Language:English
IF Gnistan v HJK Helsinki
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
IF Gnistan (Local)
Prediction 24.57%4.07fair odd
EV +4.93%
Edge +1.15%
Kelly +1.51%
Growth +0.074%
assuming max odds 4.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.50%24.44%24.56%26.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.763.754.2729.41%26.60%26.67%23.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
HJK Helsinki (Visit)
Prediction 51.42%1.94fair odd
EV -3.85%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -4.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.51%51.57%51.39%54.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.771.771.8761.35%56.46%56.50%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.01%4.17fair odd
EV +2.03%
Edge +0.478%
Kelly +0.625%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.60%23.99%24.06%25.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.803.804.2528.17%26.33%26.32%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IF Gnistan (Local): 24.57%; HJK Helsinki (Visit): 51.42%; Draw: 24.01%. For IF Gnistan (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.07. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.27, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.93%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV +4.93%E +1.15%K +1.51%G +0.074% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -10.02%E -5.72%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV +2.03%E +0.478%K +0.625%G +0.013% | 4.1% | 2026-09-18 06:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.09I 24.45%NM 22.73%EV +0.504%E +0.123%K +0.163%G +0.001% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.81%EV -9.50%E -5.40%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.77%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-18 05:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -2.94%E -0.743%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86%EV -6.42%E -3.53%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -13.57%E -3.77%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -2.94%E -0.743%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86%EV -6.42%E -3.53%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -13.57%E -3.77%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.50%EV -3.18%E -0.808%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.61%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.89%EV -3.01%E -0.745%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -4.17%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.77%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -4.17%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.99%E -5.08%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -4.17%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -9.50%E -5.40%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.77%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.39%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.56%EV -6.42%E -3.53%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-18 15:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.39%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.56%EV -6.42%E -3.53%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -5.90%E -3.23%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -5.17%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -5.90%E -3.23%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -10.53%E -6.05%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -7.57%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-18 12:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -10.53%E -6.05%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -7.57%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-18 12:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -10.53%E -6.05%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -7.57%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-18 12:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -10.53%E -6.05%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -7.57%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-18 12:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -10.53%E -6.05%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -7.57%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-18 12:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -10.53%E -6.05%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -7.57%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-18 12:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -10.53%E -6.05%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -7.57%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-18 12:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -10.53%E -6.05%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -7.57%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-18 12:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -10.53%E -6.05%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -7.57%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-18 12:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.18%EV -11.04%E -6.38%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.79I 26.39%NM 24.67%EV -6.87%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -6.42%E -3.53%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.71%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -5.17%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.71%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -5.17%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.71%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -5.17%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -8.99%E -5.08%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -12.37%E -3.39%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-18 14:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -12.59%E -7.40%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-18 12:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -12.59%E -7.40%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-18 12:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -9.08%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -8.77%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -9.08%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -8.77%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -9.08%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -8.47%E -4.76%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -7.57%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -9.08%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -10.02%E -5.72%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.57%E -3.77%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -9.08%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -10.02%E -5.72%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.57%E -3.77%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -9.08%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -10.02%E -5.72%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.57%E -3.77%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -9.08%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -10.02%E -5.72%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.57%E -3.77%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -9.08%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.57%EV -13.62%E -8.10%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-18 12:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -9.08%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.57%EV -13.62%E -8.10%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-18 12:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.54%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.77%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.54%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.77%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-18 15:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.54%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.77%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.54%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -11.54%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.78%EV -8.47%E -4.76%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -11.54%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.99%EV -11.04%E -6.38%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -13.57%E -3.77%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.76%EV -11.54%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 52.48%EV -16.19%E -9.93%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.76%EV -13.57%E -3.77%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-09-18 12:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.09%EV -12.77%E -3.60%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 51.82%EV -15.16%E -9.19%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.09%EV -14.77%E -4.16%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-09-18 15:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -13.99%E -4.00%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-16 16:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.60%EV -16.45%E -4.84%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.19%EV -12.59%E -7.40%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.21%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 0.8% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.32% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 0.8% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.32% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 0.8% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |