Language:English
IFK Mariehamn v SJK Seinäjoki
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
IFK Mariehamn (Local)
Prediction 19.93%5.02fair odd
EV +3.65%
Edge +0.701%
Kelly +0.868%
Growth +0.032%
assuming max odds 5.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.99%19.94%19.98%21.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.694.705.2023.26%21.31%21.28%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
SJK Seinäjoki (Visit)
Prediction 58.36%1.71fair odd
EV -3.70%
Edge -2.24%
Kelly -5.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.48%58.34%58.34%60.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.571.571.6569.93%63.73%63.69%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.71%4.61fair odd
EV +3.10%
Edge +0.654%
Kelly +0.828%
Growth +0.026%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.24%21.72%21.69%23.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.224.254.7525.97%23.68%23.53%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IFK Mariehamn (Local): 19.93%; SJK Seinäjoki (Visit): 58.36%; Draw: 21.71%. For IFK Mariehamn (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.02. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.65%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +3.65%E +0.701%K +0.868%G +0.032% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -10.12%E -6.57%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 12:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +3.65%E +0.701%K +0.868%G +0.032% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -10.12%E -6.57%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 12:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +3.65%E +0.701%K +0.868%G +0.032% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -10.12%E -6.57%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 12:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +3.65%E +0.701%K +0.868%G +0.032% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -10.12%E -6.57%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 12:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +3.65%E +0.701%K +0.868%G +0.032% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -10.12%E -6.57%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 12:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +3.65%E +0.701%K +0.868%G +0.032% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -10.12%E -6.57%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 12:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +3.65%E +0.701%K +0.868%G +0.032% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -10.12%E -6.57%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 12:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +3.65%E +0.701%K +0.868%G +0.032% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -10.12%E -6.57%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 12:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +3.65%E +0.701%K +0.868%G +0.032% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -10.12%E -6.57%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 12:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV +1.65%E +0.324%K +0.403%G +0.007% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.13%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.52%EV -13.61%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 15:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.89I 20.45%NM 19.66%EV -2.53%E -0.518%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.09%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.24%EV +3.10%E +0.654%K +0.828%G +0.026% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 13:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.97%EV -3.93%E -0.815%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.34%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.68%EV -3.62%E -0.816%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 15:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.33%E -0.901%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.33%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -6.66%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 15:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.33%E -0.901%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.33%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -6.66%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 15:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -4.33%E -0.901%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.40%EV -9.54%E -6.15%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -6.66%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 12:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -4.33%E -0.901%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.91%EV -13.62%E -9.21%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-15 12:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -4.33%E -0.901%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.91%EV -13.62%E -9.21%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-15 12:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -4.33%E -0.901%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.91%EV -13.62%E -9.21%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-15 12:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -4.33%E -0.901%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.91%EV -13.62%E -9.21%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-15 12:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.32%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -5.58%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 15:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -5.32%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.26%EV -8.37%E -5.33%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 12:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.73I 21.14%NM 19.85%EV -5.72%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.67%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.48%EV -5.14%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 13:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -6.32%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.64%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -6.66%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -6.32%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.09%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%EV -6.66%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 15:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -6.32%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.09%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%EV -6.66%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 15:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%EV -6.32%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.24%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.81%EV -6.66%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 15:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.32%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.39%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -6.66%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 15:48 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -6.32%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.63%EV -7.20%E -4.53%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -6.01%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 15:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.31%EV -6.32%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.18%EV -16.54%E -11.57%K -38.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.51%EV -13.18%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-08-15 12:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -8.31%E -1.81%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -13.18%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 15:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -8.31%E -1.81%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -13.18%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 15:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -8.31%E -1.81%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -13.18%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 15:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -8.31%E -1.81%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -13.18%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 15:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -10.31%E -2.29%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.89%EV -7.20%E -4.53%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -7.75%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 15:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -10.31%E -2.29%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.89%EV -7.20%E -4.53%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -7.75%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 15:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.31%E -2.29%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.04%EV -7.79%E -4.93%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -7.75%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 15:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.05%EV -10.31%E -2.29%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.52%EV -15.96%E -11.08%K -36.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -13.18%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-08-15 12:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -12.30%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.56%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.62%EV -12.09%E -2.99%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 15:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -12.30%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.56%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.62%EV -12.09%E -2.99%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 15:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.47%EV -12.30%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.09%EV -9.54%E -6.15%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -8.83%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-15 15:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -12.30%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -8.37%E -5.33%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -13.18%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-15 15:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -12.30%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -10.71%E -7.00%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.48%EV -9.92%E -2.39%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 15:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -13.69%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.50%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -6.01%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 15:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.18%EV -13.69%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -8.83%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 15:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -13.69%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -8.37%E -5.33%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -8.83%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.73%EV -13.69%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.90%EV -9.54%E -6.15%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -8.83%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-15 12:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.73%EV -13.69%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.90%EV -9.54%E -6.15%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -8.83%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-15 12:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.73%EV -13.69%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.90%EV -9.54%E -6.15%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -8.83%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-15 12:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.73%EV -13.69%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.90%EV -9.54%E -6.15%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -8.83%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-15 12:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -13.69%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -8.37%E -5.33%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -13.18%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 15:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -13.69%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.29%EV -9.54%E -6.15%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.18%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-15 15:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.03%EV -14.29%E -3.32%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.48%EV -4.87%E -2.99%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -16.43%E -4.27%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 15:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.84% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.05% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 15:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.21% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.73% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.36% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.92% | 1.4% | 2026-08-15 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.73% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.36% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.92% | 1.4% | 2026-08-15 15:50 |