Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ilves Tampere v HJK Helsinki

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-31 16:00 UTC

Score final : Ilves Tampere 1–2 HJK Helsinki

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ilves Tampere (Local)

Prévision 26.82%3.73cote équitable
EV -2.64%
Avantage -0.728%
Kelly -1.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.33%26.76%26.88%28.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.443.453.6332.26%29.06%28.99%27.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

HJK Helsinki (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.91%2.04cote équitable
EV -3.16%
Avantage -1.60%
Kelly -3.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.45%48.97%48.89%50.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.701.861.871.9858.82%53.71%53.48%50.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.27%4.12cote équitable
EV -0.493%
Avantage -0.120%
Kelly -0.159%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.29%24.27%24.24%25.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.743.754.1028.57%26.71%26.67%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ilves Tampere (Local) : 26.82% ; HJK Helsinki (Visiteur) : 48.91% ; Match nul : 24.27%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.12. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.10, pour une espérance de -0.493% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯3.63I 27.55%NM 26.48%EV -2.64%E -0.728%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.07%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.45%EV -0.493%E -0.120%K -0.159%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-31 14:20
Pinnacle🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV -3.45%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.54%EV -4.63%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.62%EV -0.736%E -0.180%K -0.238%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-31 15:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.45%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -10.50%E -5.74%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-31 14:05
Casumo🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.45%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -11.96%E -6.65%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 10:29
Unibet (NL)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.45%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -11.96%E -6.65%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 10:29
TABtouch🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.45%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -11.96%E -6.65%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 10:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.45%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -11.96%E -6.65%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 10:30
Grosvenor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.45%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -11.96%E -6.65%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 10:30
Unibet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.45%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -11.96%E -6.65%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 10:29
Svenska Spel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.45%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -11.96%E -6.65%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 10:29
ATG (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.45%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -11.96%E -6.65%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 10:30
betPARX🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.45%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -11.96%E -6.65%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 10:30
Marathon Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.79%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -8.05%E -4.28%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.15%EV -6.32%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 15:34
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -4.79%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -12.63%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-31 13:20
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -4.79%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -12.63%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-31 13:20
1xBet🎯3.54I 28.25%NM 26.45%EV -5.06%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.29%EV -7.07%E -3.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.26%EV -6.32%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 15:35
DraftKings🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -4.63%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -5.35%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 13:25
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.98%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -6.56%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 15:30
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 14:34
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -5.60%E -2.90%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 14:09
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -8.05%E -4.28%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -8.99%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-31 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.54%EV -13.92%E -7.91%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.04%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 10:30
BetRivers🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.54%EV -13.92%E -7.91%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.04%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 10:29
LiveScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -14.41%E -8.23%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 10:30
Virgin Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -14.41%E -8.23%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 10:30
LowVig.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -7.47%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.29%EV -4.14%E -2.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.35%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 15:45
BetAnything🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -7.47%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.29%EV -4.14%E -2.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.35%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 15:45
BetUS🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.47%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -6.56%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 15:44
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -5.60%E -2.90%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 14:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -8.54%E -4.57%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 12:25
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.54%E -4.57%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -8.99%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-31 15:44
betano_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.54%E -4.57%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -8.99%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-31 15:45
PlayUp🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -15.06%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-31 15:45
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -9.52%E -5.14%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-31 15:34
GTbets🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 27.95%EV -9.35%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.71%EV -3.16%E -1.60%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.35%EV -5.83%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 12:20
Bet Right🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.38%EV -7.07%E -3.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 12:25
PMU (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 25.55%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 50.34%EV -16.85%E -9.91%K -24.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.11%EV -13.84%E -3.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-30 10:30
LeoVegas🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.76%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.45%EV -8.99%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 15:15
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 15:30
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 15:35
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 15:34
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.44%EV -8.05%E -4.28%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-31 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -8.05%E -4.28%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-31 12:25
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -10.50%E -5.74%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -8.99%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 12:25
Sky Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.52%E -5.14%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.63%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-31 15:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -10.50%E -5.74%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.63%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-31 15:45
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.52%E -5.14%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -15.06%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.52%E -5.14%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -15.06%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 14:10
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.52%E -5.14%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -15.06%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.52%E -5.14%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -15.06%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 14:10
Unibet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.81%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.61%EV -10.98%E -6.04%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.58%EV -12.63%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-31 15:35
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -16.86%E -5.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.53%EV -11.96%E -6.65%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.29%EV -8.99%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-31 13:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.48%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.1%2026-08-31 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.60%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%1.3%2026-08-31 15:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.60%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%1.3%2026-08-31 15:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.60%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%1.3%2026-08-31 15:30