Language:English
Ilves Tampere v FC Lahti
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ilves Tampere (Local)
Prediction 41.58%2.40fair odd
EV -1.87%
Edge -0.792%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.16%41.59%41.59%43.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.192.182.3650.00%45.69%45.87%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Lahti (Visit)
Prediction 32.02%3.12fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -0.768%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.97%32.02%32.06%32.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.892.903.0537.04%34.62%34.48%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.40%3.79fair odd
EV +0.320%
Edge +0.084%
Kelly +0.114%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.27%26.39%26.35%27.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.493.503.8030.77%28.67%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ilves Tampere (Local): 41.58%; FC Lahti (Visit): 32.02%; Draw: 26.40%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.79. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.320%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.79%EV -4.36%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.92%EV -6.50%E -2.23%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.29%EV +0.320%E +0.084%K +0.114%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -2.32%E -0.627%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 15:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.63%EV -4.36%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.45%EV -4.43%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -7.78%E -2.70%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -9.35%E -4.29%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 10:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -9.35%E -4.29%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 10:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -9.35%E -4.29%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 10:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -9.35%E -4.29%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 10:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -9.35%E -4.29%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 10:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -9.35%E -4.29%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 10:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -9.35%E -4.29%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 10:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -9.35%E -4.29%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 10:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -9.35%E -4.29%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 10:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -9.35%E -4.29%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-12 15:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -1.87%E -0.792%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.83%EV -2.66%E -0.875%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.18%EV -6.02%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.61%EV -7.07%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 15:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.81%EV -7.27%E -3.26%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.71%EV -5.86%E -1.99%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.48%EV -7.07%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 15:31 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -4.36%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 15:31 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-12 15:31 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-12 15:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-12 15:36 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.35%E -3.70%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-12 15:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.35%E -3.70%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -10.60%E -4.93%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-12 15:46 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.60%E -4.93%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.35%E -3.70%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -10.60%E -4.93%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-12 15:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -12.68%E -6.04%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.35%E -3.70%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-12 15:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -12.68%E -6.04%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-12 15:46 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.52%EV -5.20%E -2.28%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -2.34%E -0.768%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -8.92%E -2.59%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-12 15:36 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.52%EV -5.20%E -2.28%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -2.34%E -0.768%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -8.92%E -2.59%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-12 15:36 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.52%EV -5.20%E -2.28%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -2.34%E -0.768%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -8.92%E -2.59%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-12 15:36 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.60%E -4.93%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-12 15:31 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.60%E -4.93%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-12 15:36 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.60%E -4.93%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-12 15:36 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.60%E -4.93%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-12 15:36 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.71%EV -13.51%E -6.50%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-09 10:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.71%EV -13.51%E -6.50%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-09 10:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -14.76%E -7.20%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.97%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.33%EV -14.76%E -7.20%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -13.55%E -5.02%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-09-12 15:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.56%E -3.45%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.66%EV -13.93%E -6.73%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.98%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.36%EV -11.56%E -3.45%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-09 10:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.66%EV -13.93%E -6.73%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.98%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.36%EV -11.56%E -3.45%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-09 10:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.88%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-12 15:36 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.88%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-12 15:36 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.88%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-12 15:36 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.88%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-12 15:31 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.69%EV -16.84%E -8.42%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.04%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.27%EV -14.20%E -4.37%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-09-09 10:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 1.3% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.26% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.54% | 1.8% | 2026-09-12 15:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.26% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.54% | 1.8% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.26% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.54% | 1.8% | 2026-09-12 15:50 |