Idioma:Español
IFK Mariehamn v SJK Seinäjoki
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
IFK Mariehamn (Local)
Predicción 19.93%5.02momio equitativo
EV +3.65%
Ventaja +0.701%
Kelly +0.868%
Crecimiento +0.032%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.99%19.94%19.98%21.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.304.694.705.2023.26%21.31%21.28%19.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
SJK Seinäjoki (Visitante)
Predicción 58.36%1.71momio equitativo
EV -3.70%
Ventaja -2.24%
Kelly -5.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.48%58.34%58.34%60.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.431.571.571.6569.93%63.73%63.69%60.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 21.71%4.61momio equitativo
EV +3.10%
Ventaja +0.654%
Kelly +0.828%
Crecimiento +0.026%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.24%21.72%21.69%23.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.854.224.254.7525.97%23.68%23.53%21.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: IFK Mariehamn (Local): 19.93%; SJK Seinäjoki (Visitante): 58.36%; Empate: 21.71%. Para IFK Mariehamn (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.02. 10 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.20, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.65%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +3.65%E +0.701%K +0.868%G +0.032% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -10.12%E -6.57%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 12:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +3.65%E +0.701%K +0.868%G +0.032% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -10.12%E -6.57%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 12:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +3.65%E +0.701%K +0.868%G +0.032% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -10.12%E -6.57%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 12:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +3.65%E +0.701%K +0.868%G +0.032% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -10.12%E -6.57%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 12:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +3.65%E +0.701%K +0.868%G +0.032% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -10.12%E -6.57%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 12:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +3.65%E +0.701%K +0.868%G +0.032% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -10.12%E -6.57%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 12:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +3.65%E +0.701%K +0.868%G +0.032% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -10.12%E -6.57%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 12:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +3.65%E +0.701%K +0.868%G +0.032% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -10.12%E -6.57%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 12:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +3.65%E +0.701%K +0.868%G +0.032% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -10.12%E -6.57%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 12:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV +1.65%E +0.324%K +0.403%G +0.007% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.13%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.52%EV -13.61%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 15:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.89I 20.45%NM 19.66%EV -2.53%E -0.518%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.09%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.24%EV +3.10%E +0.654%K +0.828%G +0.026% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 13:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.97%EV -3.93%E -0.815%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.34%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.68%EV -3.62%E -0.816%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 15:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.33%E -0.901%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.33%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -6.66%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 15:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.33%E -0.901%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.33%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -6.66%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 15:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -4.33%E -0.901%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.40%EV -9.54%E -6.15%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -6.66%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 12:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -4.33%E -0.901%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.91%EV -13.62%E -9.21%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-15 12:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -4.33%E -0.901%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.91%EV -13.62%E -9.21%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-15 12:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -4.33%E -0.901%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.91%EV -13.62%E -9.21%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-15 12:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -4.33%E -0.901%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.91%EV -13.62%E -9.21%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-15 12:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.32%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -5.58%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 15:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -5.32%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.26%EV -8.37%E -5.33%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 12:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.73I 21.14%NM 19.85%EV -5.72%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.67%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.48%EV -5.14%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 13:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -6.32%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.64%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -6.66%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -6.32%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.09%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%EV -6.66%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 15:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -6.32%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.09%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%EV -6.66%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 15:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%EV -6.32%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.24%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.81%EV -6.66%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 15:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.32%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.39%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -6.66%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 15:48 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -6.32%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.63%EV -7.20%E -4.53%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -6.01%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 15:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.31%EV -6.32%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.18%EV -16.54%E -11.57%K -38.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.51%EV -13.18%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-08-15 12:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -8.31%E -1.81%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -13.18%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 15:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -8.31%E -1.81%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -13.18%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 15:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -8.31%E -1.81%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -13.18%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 15:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -8.31%E -1.81%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -13.18%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 15:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -10.31%E -2.29%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.89%EV -7.20%E -4.53%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -7.75%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 15:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -10.31%E -2.29%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.89%EV -7.20%E -4.53%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -7.75%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 15:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.31%E -2.29%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.04%EV -7.79%E -4.93%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -7.75%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 15:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.05%EV -10.31%E -2.29%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.52%EV -15.96%E -11.08%K -36.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -13.18%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-08-15 12:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -12.30%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.56%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.62%EV -12.09%E -2.99%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 15:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -12.30%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.56%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.62%EV -12.09%E -2.99%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 15:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.47%EV -12.30%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.09%EV -9.54%E -6.15%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -8.83%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-15 15:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -12.30%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -8.37%E -5.33%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -13.18%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-15 15:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -12.30%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -10.71%E -7.00%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.48%EV -9.92%E -2.39%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 15:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -13.69%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.50%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -6.01%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 15:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.18%EV -13.69%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -8.83%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 15:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -13.69%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -8.37%E -5.33%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -8.83%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.73%EV -13.69%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.90%EV -9.54%E -6.15%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -8.83%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-15 12:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.73%EV -13.69%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.90%EV -9.54%E -6.15%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -8.83%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-15 12:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.73%EV -13.69%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.90%EV -9.54%E -6.15%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -8.83%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-15 12:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.73%EV -13.69%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.90%EV -9.54%E -6.15%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -8.83%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-15 12:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -13.69%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -8.37%E -5.33%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -13.18%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 15:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -13.69%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.29%EV -9.54%E -6.15%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.18%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-15 15:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.03%EV -14.29%E -3.32%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.48%EV -4.87%E -2.99%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -16.43%E -4.27%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 15:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.84% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.05% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 15:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.21% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.73% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.36% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.92% | 1.4% | 2026-08-15 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.73% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.36% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.92% | 1.4% | 2026-08-15 15:50 |