Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IFK Mariehamn v SJK Seinäjoki

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-15 16:00 UTC

Score final : IFK Mariehamn 2–0 SJK Seinäjoki

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IFK Mariehamn (Local)

Prévision 19.93%5.02cote équitable
EV +3.65%
Avantage +0.701%
Kelly +0.868%
Croissance +0.032%

avec la cote maximale 5.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.99%19.94%19.98%21.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.304.694.705.2023.26%21.31%21.28%19.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

SJK Seinäjoki (Visiteur)

Prévision 58.36%1.71cote équitable
EV -3.70%
Avantage -2.24%
Kelly -5.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.48%58.34%58.34%60.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.431.571.571.6569.93%63.73%63.69%60.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.71%4.61cote équitable
EV +3.10%
Avantage +0.654%
Kelly +0.828%
Croissance +0.026%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.24%21.72%21.69%23.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.854.224.254.7525.97%23.68%23.53%21.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : IFK Mariehamn (Local) : 19.93% ; SJK Seinäjoki (Visiteur) : 58.36% ; Match nul : 21.71%. Pour IFK Mariehamn (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.02. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.20, soit une espérance positive de +3.65%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +3.65%E +0.701%K +0.868%G +0.032%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -10.12%E -6.57%K -18.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 12:19
Casumo🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +3.65%E +0.701%K +0.868%G +0.032%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -10.12%E -6.57%K -18.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 12:15
Unibet (NL)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +3.65%E +0.701%K +0.868%G +0.032%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -10.12%E -6.57%K -18.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 12:15
TABtouch🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +3.65%E +0.701%K +0.868%G +0.032%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -10.12%E -6.57%K -18.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 12:19
Grosvenor🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +3.65%E +0.701%K +0.868%G +0.032%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -10.12%E -6.57%K -18.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 12:20
Unibet (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +3.65%E +0.701%K +0.868%G +0.032%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -10.12%E -6.57%K -18.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 12:20
Svenska Spel🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +3.65%E +0.701%K +0.868%G +0.032%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -10.12%E -6.57%K -18.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 12:19
betPARX🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +3.65%E +0.701%K +0.868%G +0.032%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -10.12%E -6.57%K -18.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 12:20
ATG (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +3.65%E +0.701%K +0.868%G +0.032%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -10.12%E -6.57%K -18.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 12:19
1xBet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV +1.65%E +0.324%K +0.403%G +0.007%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.13%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.52%EV -13.61%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 15:59
Coolbet🎯4.89I 20.45%NM 19.66%EV -2.53%E -0.518%K -0.651%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.09%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.24%EV +3.10%E +0.654%K +0.828%G +0.026%4.0%2026-08-15 13:19
Pinnacle🎯4.82I 20.75%NM 19.97%EV -3.93%E -0.815%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.34%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.68%EV -3.62%E -0.816%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 15:50
BetUS🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.33%E -0.901%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.33%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -6.66%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 15:59
BetAnything🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.33%E -0.901%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.33%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -6.66%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 15:59
Tipico (DE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -4.33%E -0.901%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.40%EV -9.54%E -6.15%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -6.66%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 12:19
Virgin Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -4.33%E -0.901%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 59.91%EV -13.62%E -9.21%K -28.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 12:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -4.33%E -0.901%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 59.91%EV -13.62%E -9.21%K -28.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 12:19
BetRivers🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -4.33%E -0.901%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 59.91%EV -13.62%E -9.21%K -28.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 12:15
LiveScore Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -4.33%E -0.901%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 59.91%EV -13.62%E -9.21%K -28.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 12:20
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.32%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -5.58%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 15:04
BetMGM🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -5.32%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.26%EV -8.37%E -5.33%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 12:19
GTbets🎯4.73I 21.14%NM 19.85%EV -5.72%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.67%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.48%EV -5.14%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 13:09
DraftKings🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -6.32%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.64%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -6.66%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 15:50
BetOnline.ag🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -6.32%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.09%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%EV -6.66%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 15:49
LowVig.ag🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -6.32%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.09%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%EV -6.66%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 15:49
FanDuel🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%EV -6.32%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.24%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.81%EV -6.66%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 15:45
Bovada🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.32%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.39%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -6.66%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 15:48
Marathon Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -6.32%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.63%EV -7.20%E -4.53%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -6.01%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 15:44
PMU (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.31%EV -6.32%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 60.18%EV -16.54%E -11.57%K -38.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.51%EV -13.18%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-15 12:19
William Hill🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -8.31%E -1.81%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -13.18%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 15:59
888sport🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -8.31%E -1.81%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -13.18%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 15:59
888sport (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -8.31%E -1.81%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -13.18%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 15:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -8.31%E -1.81%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -13.18%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 15:59
SportsBet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -10.31%E -2.29%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.89%EV -7.20%E -4.53%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -7.75%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 15:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -10.31%E -2.29%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.89%EV -7.20%E -4.53%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -7.75%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 15:54
Bet Right🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.31%E -2.29%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.04%EV -7.79%E -4.93%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -7.75%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 15:54
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.05%EV -10.31%E -2.29%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.52%EV -15.96%E -11.08%K -36.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -13.18%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-15 12:30
Betsson🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -12.30%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.56%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.62%EV -12.09%E -2.99%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 15:54
NordicBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -12.30%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.56%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.62%EV -12.09%E -2.99%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 15:55
Betr (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.47%EV -12.30%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.09%EV -9.54%E -6.15%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -8.83%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 15:55
Paddy Power🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -12.30%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -8.37%E -5.33%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -13.18%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-15 15:44
Unibet (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -12.30%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -10.71%E -7.00%K -20.20%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.48%EV -9.92%E -2.39%K -3.15%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 15:49
LeoVegas🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -13.69%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.50%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -6.01%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 15:50
Betway🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.18%EV -13.69%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -8.83%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 15:49
betfred_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -13.69%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -8.37%E -5.33%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -8.83%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.73%EV -13.69%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.90%EV -9.54%E -6.15%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -8.83%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-15 12:19
Coral🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.73%EV -13.69%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.90%EV -9.54%E -6.15%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -8.83%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-15 12:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.73%EV -13.69%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.90%EV -9.54%E -6.15%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -8.83%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-15 12:19
Neds🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.73%EV -13.69%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.90%EV -9.54%E -6.15%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -8.83%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-15 12:19
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -13.69%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -8.37%E -5.33%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -13.18%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -13.69%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.29%EV -9.54%E -6.15%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.18%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-15 15:49
PlayUp🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.03%EV -14.29%E -3.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.48%EV -4.87%E -2.99%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -16.43%E -4.27%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 15:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.84%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.05%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11%0.8%2026-08-15 15:59
Matchbook◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.21%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-08-15 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.73%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.36%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.92%1.4%2026-08-15 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.73%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.36%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.92%1.4%2026-08-15 15:50