Language:English
IFK Mariehamn v TPS Turku
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
IFK Mariehamn (Local)
Prediction 52.37%1.91fair odd
EV -3.12%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -3.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.49%52.34%52.39%54.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.781.801.8560.61%56.03%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
TPS Turku (Visit)
Prediction 22.04%4.54fair odd
EV -0.826%
Edge -0.184%
Kelly -0.236%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.88%22.17%22.04%24.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.024.004.5027.78%24.87%25.00%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.59%3.91fair odd
EV +1.09%
Edge +0.276%
Kelly +0.370%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 3.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.29%25.49%25.57%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.573.603.9533.33%27.98%27.78%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IFK Mariehamn (Local): 52.37%; TPS Turku (Visit): 22.04%; Draw: 25.59%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.91. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.09%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.90%EV -6.78%E -3.81%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.81%EV -3.03%E -0.689%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.29%EV +1.09%E +0.276%K +0.370%G +0.004% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.43%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%EV -3.03%E -0.689%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.53%EV -2.75%E -0.723%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.43%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%EV -3.03%E -0.689%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.53%EV -2.75%E -0.723%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.52%EV -3.64%E -1.98%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.91%EV -2.81%E -0.637%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.57%EV -3.26%E -0.863%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-04 13:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -8.88%E -5.10%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -0.826%E -0.184%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -4.03%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 13:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -8.88%E -5.10%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -0.826%E -0.184%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -4.03%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 13:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.49%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -5.23%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.31%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -9.93%E -5.77%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -1.93%E -0.433%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -5.31%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 13:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -9.93%E -5.77%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -1.93%E -0.433%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -5.31%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 13:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -9.93%E -5.77%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.44%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -5.31%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -6.78%E -3.81%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -15.15%E -3.94%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -5.31%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-04 13:47 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.04%EV -7.31%E -4.13%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.24%EV -2.59%E -0.586%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -6.59%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 13:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.44%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.59%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 13:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.18%EV -10.97%E -6.45%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -9.64%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -6.59%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -7.31%E -4.13%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -5.23%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -6.84%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.34%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.44%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 13:58 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -7.31%E -4.13%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -7.44%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -17.36%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -17.36%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -17.36%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -17.36%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -17.36%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -17.36%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -17.36%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -17.36%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -17.36%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -7.31%E -4.13%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.35%E -4.77%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -12.95%E -3.28%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.15%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -4.16%E -2.28%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -17.36%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -9.15%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.75%EV -4.16%E -2.28%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -18.46%E -4.99%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -9.15%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.75%EV -4.16%E -2.28%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -18.46%E -4.99%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -9.15%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.75%EV -4.16%E -2.28%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -18.46%E -4.99%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -9.15%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.43%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 13:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.43%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.43%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.43%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.43%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 13:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.35%E -4.77%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.44%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.43%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 13:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.89%EV -6.78%E -3.81%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -14.05%E -3.60%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.43%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-04 13:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -8.35%E -4.77%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.43%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -12.54%E -7.51%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -10.43%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-04 13:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.88%EV -7.31%E -4.13%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -20.66%E -5.74%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.59%EV -11.71%E -3.39%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -8.35%E -4.77%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.99%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -8.35%E -4.77%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.99%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-04 13:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -8.35%E -4.77%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.99%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-04 13:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -8.35%E -4.77%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.99%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.35%E -4.77%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.05%E -3.60%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -12.99%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 51.50%EV -13.59%E -8.24%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.36%EV -16.25%E -4.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.14%EV -16.82%E -5.18%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-04-04 13:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 49.49%EV -12.54%E -7.51%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 22.96%EV -20.66%E -5.74%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.55%EV -23.22%E -7.74%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 21.0% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.24% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32% | 1.3% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.24% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32% | 1.3% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.24% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32% | 1.3% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |