki (Visit): 48.91%; Draw: 24.27%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.12. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.10, with an expected value of -0.493%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.48%EV -2.64%E -0.728%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.07%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.45%EV -0.493%E -0.120%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-31 14:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV -3.45%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.54%EV -4.63%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.62%EV -0.736%E -0.180%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-31 15:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.45%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -10.50%E -5.74%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-31 14:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.45%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -11.96%E -6.65%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 10:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.45%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -11.96%E -6.65%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 10:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.45%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -11.96%E -6.65%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 10:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.45%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -11.96%E -6.65%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 10:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.45%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -11.96%E -6.65%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 10:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.45%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -11.96%E -6.65%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 10:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.45%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -11.96%E -6.65%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 10:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.45%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -11.96%E -6.65%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 10:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.45%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -11.96%E -6.65%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 10:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.79%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -8.05%E -4.28%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.15%EV -6.32%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-31 15:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -4.79%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -12.63%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-31 13:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -4.79%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -12.63%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-31 13:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.45%EV -5.06%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.29%EV -7.07%E -3.72%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.26%EV -6.32%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 15:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -4.63%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -5.35%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 13:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.98%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -6.56%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 15:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-31 14:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -5.60%E -2.90%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-31 14:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -8.05%E -4.28%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -8.99%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-31 15:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.54%EV -13.92%E -7.91%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.04%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-30 10:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.54%EV -13.92%E -7.91%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.04%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-30 10:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -14.41%E -8.23%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-30 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -14.41%E -8.23%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-30 10:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -7.47%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.29%EV -4.14%E -2.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.35%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 15:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -7.47%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.29%EV -4.14%E -2.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.35%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 15:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.47%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -6.56%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-31 15:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -5.60%E -2.90%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-31 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -8.54%E -4.57%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-31 12:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.54%E -4.57%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -8.99%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-31 15:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.54%E -4.57%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -8.99%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-31 15:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -15.06%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-31 15:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -9.52%E -5.14%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-31 15:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.95%EV -9.35%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.71%EV -3.16%E -1.60%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.35%EV -5.83%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 12:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.38%EV -7.07%E -3.72%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-31 12:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.55%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.34%EV -16.85%E -9.91%K -24.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.11%EV -13.84%E -3.90%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-08-30 10:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.76%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.45%EV -8.99%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-31 15:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-31 15:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-31 15:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-31 15:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-31 15:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.44%EV -8.05%E -4.28%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-31 13:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -8.05%E -4.28%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-31 12:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -10.50%E -5.74%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -8.99%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-31 12:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.52%E -5.14%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.63%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-31 15:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -10.50%E -5.74%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.63%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-31 15:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.52%E -5.14%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -15.06%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-31 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.52%E -5.14%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -15.06%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-31 14:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.52%E -5.14%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -15.06%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-31 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.52%E -5.14%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -15.06%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-31 14:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.81%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.61%EV -10.98%E -6.04%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.58%EV -12.63%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-31 15:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -16.86%E -5.44%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.53%EV -11.96%E -6.65%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.29%EV -8.99%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-31 13:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.60% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08% | 1.3% | 2026-08-31 15:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.60% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08% | 1.3% | 2026-08-31 15:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.60% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08% | 1.3% | 2026-08-31 15:30 |