Language:English
IFK Mariehamn v FC Lahti
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
IFK Mariehamn (Local)
Prediction 16.45%6.08fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.213%
Kelly -0.256%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.26%16.40%16.47%17.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.535.506.0020.00%18.09%18.18%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Lahti (Visit)
Prediction 61.66%1.62fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -4.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.84%61.70%61.64%63.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.511.501.5869.44%66.43%66.67%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.88%4.57fair odd
EV +2.64%
Edge +0.562%
Kelly +0.715%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 4.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.55%21.90%21.89%23.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.104.004.6926.67%24.38%25.00%21.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IFK Mariehamn (Local): 16.45%; FC Lahti (Visit): 61.66%; Draw: 21.88%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.57. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.69, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.64%.
Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.06%EV -1.28%E -0.213%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.39%EV -6.27%E -4.13%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.55%EV +2.64%E +0.562%K +0.715%G +0.019% | 3.8% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| DraftKings | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -5.39%E -0.938%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.57%EV -6.89%E -4.56%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -1.52%E -0.338%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| Betway | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -8.74%E -5.91%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -1.52%E -0.338%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| Bovada | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -7.86%E -1.40%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.85%EV -6.27%E -4.13%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -3.71%E -0.843%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-20 14:34 |
| Coolbet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.71%EV -5.39%E -0.938%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.20%EV -3.19%E -2.03%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.09%EV -4.80%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-20 14:15 |
| 1xBet | 5.71I 17.51%NM 16.39%EV -6.05%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.99%EV -6.89%E -4.56%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -5.24%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| BetMGM | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -5.39%E -0.938%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.51%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -5.24%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.35%EV -6.22%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.13%EV -7.51%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -5.24%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -3.81%E -2.44%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.90%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-20 12:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -3.81%E -2.44%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.90%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-20 12:40 |
| BetUS | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -3.81%E -2.44%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.90%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-20 12:40 |
| BetAnything | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -3.81%E -2.44%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.90%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-20 12:40 |
| FanDuel | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -1.28%E -0.213%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -8.74%E -5.91%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.90%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-20 14:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.20%EV -6.27%E -4.13%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -6.99%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-20 14:15 |
| SportsBet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -1.28%E -0.213%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.02%EV -9.97%E -6.83%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -6.99%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -1.28%E -0.213%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -9.36%E -6.36%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -8.09%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| Everygame | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.51%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.09%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| GTbets | 5.68I 17.61%NM 16.81%EV -6.55%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.41%EV -2.57%E -1.63%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.78%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| Betsson | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -2.93%E -0.496%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -6.27%E -4.13%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -9.18%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| NordicBet | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -2.93%E -0.496%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -6.27%E -4.13%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -9.18%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-20 14:34 |
| LeoVegas | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.19%EV -7.51%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.12%EV -9.18%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| Bet Victor | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -7.51%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.27%E -2.51%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-20 12:39 |
| betano_uk | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -7.51%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.27%E -2.51%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-20 12:39 |
| Bet Right | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -5.39%E -0.938%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.79%EV -8.74%E -5.91%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -10.27%E -2.51%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.88%EV -12.80%E -2.41%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.29%EV -9.97%E -6.83%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.83%EV -10.27%E -2.51%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-20 14:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -1.28%E -0.213%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.74%E -5.91%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| betfred_uk | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.51%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-20 14:34 |
| 888sport | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.51%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-20 14:15 |
| William Hill | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.51%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-20 14:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.51%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-20 14:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.51%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-20 14:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -5.39%E -0.938%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -8.74%E -5.91%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -9.36%E -6.36%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-20 12:40 |
| Coral | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -13.62%E -2.59%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -8.74%E -5.91%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| Neds | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -13.62%E -2.59%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -8.74%E -5.91%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -13.62%E -2.59%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -8.74%E -5.91%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -13.62%E -2.59%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -8.74%E -5.91%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| Paddy Power | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.21%E -7.78%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-20 14:15 |
| Sky Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.21%E -7.78%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -17.73%E -3.55%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -11.21%E -7.78%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-07-20 14:15 |
| Unibet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -13.56%E -3.43%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-20 01:15 |
| Grosvenor | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -13.56%E -3.43%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-20 01:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -13.56%E -3.43%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-20 01:15 |
| TABtouch | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -13.56%E -3.43%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-20 01:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -13.56%E -3.43%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-20 01:15 |
| Casumo | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -13.56%E -3.43%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-20 01:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -13.56%E -3.43%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-20 01:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -13.56%E -3.43%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-20 01:15 |
| betPARX | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -13.56%E -3.43%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-20 01:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.84%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.84%EV -6.27%E -4.13%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -14.65%E -3.76%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-20 01:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.84%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.84%EV -6.27%E -4.13%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -14.65%E -3.76%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-20 01:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.99%EV -6.89%E -4.56%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -14.65%E -3.76%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-20 01:15 |
| BetRivers | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.99%EV -6.89%E -4.56%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -14.65%E -3.76%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-20 01:15 |
| PlayUp | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -7.51%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -15.75%E -4.09%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.74%EV -14.44%E -2.78%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.04%EV -10.59%E -7.30%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.22%EV -17.93%E -4.78%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-07-20 01:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.93% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.17% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90% | 1.5% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.93% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.17% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90% | 1.5% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.93% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.17% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90% | 1.5% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |