L’École des cotes

IFK Mariehamn v TPS Turku

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 14:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IFK Mariehamn (Local)

Prévision 52.37%1.91cote équitable
EV -3.12%
Avantage -1.69%
Kelly -3.67%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.49%52.34%52.39%54.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.781.801.8560.61%56.03%55.56%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

TPS Turku (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.04%4.54cote équitable
EV -0.826%
Avantage -0.184%
Kelly -0.236%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.88%22.17%22.04%24.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.024.004.5027.78%24.87%25.00%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.59%3.91cote équitable
EV +1.09%
Avantage +0.276%
Kelly +0.370%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.29%25.49%25.57%27.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.573.603.9533.33%27.98%27.78%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.90%EV -6.78%E -3.81%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.81%EV -3.03%E -0.689%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.29%EV +1.09%E +0.276%K +0.370%G +0.004%4.2%2026-04-04 13:59
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.43%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%EV -3.03%E -0.689%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.53%EV -2.75%E -0.723%K -0.982%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 14:00
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.43%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%EV -3.03%E -0.689%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.53%EV -2.75%E -0.723%K -0.982%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 14:00
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 52.52%EV -3.64%E -1.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.91%EV -2.81%E -0.637%K -0.824%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.57%EV -3.26%E -0.863%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 13:59
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -8.88%E -5.10%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -0.826%E -0.184%K -0.236%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -4.03%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 13:59
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -8.88%E -5.10%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -0.826%E -0.184%K -0.236%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -4.03%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 13:59
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.49%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -5.23%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.31%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 14:00
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -9.93%E -5.77%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -1.93%E -0.433%K -0.559%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -5.31%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 13:59
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -9.93%E -5.77%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -1.93%E -0.433%K -0.559%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -5.31%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 13:59
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -9.93%E -5.77%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.44%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -5.31%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 14:00
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -6.78%E -3.81%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -15.15%E -3.94%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -5.31%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 13:47
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 53.04%EV -7.31%E -4.13%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.24%EV -2.59%E -0.586%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -6.59%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 13:59
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.44%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.59%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 13:50
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 53.18%EV -10.97%E -6.45%K -15.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -9.64%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -6.59%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-04 14:00
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -7.31%E -4.13%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -5.23%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -6.84%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 14:00
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.34%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 14:00
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.44%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 13:58
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -7.31%E -4.13%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -7.44%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 14:00
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -17.36%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 14:00
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -17.36%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 13:59
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -17.36%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 14:00
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -17.36%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 14:00
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -17.36%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 14:00
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -17.36%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 14:00
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -17.36%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 14:00
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -17.36%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 14:00
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -17.36%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 14:00
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -7.31%E -4.13%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 14:00
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.35%E -4.77%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 14:00
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -12.95%E -3.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.15%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -4.16%E -2.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -17.36%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -9.15%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 14:00
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 49.75%EV -4.16%E -2.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -18.46%E -4.99%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -9.15%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 14:00
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.75%EV -4.16%E -2.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -18.46%E -4.99%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -9.15%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 14:00
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.75%EV -4.16%E -2.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -18.46%E -4.99%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -9.15%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 14:00
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.43%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 13:59
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.43%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 14:00
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.43%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 13:59
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.43%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 13:59
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.43%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 13:59
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.35%E -4.77%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.44%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.43%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 13:59
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.89%EV -6.78%E -3.81%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -14.05%E -3.60%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.43%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 13:59
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -8.35%E -4.77%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.43%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 14:00
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -12.54%E -7.51%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -10.43%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-04 13:55
PMU (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 49.88%EV -7.31%E -4.13%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -20.66%E -5.74%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.59%EV -11.71%E -3.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-04 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -8.35%E -4.77%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.99%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -8.35%E -4.77%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.99%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 13:59
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -8.35%E -4.77%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.99%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 13:59
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -8.35%E -4.77%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.99%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 14:00
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.35%E -4.77%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.05%E -3.60%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -12.99%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 14:00
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 51.50%EV -13.59%E -8.24%K -20.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.36%EV -16.25%E -4.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.14%EV -16.82%E -5.18%K -7.48%G +0.000%17.7%2026-04-04 13:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 49.49%EV -12.54%E -7.51%K -18.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 22.96%EV -20.66%E -5.74%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.55%EV -23.22%E -7.74%K -11.61%G +0.000%21.0%2026-04-04 14:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-04-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.24%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32%1.3%2026-04-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.24%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32%1.3%2026-04-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.24%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32%1.3%2026-04-04 14:00