L’École des cotes

IFK Mariehamn v FC Lahti

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-20 16:00 UTC

Score final : IFK Mariehamn 0–2 FC Lahti

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IFK Mariehamn (Local)

Prévision 16.45%6.08cote équitable
EV -1.28%
Avantage -0.213%
Kelly -0.256%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.26%16.40%16.47%17.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.535.506.0020.00%18.09%18.18%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Lahti (Visiteur)

Prévision 61.66%1.62cote équitable
EV -2.57%
Avantage -1.63%
Kelly -4.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.84%61.70%61.64%63.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.511.501.5869.44%66.43%66.67%63.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.88%4.57cote équitable
EV +2.64%
Avantage +0.562%
Kelly +0.715%
Croissance +0.019%

avec la cote maximale 4.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.55%21.90%21.89%23.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.104.004.6926.67%24.38%25.00%21.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle6.00I 16.67%NM 16.06%EV -1.28%E -0.213%K -0.256%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.39%EV -6.27%E -4.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.55%EV +2.64%E +0.562%K +0.715%G +0.019%3.8%2026-07-20 14:35
DraftKings5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -5.39%E -0.938%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.57%EV -6.89%E -4.56%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -1.52%E -0.338%K -0.434%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 14:35
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -8.74%E -5.91%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -1.52%E -0.338%K -0.434%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-20 14:35
Bovada5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -7.86%E -1.40%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.85%EV -6.27%E -4.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -3.71%E -0.843%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-20 14:34
Coolbet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.71%EV -5.39%E -0.938%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.20%EV -3.19%E -2.03%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.09%EV -4.80%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 14:15
1xBet5.71I 17.51%NM 16.39%EV -6.05%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.99%EV -6.89%E -4.56%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -5.24%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-20 14:35
BetMGM5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -5.39%E -0.938%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.51%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -5.24%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-20 14:35
Marathon Bet5.70I 17.54%NM 16.35%EV -6.22%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.13%EV -7.51%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -5.24%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-20 14:35
LowVig.ag5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -3.81%E -2.44%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.90%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-20 12:40
BetOnline.ag5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -3.81%E -2.44%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.90%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-20 12:40
BetUS5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -3.81%E -2.44%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.90%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-20 12:40
BetAnything5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -3.81%E -2.44%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.90%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-20 12:40
FanDuel6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -1.28%E -0.213%K -0.256%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -8.74%E -5.91%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.90%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-20 14:34
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.20%EV -6.27%E -4.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -6.99%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-20 14:15
SportsBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -1.28%E -0.213%K -0.256%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.02%EV -9.97%E -6.83%K -21.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -6.99%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-20 14:35
Tipico (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -1.28%E -0.213%K -0.256%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -9.36%E -6.36%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -8.09%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 14:35
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.51%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.09%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-20 14:35
GTbets5.68I 17.61%NM 16.81%EV -6.55%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.41%EV -2.57%E -1.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.78%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 14:35
Betsson5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -2.93%E -0.496%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -6.27%E -4.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -9.18%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-20 14:35
NordicBet5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -2.93%E -0.496%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -6.27%E -4.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -9.18%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-20 14:34
LeoVegas5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.19%EV -7.51%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.12%EV -9.18%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-20 14:35
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -7.51%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.27%E -2.51%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 12:39
betano_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -7.51%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.27%E -2.51%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 12:39
Bet Right5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -5.39%E -0.938%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.79%EV -8.74%E -5.91%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -10.27%E -2.51%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-20 14:35
Unibet (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 16.88%EV -12.80%E -2.41%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 61.29%EV -9.97%E -6.83%K -21.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.83%EV -10.27%E -2.51%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-20 14:15
PointsBet (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -1.28%E -0.213%K -0.256%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.74%E -5.91%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 14:35
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.51%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-20 14:34
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.51%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-20 14:15
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.51%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-20 14:15
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.51%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-20 14:15
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.51%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-20 14:15
Betr (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -5.39%E -0.938%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -8.74%E -5.91%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-20 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -9.36%E -6.36%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 12:40
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -13.62%E -2.59%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -8.74%E -5.91%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-20 14:35
Neds5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -13.62%E -2.59%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -8.74%E -5.91%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-20 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -13.62%E -2.59%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -8.74%E -5.91%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-20 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -13.62%E -2.59%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -8.74%E -5.91%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-20 14:35
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.21%E -7.78%K -25.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-20 14:15
Sky Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.21%E -7.78%K -25.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-20 14:35
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -17.73%E -3.55%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -11.21%E -7.78%K -25.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-20 14:15
Unibet5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -13.56%E -3.43%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 01:15
Grosvenor5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -13.56%E -3.43%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 01:15
Unibet (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -13.56%E -3.43%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 01:15
TABtouch5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -13.56%E -3.43%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 01:15
Unibet (NL)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -13.56%E -3.43%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 01:15
Casumo5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -13.56%E -3.43%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 01:15
Svenska Spel5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -13.56%E -3.43%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 01:15
ATG (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -13.56%E -3.43%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 01:15
betPARX5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -13.56%E -3.43%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 01:20
LiveScore Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 16.84%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.84%EV -6.27%E -4.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -14.65%E -3.76%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-20 01:15
Virgin Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 16.84%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.84%EV -6.27%E -4.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -14.65%E -3.76%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-20 01:15
LeoVegas (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.99%EV -6.89%E -4.56%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -14.65%E -3.76%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-20 01:15
BetRivers5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.99%EV -6.89%E -4.56%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -14.65%E -3.76%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-20 01:15
PlayUp5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -7.51%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -15.75%E -4.09%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-20 14:35
PMU (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 16.74%EV -14.44%E -2.78%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 60.04%EV -10.59%E -7.30%K -23.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.22%EV -17.93%E -4.78%K -6.52%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-20 01:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-07-20 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.60I 15.15%NM 14.93%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.17%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%1.5%2026-07-20 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.60I 15.15%NM 14.93%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.17%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%1.5%2026-07-20 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.60I 15.15%NM 14.93%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.17%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%1.5%2026-07-20 14:35