The School of Odds

IFK Mariehamn v FC Lahti

2026-07-20 16:00 UTC — Veikkausliiga - Finland

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

IFK Mariehamn (Local)

Prediction 17.78%5.62fair odd
EV +1.35%
Edge +0.237%
Kelly +0.287%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 5.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.15%17.75%17.73%18.88%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.605.105.105.7022%20%20%18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

FC Lahti (Visit)

Prediction 59.95%1.67fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -2.55%
Kelly -6.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.38%59.95%59.98%61.39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.441.541.551.6069%65%65%63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 22.27%4.49fair odd
EV -0.907%
Edge -0.204%
Kelly -0.263%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.35%22.31%22.29%23.91%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.604.004.004.4528%25%25%22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV +1.35%E +0.237%K +0.287%G +0.004%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.39%EV -10.07%E -6.72%K -20.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -8.70%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-13 20:20
Betsson5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -3.99%E -0.738%K -0.906%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -7.08%E -4.56%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -5.36%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-13 20:20
NordicBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -3.99%E -0.738%K -0.906%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -7.08%E -4.56%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -5.36%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-13 20:19
Pinnacle5.37I 18.62%NM 17.67%EV -4.52%E -0.841%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.82%EV -6.48%E -4.15%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.51%EV -1.80%E -0.408%K -0.527%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-13 20:19
Marathon Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -5.76%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -7.08%E -4.56%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -6.47%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-13 20:20
SportsBet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -5.76%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -7.08%E -4.56%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -10.93%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-13 20:20
FanDuel5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -5.76%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.68%EV -7.67%E -4.98%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -10.93%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-13 20:20
Coolbet5.25I 19.05%NM 18.31%EV -6.65%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.08%EV -4.08%E -2.55%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.60%EV -0.907%E -0.204%K -0.263%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-13 20:20
GTbets5.25I 19.05%NM 17.93%EV -6.65%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -5.28%E -3.34%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.47%EV -6.70%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-14 01:35
Bet Right5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -6.65%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -7.08%E -4.56%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.93%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-13 20:20
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -6.65%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -7.67%E -4.98%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -10.93%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-13 20:19
1xBet5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -7.54%E -1.45%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -5.88%E -3.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -6.47%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-13 20:19
Unibet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -9.32%E -1.83%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -5.88%E -3.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -13.15%E -3.37%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-13 20:20
Grosvenor5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -9.32%E -1.83%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.62%EV -6.48%E -4.15%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -13.15%E -3.37%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-13 20:19
Unibet (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -9.32%E -1.83%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.62%EV -6.48%E -4.15%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -13.15%E -3.37%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-13 20:20
TABtouch5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -9.32%E -1.83%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.62%EV -6.48%E -4.15%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -13.15%E -3.37%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-13 20:19
Unibet (NL)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -9.32%E -1.83%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.62%EV -6.48%E -4.15%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -13.15%E -3.37%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-13 20:19
Casumo5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -9.32%E -1.83%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.62%EV -6.48%E -4.15%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -13.15%E -3.37%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-13 20:19
Svenska Spel5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -9.32%E -1.83%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.62%EV -6.48%E -4.15%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -13.15%E -3.37%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-13 20:19
ATG (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -9.32%E -1.83%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.62%EV -6.48%E -4.15%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -13.15%E -3.37%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-13 20:19
betPARX5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -9.32%E -1.83%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.62%EV -6.48%E -4.15%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -13.15%E -3.37%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-13 20:19
LeoVegas (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -9.32%E -1.83%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.44%EV -6.48%E -4.15%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -14.27%E -3.71%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-13 20:19
BetRivers5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -9.32%E -1.83%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.44%EV -6.48%E -4.15%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -14.27%E -3.71%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-13 20:19
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.10%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -5.88%E -3.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -4.25%E -0.988%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-14 01:31
DraftKings5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -11.10%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -7.67%E -4.98%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.47%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-13 20:19
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.10%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -7.08%E -4.56%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.93%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-13 20:19
LeoVegas5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -11.10%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.39%EV -8.27%E -5.41%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.44%EV -9.81%E -2.42%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-13 20:20
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.10%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.27%E -5.41%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.93%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-13 20:18
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.10%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.27%E -5.41%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.93%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-13 20:19
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.10%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.27%E -5.41%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.93%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-13 20:19
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.10%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.27%E -5.41%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.93%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-13 20:19
LiveScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -11.10%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.08%E -4.56%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -14.27%E -3.71%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-13 20:19
Virgin Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -11.10%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.08%E -4.56%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -14.27%E -3.71%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-13 20:20
betfred_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -11.10%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.27%E -5.41%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -16.49%E -4.40%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-13 20:19
PMU (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 17.89%EV -12.88%E -2.63%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.43%EV -10.07%E -6.72%K -20.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.69%EV -17.61%E -4.76%K -6.52%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-13 20:19
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -15.54%E -3.27%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -10.07%E -6.72%K -20.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -6.47%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-13 20:19
Unibet (FR)4.65I 21.51%NM 18.23%EV -17.32%E -3.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 58.86%EV -13.67%E -9.49%K -31.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.91%EV -17.61%E -4.76%K -6.52%G +0.000%18.0%2026-07-13 20:20
Sky Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 18.71%EV -18.21%E -3.96%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 57.38%EV -10.07%E -6.72%K -20.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.91%EV -19.84%E -5.51%K -7.63%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-13 20:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.