La escuela de los momios

IFK Mariehamn v FC Lahti

Inicio: 2026-07-20 16:00 UTC

Final: IFK Mariehamn 0–2 FC Lahti

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IFK Mariehamn (Local)

Predicción 16.45%6.08momio equitativo
EV -1.28%
Ventaja -0.213%
Kelly -0.256%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.26%16.40%16.47%17.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.535.506.0020.00%18.09%18.18%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Lahti (Visitante)

Predicción 61.66%1.62momio equitativo
EV -2.57%
Ventaja -1.63%
Kelly -4.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.84%61.70%61.64%63.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.511.501.5869.44%66.43%66.67%63.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.88%4.57momio equitativo
EV +2.64%
Ventaja +0.562%
Kelly +0.715%
Crecimiento +0.019%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.55%21.90%21.89%23.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.104.004.6926.67%24.38%25.00%21.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle6.00I 16.67%NM 16.06%EV -1.28%E -0.213%K -0.256%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.39%EV -6.27%E -4.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.55%EV +2.64%E +0.562%K +0.715%G +0.019%3.8%2026-07-20 14:35
DraftKings5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -5.39%E -0.938%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.57%EV -6.89%E -4.56%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -1.52%E -0.338%K -0.434%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 14:35
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -8.74%E -5.91%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -1.52%E -0.338%K -0.434%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-20 14:35
Bovada5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -7.86%E -1.40%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.85%EV -6.27%E -4.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -3.71%E -0.843%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-20 14:34
Coolbet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.71%EV -5.39%E -0.938%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.20%EV -3.19%E -2.03%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.09%EV -4.80%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 14:15
1xBet5.71I 17.51%NM 16.39%EV -6.05%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.99%EV -6.89%E -4.56%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -5.24%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-20 14:35
BetMGM5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -5.39%E -0.938%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.51%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -5.24%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-20 14:35
Marathon Bet5.70I 17.54%NM 16.35%EV -6.22%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.13%EV -7.51%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -5.24%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-20 14:35
LowVig.ag5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -3.81%E -2.44%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.90%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-20 12:40
BetOnline.ag5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -3.81%E -2.44%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.90%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-20 12:40
BetUS5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -3.81%E -2.44%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.90%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-20 12:40
BetAnything5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -3.81%E -2.44%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.90%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-20 12:40
FanDuel6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -1.28%E -0.213%K -0.256%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -8.74%E -5.91%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.90%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-20 14:34
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.20%EV -6.27%E -4.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -6.99%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-20 14:15
SportsBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -1.28%E -0.213%K -0.256%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.02%EV -9.97%E -6.83%K -21.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -6.99%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-20 14:35
Tipico (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -1.28%E -0.213%K -0.256%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -9.36%E -6.36%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -8.09%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 14:35
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.51%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.09%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-20 14:35
GTbets5.68I 17.61%NM 16.81%EV -6.55%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.41%EV -2.57%E -1.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.78%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 14:35
Betsson5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -2.93%E -0.496%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -6.27%E -4.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -9.18%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-20 14:35
NordicBet5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -2.93%E -0.496%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -6.27%E -4.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -9.18%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-20 14:34
LeoVegas5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.19%EV -7.51%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.12%EV -9.18%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-20 14:35
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -7.51%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.27%E -2.51%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 12:39
betano_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -7.51%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.27%E -2.51%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 12:39
Bet Right5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -5.39%E -0.938%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.79%EV -8.74%E -5.91%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -10.27%E -2.51%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-20 14:35
Unibet (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 16.88%EV -12.80%E -2.41%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 61.29%EV -9.97%E -6.83%K -21.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.83%EV -10.27%E -2.51%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-20 14:15
PointsBet (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -1.28%E -0.213%K -0.256%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.74%E -5.91%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 14:35
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.51%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-20 14:34
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.51%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-20 14:15
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.51%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-20 14:15
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.51%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-20 14:15
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.51%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-20 14:15
Betr (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -5.39%E -0.938%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -8.74%E -5.91%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-20 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -9.36%E -6.36%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 12:40
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -13.62%E -2.59%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -8.74%E -5.91%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-20 14:35
Neds5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -13.62%E -2.59%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -8.74%E -5.91%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-20 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -13.62%E -2.59%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -8.74%E -5.91%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-20 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -13.62%E -2.59%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -8.74%E -5.91%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-20 14:35
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.21%E -7.78%K -25.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-20 14:15
Sky Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.21%E -7.78%K -25.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-20 14:35
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -17.73%E -3.55%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -11.21%E -7.78%K -25.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-20 14:15
Unibet5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -13.56%E -3.43%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 01:15
Grosvenor5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -13.56%E -3.43%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 01:15
Unibet (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -13.56%E -3.43%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 01:15
TABtouch5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -13.56%E -3.43%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 01:15
Unibet (NL)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -13.56%E -3.43%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 01:15
Casumo5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -13.56%E -3.43%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 01:15
Svenska Spel5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -13.56%E -3.43%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 01:15
ATG (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -13.56%E -3.43%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 01:15
betPARX5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -13.56%E -3.43%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 01:20
LiveScore Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 16.84%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.84%EV -6.27%E -4.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -14.65%E -3.76%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-20 01:15
Virgin Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 16.84%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.84%EV -6.27%E -4.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -14.65%E -3.76%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-20 01:15
LeoVegas (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.99%EV -6.89%E -4.56%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -14.65%E -3.76%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-20 01:15
BetRivers5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -11.15%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.99%EV -6.89%E -4.56%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -14.65%E -3.76%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-20 01:15
PlayUp5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -9.51%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -7.51%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -15.75%E -4.09%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-20 14:35
PMU (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 16.74%EV -14.44%E -2.78%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 60.04%EV -10.59%E -7.30%K -23.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.22%EV -17.93%E -4.78%K -6.52%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-20 01:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-07-20 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.60I 15.15%NM 14.93%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.17%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%1.5%2026-07-20 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.60I 15.15%NM 14.93%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.17%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%1.5%2026-07-20 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.60I 15.15%NM 14.93%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.17%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%1.5%2026-07-20 14:35