Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

IFK Mariehamn v SJK Seinäjoki

2026-08-15 16:00 UTC — Veikkausliiga - Finland

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IFK Mariehamn (Local)

Prediction 19.50%5.13fair odd
EV -8.34%
Edge -1.77%
Kelly -2.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.36%19.50%19.50%20.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.634.704.7023.81%21.62%21.28%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SJK Seinäjoki (Visit)

Prediction 57.29%1.75fair odd
EV -6.62%
Edge -4.06%
Kelly -10.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.25%57.29%57.29%57.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.591.601.6365.36%62.85%62.50%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.21%4.31fair odd
EV -7.17%
Edge -1.79%
Kelly -2.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.61%23.21%23.21%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.964.004.0027.03%25.26%25.00%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: IFK Mariehamn (Local): 19.50%; SJK Seinäjoki (Visit): 57.29%; Draw: 23.21%. For SJK Seinäjoki (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.75. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.63, with an expected value of -6.62%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -8.34%E -1.77%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -8.34%E -5.21%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 16:05
Casumo🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -8.34%E -1.77%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -8.34%E -5.21%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 16:04
Unibet (NL)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -8.34%E -1.77%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -8.34%E -5.21%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 16:04
TABtouch🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -8.34%E -1.77%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -8.34%E -5.21%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 16:04
Grosvenor🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -8.34%E -1.77%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -8.34%E -5.21%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 16:04
Unibet (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -8.34%E -1.77%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -8.34%E -5.21%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 16:05
Svenska Spel🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -8.34%E -1.77%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -8.34%E -5.21%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 16:04
betPARX🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -8.34%E -1.77%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -8.34%E -5.21%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 16:05
ATG (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -8.34%E -1.77%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -8.34%E -5.21%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -8.34%E -1.77%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.29%EV -8.34%E -5.21%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -8.34%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 16:04
BetRivers🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -8.34%E -1.77%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.29%EV -8.34%E -5.21%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -8.34%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 16:05
Virgin Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -8.34%E -1.77%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.60%EV -9.48%E -6.00%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -8.34%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 16:04
LiveScore Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -8.34%E -1.77%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.60%EV -9.48%E -6.00%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -8.34%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 16:05
1xBet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -12.24%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.51%EV -6.62%E -4.06%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 16:14
PMU (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -12.24%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.38%EV -12.35%E -8.07%K -23.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -11.82%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-08 16:05
LeoVegas🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -15.55%E -3.59%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -8.34%E -5.21%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 16:05
Unibet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 20.49%EV -18.09%E -4.31%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.25%EV -12.35%E -8.07%K -23.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.26%EV -14.14%E -3.82%K -5.24%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-08 16:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.