Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Ilves Tampere v FC Lahti

Inizio: 2026-09-12 16:00 UTC

Finale: Ilves Tampere 3–1 FC Lahti

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

50 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Ilves Tampere (Casa)

Previsione 41.58%2.40quota equa
EV -1.87%
Vantaggio -0.792%
Kelly -1.37%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.36

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.16%41.59%41.59%43.06%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.192.182.3650.00%45.69%45.87%42.37%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

FC Lahti (Trasferta)

Previsione 32.02%3.12quota equa
EV -2.34%
Vantaggio -0.768%
Kelly -1.14%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.97%32.02%32.06%32.92%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.892.903.0537.04%34.62%34.48%32.79%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.40%3.79quota equa
EV +0.320%
Vantaggio +0.084%
Kelly +0.114%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.27%26.39%26.35%27.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.493.503.8030.77%28.67%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Ilves Tampere (Casa): 41.58%; FC Lahti (Trasferta): 32.02%; Pareggio: 26.40%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.79. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.80, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.320%.

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.79%EV -4.36%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.92%EV -6.50%E -2.23%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.29%EV +0.320%E +0.084%K +0.114%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 14:20
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -2.32%E -0.627%K -0.859%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 15:25
GTbets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.63%EV -4.36%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.45%EV -4.43%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 15:55
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -7.78%E -2.70%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 15:35
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -9.35%E -4.29%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 10:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -9.35%E -4.29%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 10:49
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -9.35%E -4.29%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 10:49
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -9.35%E -4.29%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 10:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -9.35%E -4.29%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 10:49
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -9.35%E -4.29%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 10:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -9.35%E -4.29%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 10:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -9.35%E -4.29%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 10:49
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -9.35%E -4.29%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 10:49
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -9.35%E -4.29%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-12 15:20
Pinnacle🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -1.87%E -0.792%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.83%EV -2.66%E -0.875%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.18%EV -6.02%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-12 15:55
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.61%EV -7.07%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 15:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.81%EV -7.27%E -3.26%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.71%EV -5.86%E -1.99%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.48%EV -7.07%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 15:31
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -4.36%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 15:31
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-12 15:31
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-12 15:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-12 15:36
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.35%E -3.70%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-12 15:34
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.35%E -3.70%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-12 15:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -10.60%E -4.93%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 15:46
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.60%E -4.93%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.35%E -3.70%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -10.60%E -4.93%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-12 15:20
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -12.68%E -6.04%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.35%E -3.70%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -12.68%E -6.04%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-12 15:46
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.52%EV -5.20%E -2.28%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -2.34%E -0.768%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -8.92%E -2.59%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 15:36
BetUS🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.52%EV -5.20%E -2.28%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -2.34%E -0.768%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -8.92%E -2.59%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 15:36
BetAnything🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.52%EV -5.20%E -2.28%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -2.34%E -0.768%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -8.92%E -2.59%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 15:36
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-12 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.60%E -4.93%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-12 15:31
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.60%E -4.93%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-12 15:36
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.60%E -4.93%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-12 15:36
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.60%E -4.93%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-12 15:36
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.71%EV -13.51%E -6.50%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-09 10:49
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.71%EV -13.51%E -6.50%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-09 10:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -14.76%E -7.20%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.97%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-12 15:35
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.33%EV -14.76%E -7.20%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -13.55%E -5.02%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-12 15:15
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.56%E -3.45%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-12 15:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.66%EV -13.93%E -6.73%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.98%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.36%EV -11.56%E -3.45%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-09 10:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.66%EV -13.93%E -6.73%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.98%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.36%EV -11.56%E -3.45%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-09 10:49
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.88%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-12 15:36
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.88%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-12 15:36
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.88%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-12 15:36
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.88%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-12 15:31
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.69%EV -16.84%E -8.42%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.04%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.27%EV -14.20%E -4.37%K -6.31%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-09 10:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-09-12 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.26%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.54%1.8%2026-09-12 15:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.26%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.54%1.8%2026-09-12 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.26%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.54%1.8%2026-09-12 15:50