La escuela de los momios

IFK Mariehamn v TPS Turku

Inicio: 2026-04-04 14:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IFK Mariehamn (Local)

Predicción 52.37%1.91momio equitativo
EV -3.12%
Ventaja -1.69%
Kelly -3.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.49%52.34%52.39%54.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.781.801.8560.61%56.03%55.56%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

TPS Turku (Visitante)

Predicción 22.04%4.54momio equitativo
EV -0.826%
Ventaja -0.184%
Kelly -0.236%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.88%22.17%22.04%24.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.024.004.5027.78%24.87%25.00%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.59%3.91momio equitativo
EV +1.09%
Ventaja +0.276%
Kelly +0.370%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.29%25.49%25.57%27.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.573.603.9533.33%27.98%27.78%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.90%EV -6.78%E -3.81%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.81%EV -3.03%E -0.689%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.29%EV +1.09%E +0.276%K +0.370%G +0.004%4.2%2026-04-04 13:59
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.43%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%EV -3.03%E -0.689%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.53%EV -2.75%E -0.723%K -0.982%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 14:00
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.43%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%EV -3.03%E -0.689%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.53%EV -2.75%E -0.723%K -0.982%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 14:00
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 52.52%EV -3.64%E -1.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.91%EV -2.81%E -0.637%K -0.824%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.57%EV -3.26%E -0.863%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 13:59
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -8.88%E -5.10%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -0.826%E -0.184%K -0.236%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -4.03%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 13:59
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -8.88%E -5.10%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -0.826%E -0.184%K -0.236%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -4.03%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 13:59
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.49%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -5.23%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.31%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 14:00
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -9.93%E -5.77%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -1.93%E -0.433%K -0.559%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -5.31%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 13:59
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -9.93%E -5.77%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -1.93%E -0.433%K -0.559%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -5.31%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 13:59
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -9.93%E -5.77%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.44%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -5.31%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 14:00
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -6.78%E -3.81%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -15.15%E -3.94%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -5.31%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 13:47
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 53.04%EV -7.31%E -4.13%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.24%EV -2.59%E -0.586%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -6.59%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 13:59
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.44%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.59%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 13:50
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 53.18%EV -10.97%E -6.45%K -15.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -9.64%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -6.59%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-04 14:00
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -7.31%E -4.13%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -5.23%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -6.84%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 14:00
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.34%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 14:00
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.44%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 13:58
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -7.31%E -4.13%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -7.44%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 14:00
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -17.36%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 14:00
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -17.36%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 13:59
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -17.36%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 14:00
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -17.36%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 14:00
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -17.36%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 14:00
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -17.36%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 14:00
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -17.36%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 14:00
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -17.36%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 14:00
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -17.36%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 14:00
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -7.31%E -4.13%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 14:00
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.35%E -4.77%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 14:00
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -12.95%E -3.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.15%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -4.16%E -2.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -17.36%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -9.15%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 14:00
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 49.75%EV -4.16%E -2.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -18.46%E -4.99%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -9.15%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 14:00
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.75%EV -4.16%E -2.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -18.46%E -4.99%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -9.15%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 14:00
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.75%EV -4.16%E -2.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -18.46%E -4.99%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -9.15%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 14:00
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.43%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 13:59
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.43%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 14:00
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.43%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 13:59
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.43%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 13:59
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.43%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 13:59
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.35%E -4.77%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.44%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.43%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 13:59
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.89%EV -6.78%E -3.81%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -14.05%E -3.60%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.43%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 13:59
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -8.35%E -4.77%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.43%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 14:00
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -12.54%E -7.51%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -10.43%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-04 13:55
PMU (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 49.88%EV -7.31%E -4.13%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -20.66%E -5.74%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.59%EV -11.71%E -3.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-04 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -8.35%E -4.77%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.99%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -8.35%E -4.77%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.99%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 13:59
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -8.35%E -4.77%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.99%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 13:59
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -8.35%E -4.77%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.99%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 14:00
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.35%E -4.77%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.05%E -3.60%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -12.99%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 14:00
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 51.50%EV -13.59%E -8.24%K -20.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.36%EV -16.25%E -4.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.14%EV -16.82%E -5.18%K -7.48%G +0.000%17.7%2026-04-04 13:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 49.49%EV -12.54%E -7.51%K -18.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 22.96%EV -20.66%E -5.74%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.55%EV -23.22%E -7.74%K -11.61%G +0.000%21.0%2026-04-04 14:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-04-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.24%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32%1.3%2026-04-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.24%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32%1.3%2026-04-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.24%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32%1.3%2026-04-04 14:00