Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ilves Tampere v HJK Helsinki

Início: 2026-08-31 16:00 UTC

Final: Ilves Tampere 1–2 HJK Helsinki

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ilves Tampere (Local)

Previsão 26.82%3.73odd justa
EV -2.64%
Vantagem -0.728%
Kelly -1.00%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.33%26.76%26.88%28.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.443.453.6332.26%29.06%28.99%27.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

HJK Helsinki (Visitante)

Previsão 48.91%2.04odd justa
EV -3.16%
Vantagem -1.60%
Kelly -3.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.45%48.97%48.89%50.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.861.871.9858.82%53.71%53.48%50.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.27%4.12odd justa
EV -0.493%
Vantagem -0.120%
Kelly -0.159%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.29%24.27%24.24%25.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.743.754.1028.57%26.71%26.67%24.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Ilves Tampere (Local): 26.82%; HJK Helsinki (Visitante): 48.91%; Empate: 24.27%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.12. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 4.10, com valor esperado de -0.493%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯3.63I 27.55%NM 26.48%EV -2.64%E -0.728%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.07%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.45%EV -0.493%E -0.120%K -0.159%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-31 14:20
Pinnacle🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV -3.45%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.54%EV -4.63%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.62%EV -0.736%E -0.180%K -0.238%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-31 15:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.45%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -10.50%E -5.74%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-31 14:05
Casumo🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.45%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -11.96%E -6.65%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 10:29
Unibet (NL)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.45%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -11.96%E -6.65%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 10:29
TABtouch🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.45%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -11.96%E -6.65%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 10:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.45%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -11.96%E -6.65%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 10:30
Grosvenor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.45%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -11.96%E -6.65%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 10:30
Unibet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.45%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -11.96%E -6.65%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 10:29
Svenska Spel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.45%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -11.96%E -6.65%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 10:29
ATG (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.45%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -11.96%E -6.65%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 10:30
betPARX🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.45%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -11.96%E -6.65%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 10:30
Marathon Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.79%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -8.05%E -4.28%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.15%EV -6.32%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 15:34
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -4.79%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -12.63%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-31 13:20
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -4.79%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -12.63%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-31 13:20
1xBet🎯3.54I 28.25%NM 26.45%EV -5.06%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.29%EV -7.07%E -3.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.26%EV -6.32%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 15:35
DraftKings🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -4.63%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -5.35%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 13:25
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.98%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -6.56%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 15:30
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 14:34
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -5.60%E -2.90%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 14:09
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -8.05%E -4.28%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -8.99%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-31 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.54%EV -13.92%E -7.91%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.04%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 10:30
BetRivers🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.54%EV -13.92%E -7.91%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.04%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 10:29
LiveScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -14.41%E -8.23%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 10:30
Virgin Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -14.41%E -8.23%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 10:30
LowVig.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -7.47%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.29%EV -4.14%E -2.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.35%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 15:45
BetAnything🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -7.47%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.29%EV -4.14%E -2.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.35%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 15:45
BetUS🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.47%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -6.56%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 15:44
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -5.60%E -2.90%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 14:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -8.54%E -4.57%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 12:25
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.54%E -4.57%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -8.99%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-31 15:44
betano_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.54%E -4.57%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -8.99%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-31 15:45
PlayUp🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -15.06%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-31 15:45
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -9.52%E -5.14%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-31 15:34
GTbets🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 27.95%EV -9.35%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.71%EV -3.16%E -1.60%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.35%EV -5.83%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 12:20
Bet Right🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.38%EV -7.07%E -3.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 12:25
PMU (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 25.55%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 50.34%EV -16.85%E -9.91%K -24.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.11%EV -13.84%E -3.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-30 10:30
LeoVegas🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.76%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.45%EV -8.99%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 15:15
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 15:30
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 15:35
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 15:34
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.44%EV -8.05%E -4.28%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-31 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -8.05%E -4.28%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-31 12:25
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -10.50%E -5.74%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -8.99%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 12:25
Sky Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.52%E -5.14%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.63%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-31 15:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -10.50%E -5.74%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.63%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-31 15:45
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.52%E -5.14%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -15.06%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.52%E -5.14%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -15.06%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 14:10
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.52%E -5.14%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -15.06%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.52%E -5.14%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -15.06%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 14:10
Unibet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.81%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.61%EV -10.98%E -6.04%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.58%EV -12.63%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-31 15:35
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -16.86%E -5.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.53%EV -11.96%E -6.65%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.29%EV -8.99%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-31 13:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.48%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.1%2026-08-31 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.60%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%1.3%2026-08-31 15:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.60%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%1.3%2026-08-31 15:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.60%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%1.3%2026-08-31 15:30