La escuela de los momios

IFK Mariehamn v KuPS Kuopio

Inicio: 2026-05-16 14:04 UTC

Final: IFK Mariehamn 1–1 KuPS Kuopio

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IFK Mariehamn (Local)

Predicción 13.95%7.17momio equitativo
EV +4.63%
Ventaja +0.618%
Kelly +0.713%
Crecimiento +0.033%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.05%13.82%14.07%15.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.006.656.757.5016.67%15.04%14.81%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

KuPS Kuopio (Visitante)

Predicción 64.75%1.54momio equitativo
EV -3.53%
Ventaja -2.37%
Kelly -7.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.49

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.50%64.79%64.76%67.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.421.431.4976.92%70.49%69.93%67.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.30%4.69momio equitativo
EV -0.093%
Ventaja -0.020%
Kelly -0.025%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.50%21.39%21.16%23.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.234.254.6927.78%23.62%23.53%21.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
FanDuel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV +4.63%E +0.618%K +0.713%G +0.033%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -10.65%E -7.72%K -28.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -4.14%E -0.920%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 13:59
Unibet (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +4.63%E +0.618%K +0.713%G +0.033%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -9.35%E -6.68%K -23.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.53%E -2.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 14:00
SportsBet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV +4.63%E +0.618%K +0.713%G +0.033%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -11.94%E -8.78%K -33.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 14:00
Tipico (DE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV +4.63%E +0.618%K +0.713%G +0.033%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.94%EV -12.59%E -9.33%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -8.40%E -1.95%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 14:00
Pinnacle7.30I 13.70%NM 13.17%EV +1.84%E +0.252%K +0.292%G +0.005%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.32%EV -6.12%E -4.22%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.50%EV -0.093%E -0.020%K -0.025%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 13:59
Unibet (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -2.34%E -0.335%K -0.391%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 14:00
Svenska Spel7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -2.34%E -0.335%K -0.391%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 14:00
betPARX7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -2.34%E -0.335%K -0.391%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 14:00
PointsBet (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -2.34%E -0.335%K -0.391%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.06%EV -8.06%E -5.68%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -9.47%E -2.23%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 13:59
Bet Right7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -2.34%E -0.335%K -0.391%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.06%EV -8.71%E -6.18%K -21.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -10.53%E -2.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 13:59
betfred_uk7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -2.34%E -0.335%K -0.391%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -9.35%E -6.68%K -23.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.79%E -3.70%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 13:59
Paddy Power7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -2.34%E -0.335%K -0.391%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -11.94%E -8.78%K -33.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -10.53%E -2.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-16 14:00
Sky Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -2.34%E -0.335%K -0.391%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -11.94%E -8.78%K -33.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -14.79%E -3.70%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-16 14:00
Betsson6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV -3.74%E -0.542%K -0.634%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -7.41%E -5.18%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -5.21%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 14:00
Coolbet6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -5.13%E -0.755%K -0.885%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.96%EV -4.17%E -2.82%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.90%EV -2.01%E -0.437%K -0.559%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 13:59
Bovada6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -7.41%E -5.18%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 14:00
BetUS6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -7.41%E -5.18%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 13:59
Grosvenor6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -7.41%E -5.18%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.34%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 14:00
LiveScore Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -7.41%E -5.18%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.34%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 14:00
Unibet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.69%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.07%EV -8.06%E -5.68%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -7.34%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 14:00
TABtouch6.75I 14.81%NM 13.69%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.07%EV -8.06%E -5.68%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -7.34%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 13:59
Unibet (NL)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.69%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.07%EV -8.06%E -5.68%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -7.34%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 14:00
Casumo6.75I 14.81%NM 13.69%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.07%EV -8.06%E -5.68%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -7.34%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 14:00
ATG (SE)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.69%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.07%EV -8.06%E -5.68%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -7.34%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 14:00
BetRivers6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -9.35%E -6.68%K -23.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.07%EV -9.35%E -6.68%K -23.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.47%E -2.23%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 14:00
Everygame6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.90%EV -9.35%E -6.68%K -23.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -10.53%E -2.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 13:59
Betr (AU)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.39%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -9.35%E -6.68%K -23.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -12.66%E -3.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 14:00
GTbets6.53I 15.31%NM 14.37%EV -8.90%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.40%EV -4.17%E -2.82%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.23%EV -10.11%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 13:59
DraftKings6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -9.32%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.57%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 14:00
888sport6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -9.32%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -10.53%E -2.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 13:59
William Hill6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -9.32%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -10.53%E -2.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 14:00
Bet Victor6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.32%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.79%E -3.70%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 13:59
LeoVegas6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -9.32%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.89%EV -9.35%E -6.68%K -23.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -8.40%E -1.95%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 14:00
Virgin Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -9.32%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.89%EV -9.35%E -6.68%K -23.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -8.40%E -1.95%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 14:00
Mr Green (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -9.32%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -16.92%E -4.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 14:00
888sport (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -9.32%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -16.92%E -4.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 14:00
PlayUp6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.32%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -9.35%E -6.68%K -23.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.53%E -2.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 12.81%EV -9.32%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 64.06%EV -15.83%E -12.18%K -52.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.13%EV -23.31%E -6.48%K -8.97%G +0.000%20.1%2026-05-16 14:00
1xBet6.43I 15.55%NM 14.54%EV -10.30%E -1.60%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.73%EV -3.53%E -2.37%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 22.74%EV -12.45%E -3.03%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 13:59
BetOnline.ag6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV -10.71%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.79%EV -4.17%E -2.82%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 14:00
LowVig.ag6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV -10.71%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.79%EV -4.17%E -2.82%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 14:00
BetAnything6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV -10.71%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.79%EV -4.17%E -2.82%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 13:59
Marathon Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -12.81%E -2.05%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -5.47%E -3.75%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 13:59
PMU (FR)6.25I 16.00%NM 13.53%EV -12.81%E -2.05%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 65.06%EV -15.83%E -12.18%K -52.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.41%EV -15.86%E -4.01%K -5.38%G +0.000%18.2%2026-05-16 14:00
BetMGM6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -16.29%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.01%EV -7.41%E -5.18%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -12.66%E -3.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.29%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.79%E -3.70%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 14:00
Coral6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.29%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.79%E -3.70%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.29%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.79%E -3.70%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 13:59
Neds6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.29%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.79%E -3.70%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 13:59
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 14.93%EV -16.29%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -7.41%E -5.18%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -14.79%E -3.70%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-16 14:00
BoyleSports6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -16.29%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -11.94%E -8.78%K -33.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -10.53%E -2.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-16 14:00
Unibet (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.51%EV -16.29%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.00%EV -11.94%E -8.78%K -33.18%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.49%EV -13.73%E -3.39%K -4.50%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-16 13:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.40%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-05-16 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.40%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-05-16 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.61%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.90%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.49%1.7%2026-05-16 14:00