A Escola das Oddsodds.school
Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IF Gnistan v HJK Helsinki

Início: 2026-09-18 16:00 UTC

Final: IF Gnistan 1–1 HJK Helsinki

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IF Gnistan (Local)

Previsão 24.57%4.07odd justa
EV +4.93%
Vantagem +1.15%
Kelly +1.51%
Crescimento +0.074%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.50%24.44%24.56%26.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.763.754.2729.41%26.60%26.67%23.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

HJK Helsinki (Visitante)

Previsão 51.42%1.94odd justa
EV -3.85%
Vantagem -2.06%
Kelly -4.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.51%51.57%51.39%54.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.631.771.771.8761.35%56.46%56.50%53.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.01%4.17odd justa
EV +2.03%
Vantagem +0.478%
Kelly +0.625%
Crescimento +0.013%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.60%23.99%24.06%25.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.553.803.804.2528.17%26.33%26.32%23.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: IF Gnistan (Local): 24.57%; HJK Helsinki (Visitante): 51.42%; Empate: 24.01%. Para IF Gnistan (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.07. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.27, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.93%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV +4.93%E +1.15%K +1.51%G +0.074%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -10.02%E -5.72%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV +2.03%E +0.478%K +0.625%G +0.013%4.1%2026-09-18 06:05
GTbets🎯4.09I 24.45%NM 22.73%EV +0.504%E +0.123%K +0.163%G +0.001%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.81%EV -9.50%E -5.40%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.77%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 05:00
Betsson🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -2.94%E -0.743%K -0.995%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86%EV -6.42%E -3.53%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -13.57%E -3.77%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 15:10
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -2.94%E -0.743%K -0.995%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86%EV -6.42%E -3.53%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -13.57%E -3.77%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 15:10
Pinnacle🎯3.94I 25.38%NM 24.50%EV -3.18%E -0.808%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.61%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.89%EV -3.01%E -0.745%K -0.990%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-18 15:30
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -4.17%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.77%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 15:10
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -4.17%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.99%E -5.08%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-18 15:15
SportsBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -4.17%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -9.50%E -5.40%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.77%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 15:30
Bovada🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.39%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.56%EV -6.42%E -3.53%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 15:24
BetUS🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.39%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.56%EV -6.42%E -3.53%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 15:25
DraftKings🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -5.90%E -3.23%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -5.17%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -5.90%E -3.23%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 15:15
Marathon Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 15:15
Unibet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -10.53%E -6.05%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -7.57%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 12:49
Unibet (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -10.53%E -6.05%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -7.57%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 12:50
Grosvenor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -10.53%E -6.05%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -7.57%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 12:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -10.53%E -6.05%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -7.57%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 12:50
TABtouch🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -10.53%E -6.05%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -7.57%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 12:50
Casumo🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -10.53%E -6.05%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -7.57%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 12:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -10.53%E -6.05%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -7.57%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 12:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -10.53%E -6.05%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -7.57%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 12:50
betPARX🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -10.53%E -6.05%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -7.57%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 12:50
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.18%EV -11.04%E -6.38%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 15:30
1xBet🎯3.79I 26.39%NM 24.67%EV -6.87%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -6.42%E -3.53%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.71%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -5.17%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 15:20
BetOnline.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.71%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -5.17%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 15:20
BetAnything🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.71%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -5.17%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 15:25
888sport🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 15:10
William Hill🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 15:10
PlayUp🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -8.99%E -5.08%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -12.37%E -3.39%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 14:35
BetRivers🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -12.59%E -7.40%K -17.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -12.59%E -7.40%K -17.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 12:50
LeoVegas🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -9.08%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -8.77%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 15:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -9.08%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -8.77%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 15:20
Bet Right🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -9.08%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -8.47%E -4.76%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -7.57%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -9.08%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -10.02%E -5.72%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.57%E -3.77%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 15:10
Neds🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -9.08%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -10.02%E -5.72%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.57%E -3.77%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -9.08%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -10.02%E -5.72%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.57%E -3.77%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 15:10
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -9.08%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -10.02%E -5.72%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.57%E -3.77%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 15:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -9.08%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.57%EV -13.62%E -8.10%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-18 12:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -9.08%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.57%EV -13.62%E -8.10%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-18 12:50
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.54%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.77%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 15:30
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.54%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.77%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 15:24
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.54%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.77%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 15:20
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.54%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -11.54%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.78%EV -8.47%E -4.76%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 15:20
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -11.54%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.99%EV -11.04%E -6.38%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -13.57%E -3.77%K -5.22%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-18 15:20
PMU (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 23.76%EV -11.54%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 52.48%EV -16.19%E -9.93%K -25.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.76%EV -13.57%E -3.77%K -5.22%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-18 12:50
Unibet (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.09%EV -12.77%E -3.60%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 51.82%EV -15.16%E -9.19%K -23.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.09%EV -14.77%E -4.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-18 15:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -13.99%E -4.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-16 16:00
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.60%EV -16.45%E -4.84%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.19%EV -12.59%E -7.40%K -17.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.21%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-18 15:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%0.8%2026-09-18 15:30
Matchbook◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%0.8%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-09-18 15:30