StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Ilves Tampere v FC Lahti

Matchstart: 2026-09-12 16:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Ilves Tampere 3–1 FC Lahti

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

50 spelbolag (12 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Ilves Tampere (Hemma)

Prognos 41.58%2.40rättvist odds
EV -1.87%
Fördel -0.792%
Kelly -1.37%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.36

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
40.16%41.59%41.59%43.06%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.002.192.182.3650.00%45.69%45.87%42.37%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

FC Lahti (Borta)

Prognos 32.02%3.12rättvist odds
EV -2.34%
Fördel -0.768%
Kelly -1.14%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.05

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.97%32.02%32.06%32.92%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.702.892.903.0537.04%34.62%34.48%32.79%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.40%3.79rättvist odds
EV +0.320%
Fördel +0.084%
Kelly +0.114%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.27%26.39%26.35%27.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.253.493.503.8030.77%28.67%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Ilves Tampere (Hemma): 41.58%; FC Lahti (Borta): 32.02%; Oavgjort: 26.40%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.79. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.80, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.320%.

Spelbolagsodds (50 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjort ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.79%EV -4.36%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.92%EV -6.50%E -2.23%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.29%EV +0.320%E +0.084%K +0.114%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 14:20
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -2.32%E -0.627%K -0.859%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 15:25
GTbets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.63%EV -4.36%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.45%EV -4.43%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 15:55
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -7.78%E -2.70%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 15:35
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -9.35%E -4.29%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 10:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -9.35%E -4.29%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 10:49
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -9.35%E -4.29%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 10:49
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -9.35%E -4.29%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 10:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -9.35%E -4.29%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 10:49
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -9.35%E -4.29%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 10:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -9.35%E -4.29%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 10:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -9.35%E -4.29%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 10:49
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -9.35%E -4.29%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 10:49
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -9.35%E -4.29%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-12 15:20
Pinnacle🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -1.87%E -0.792%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.83%EV -2.66%E -0.875%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.18%EV -6.02%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-12 15:55
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.61%EV -7.07%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 15:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.81%EV -7.27%E -3.26%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.71%EV -5.86%E -1.99%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.48%EV -7.07%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 15:31
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -4.36%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 15:31
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-12 15:31
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-12 15:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-12 15:36
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.35%E -3.70%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-12 15:34
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.35%E -3.70%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-12 15:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -10.60%E -4.93%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 15:46
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.60%E -4.93%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.35%E -3.70%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -10.60%E -4.93%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-12 15:20
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -12.68%E -6.04%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.35%E -3.70%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -12.68%E -6.04%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-12 15:46
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.52%EV -5.20%E -2.28%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -2.34%E -0.768%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -8.92%E -2.59%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 15:36
BetUS🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.52%EV -5.20%E -2.28%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -2.34%E -0.768%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -8.92%E -2.59%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 15:36
BetAnything🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.52%EV -5.20%E -2.28%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -2.34%E -0.768%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -8.92%E -2.59%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 15:36
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-12 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.60%E -4.93%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-12 15:31
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.60%E -4.93%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-12 15:36
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.60%E -4.93%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-12 15:36
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.60%E -4.93%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-12 15:36
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.71%EV -13.51%E -6.50%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-09 10:49
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.71%EV -13.51%E -6.50%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-09 10:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -14.76%E -7.20%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.97%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-12 15:35
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.33%EV -14.76%E -7.20%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -13.55%E -5.02%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-12 15:15
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.56%E -3.45%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-12 15:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.66%EV -13.93%E -6.73%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.98%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.36%EV -11.56%E -3.45%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-09 10:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.66%EV -13.93%E -6.73%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.98%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.36%EV -11.56%E -3.45%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-09 10:49
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.88%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-12 15:36
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.88%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-12 15:36
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.88%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-12 15:36
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.88%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-12 15:31
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.69%EV -16.84%E -8.42%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.04%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.27%EV -14.20%E -4.37%K -6.31%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-09 10:49
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-09-12 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.26%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.54%1.8%2026-09-12 15:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.26%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.54%1.8%2026-09-12 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.26%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.54%1.8%2026-09-12 15:50