Language:English
IFK Mariehamn v KuPS Kuopio
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
IFK Mariehamn (Local)
Prediction 13.95%7.17fair odd
EV +4.63%
Edge +0.618%
Kelly +0.713%
Growth +0.033%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.05%13.82%14.07%15.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.656.757.5016.67%15.04%14.81%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
KuPS Kuopio (Visit)
Prediction 64.75%1.54fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -2.37%
Kelly -7.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%64.79%64.76%67.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.421.431.4976.92%70.49%69.93%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.30%4.69fair odd
EV -0.093%
Edge -0.020%
Kelly -0.025%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.50%21.39%21.16%23.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.234.254.6927.78%23.62%23.53%21.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IFK Mariehamn (Local): 13.95%; KuPS Kuopio (Visit): 64.75%; Draw: 21.30%. For IFK Mariehamn (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.17. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.63%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV +4.63%E +0.618%K +0.713%G +0.033% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -10.65%E -7.72%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -4.14%E -0.920%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +4.63%E +0.618%K +0.713%G +0.033% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -9.35%E -6.68%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.53%E -2.51%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV +4.63%E +0.618%K +0.713%G +0.033% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -11.94%E -8.78%K -33.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV +4.63%E +0.618%K +0.713%G +0.033% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.94%EV -12.59%E -9.33%K -35.98%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -8.40%E -1.95%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.17%EV +1.84%E +0.252%K +0.292%G +0.005% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.32%EV -6.12%E -4.22%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.50%EV -0.093%E -0.020%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -2.34%E -0.335%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -2.34%E -0.335%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -2.34%E -0.335%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -2.34%E -0.335%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.06%EV -8.06%E -5.68%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -9.47%E -2.23%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -2.34%E -0.335%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.06%EV -8.71%E -6.18%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -10.53%E -2.51%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -2.34%E -0.335%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -9.35%E -6.68%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.79%E -3.70%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -2.34%E -0.335%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -11.94%E -8.78%K -33.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -10.53%E -2.51%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -2.34%E -0.335%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -11.94%E -8.78%K -33.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -14.79%E -3.70%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV -3.74%E -0.542%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -7.41%E -5.18%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -5.21%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -5.13%E -0.755%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.96%EV -4.17%E -2.82%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.90%EV -2.01%E -0.437%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -7.41%E -5.18%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -7.41%E -5.18%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -7.41%E -5.18%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.34%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -7.41%E -5.18%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.34%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.69%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.07%EV -8.06%E -5.68%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -7.34%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.69%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.07%EV -8.06%E -5.68%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -7.34%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.69%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.07%EV -8.06%E -5.68%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -7.34%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.69%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.07%EV -8.06%E -5.68%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -7.34%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.69%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.07%EV -8.06%E -5.68%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -7.34%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -9.35%E -6.68%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.07%EV -9.35%E -6.68%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.47%E -2.23%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.90%EV -9.35%E -6.68%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -10.53%E -2.51%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.39%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -9.35%E -6.68%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -12.66%E -3.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.53I 15.31%NM 14.37%EV -8.90%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.40%EV -4.17%E -2.82%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.23%EV -10.11%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -9.32%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.57%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -9.32%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -10.53%E -2.51%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -9.32%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -10.53%E -2.51%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.32%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.79%E -3.70%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -9.32%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.89%EV -9.35%E -6.68%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -8.40%E -1.95%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -9.32%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.89%EV -9.35%E -6.68%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -8.40%E -1.95%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -9.32%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -16.92%E -4.34%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -9.32%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -16.92%E -4.34%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.32%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -9.35%E -6.68%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.53%E -2.51%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 12.81%EV -9.32%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 64.06%EV -15.83%E -12.18%K -52.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.13%EV -23.31%E -6.48%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.43I 15.55%NM 14.54%EV -10.30%E -1.60%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.73%EV -3.53%E -2.37%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 22.74%EV -12.45%E -3.03%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV -10.71%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.79%EV -4.17%E -2.82%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV -10.71%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.79%EV -4.17%E -2.82%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV -10.71%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.79%EV -4.17%E -2.82%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -12.81%E -2.05%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -5.47%E -3.75%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 13.53%EV -12.81%E -2.05%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 65.06%EV -15.83%E -12.18%K -52.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.41%EV -15.86%E -4.01%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -16.29%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.01%EV -7.41%E -5.18%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -12.66%E -3.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.29%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.79%E -3.70%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.29%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.79%E -3.70%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.29%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.79%E -3.70%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.29%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.79%E -3.70%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.93%EV -16.29%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -7.41%E -5.18%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -14.79%E -3.70%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -16.29%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -11.94%E -8.78%K -33.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -10.53%E -2.51%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.51%EV -16.29%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.00%EV -11.94%E -8.78%K -33.18%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.49%EV -13.73%E -3.39%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.40% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.40% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.61% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.90% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.49% | 1.7% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |