L’École des cotes

IFK Mariehamn v KuPS Kuopio

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 14:04 UTC

Score final : IFK Mariehamn 1–1 KuPS Kuopio

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IFK Mariehamn (Local)

Prévision 13.95%7.17cote équitable
EV +4.63%
Avantage +0.618%
Kelly +0.713%
Croissance +0.033%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.05%13.82%14.07%15.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.006.656.757.5016.67%15.04%14.81%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

KuPS Kuopio (Visiteur)

Prévision 64.75%1.54cote équitable
EV -3.53%
Avantage -2.37%
Kelly -7.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.50%64.79%64.76%67.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.421.431.4976.92%70.49%69.93%67.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.30%4.69cote équitable
EV -0.093%
Avantage -0.020%
Kelly -0.025%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.50%21.39%21.16%23.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.234.254.6927.78%23.62%23.53%21.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV +4.63%E +0.618%K +0.713%G +0.033%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -10.65%E -7.72%K -28.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -4.14%E -0.920%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 13:59
Unibet (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +4.63%E +0.618%K +0.713%G +0.033%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -9.35%E -6.68%K -23.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.53%E -2.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 14:00
SportsBet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV +4.63%E +0.618%K +0.713%G +0.033%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -11.94%E -8.78%K -33.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 14:00
Tipico (DE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV +4.63%E +0.618%K +0.713%G +0.033%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.94%EV -12.59%E -9.33%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -8.40%E -1.95%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 14:00
Pinnacle7.30I 13.70%NM 13.17%EV +1.84%E +0.252%K +0.292%G +0.005%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.32%EV -6.12%E -4.22%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.50%EV -0.093%E -0.020%K -0.025%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 13:59
Unibet (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -2.34%E -0.335%K -0.391%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 14:00
Svenska Spel7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -2.34%E -0.335%K -0.391%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 14:00
betPARX7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -2.34%E -0.335%K -0.391%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 14:00
PointsBet (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -2.34%E -0.335%K -0.391%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.06%EV -8.06%E -5.68%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -9.47%E -2.23%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 13:59
Bet Right7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -2.34%E -0.335%K -0.391%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.06%EV -8.71%E -6.18%K -21.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -10.53%E -2.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 13:59
betfred_uk7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -2.34%E -0.335%K -0.391%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -9.35%E -6.68%K -23.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.79%E -3.70%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 13:59
Paddy Power7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -2.34%E -0.335%K -0.391%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -11.94%E -8.78%K -33.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -10.53%E -2.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-16 14:00
Sky Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -2.34%E -0.335%K -0.391%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -11.94%E -8.78%K -33.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -14.79%E -3.70%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-16 14:00
Betsson6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV -3.74%E -0.542%K -0.634%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -7.41%E -5.18%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -5.21%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 14:00
Coolbet6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -5.13%E -0.755%K -0.885%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.96%EV -4.17%E -2.82%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.90%EV -2.01%E -0.437%K -0.559%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 13:59
Bovada6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -7.41%E -5.18%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 14:00
BetUS6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -7.41%E -5.18%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 13:59
Grosvenor6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -7.41%E -5.18%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.34%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 14:00
LiveScore Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -7.41%E -5.18%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.34%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 14:00
Unibet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.69%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.07%EV -8.06%E -5.68%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -7.34%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 14:00
TABtouch6.75I 14.81%NM 13.69%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.07%EV -8.06%E -5.68%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -7.34%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 13:59
Unibet (NL)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.69%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.07%EV -8.06%E -5.68%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -7.34%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 14:00
Casumo6.75I 14.81%NM 13.69%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.07%EV -8.06%E -5.68%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -7.34%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 14:00
ATG (SE)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.69%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.07%EV -8.06%E -5.68%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -7.34%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 14:00
BetRivers6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -9.35%E -6.68%K -23.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.07%EV -9.35%E -6.68%K -23.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.47%E -2.23%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 14:00
Everygame6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.90%EV -9.35%E -6.68%K -23.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -10.53%E -2.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 13:59
Betr (AU)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.39%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -9.35%E -6.68%K -23.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -12.66%E -3.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 14:00
GTbets6.53I 15.31%NM 14.37%EV -8.90%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.40%EV -4.17%E -2.82%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.23%EV -10.11%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 13:59
DraftKings6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -9.32%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.57%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 14:00
888sport6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -9.32%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -10.53%E -2.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 13:59
William Hill6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -9.32%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -10.53%E -2.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 14:00
Bet Victor6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.32%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.79%E -3.70%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 13:59
LeoVegas6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -9.32%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.89%EV -9.35%E -6.68%K -23.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -8.40%E -1.95%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 14:00
Virgin Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -9.32%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.89%EV -9.35%E -6.68%K -23.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -8.40%E -1.95%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 14:00
Mr Green (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -9.32%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -16.92%E -4.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 14:00
888sport (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -9.32%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -16.92%E -4.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 14:00
PlayUp6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.32%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -9.35%E -6.68%K -23.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.53%E -2.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 12.81%EV -9.32%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 64.06%EV -15.83%E -12.18%K -52.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.13%EV -23.31%E -6.48%K -8.97%G +0.000%20.1%2026-05-16 14:00
1xBet6.43I 15.55%NM 14.54%EV -10.30%E -1.60%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.73%EV -3.53%E -2.37%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 22.74%EV -12.45%E -3.03%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 13:59
BetOnline.ag6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV -10.71%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.79%EV -4.17%E -2.82%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 14:00
LowVig.ag6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV -10.71%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.79%EV -4.17%E -2.82%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 14:00
BetAnything6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV -10.71%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.79%EV -4.17%E -2.82%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 13:59
Marathon Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -12.81%E -2.05%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -5.47%E -3.75%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 13:59
PMU (FR)6.25I 16.00%NM 13.53%EV -12.81%E -2.05%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 65.06%EV -15.83%E -12.18%K -52.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.41%EV -15.86%E -4.01%K -5.38%G +0.000%18.2%2026-05-16 14:00
BetMGM6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -16.29%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.01%EV -7.41%E -5.18%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -12.66%E -3.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.29%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.79%E -3.70%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 14:00
Coral6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.29%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.79%E -3.70%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.29%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.79%E -3.70%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 13:59
Neds6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.29%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.79%E -3.70%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 13:59
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 14.93%EV -16.29%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -7.41%E -5.18%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -14.79%E -3.70%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-16 14:00
BoyleSports6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -16.29%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -11.94%E -8.78%K -33.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -10.53%E -2.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-16 14:00
Unibet (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.51%EV -16.29%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.00%EV -11.94%E -8.78%K -33.18%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.49%EV -13.73%E -3.39%K -4.50%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-16 13:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.40%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-05-16 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.40%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-05-16 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.61%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.90%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.49%1.7%2026-05-16 14:00