L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

IF Gnistan v HJK Helsinki

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-18 16:00 UTC

Score final : IF Gnistan 1–1 HJK Helsinki

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IF Gnistan (Local)

Prévision 24.57%4.07cote équitable
EV +4.93%
Avantage +1.15%
Kelly +1.51%
Croissance +0.074%

avec la cote maximale 4.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.50%24.44%24.56%26.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.763.754.2729.41%26.60%26.67%23.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

HJK Helsinki (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.42%1.94cote équitable
EV -3.85%
Avantage -2.06%
Kelly -4.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.51%51.57%51.39%54.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.631.771.771.8761.35%56.46%56.50%53.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.01%4.17cote équitable
EV +2.03%
Avantage +0.478%
Kelly +0.625%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 4.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.60%23.99%24.06%25.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.553.803.804.2528.17%26.33%26.32%23.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : IF Gnistan (Local) : 24.57% ; HJK Helsinki (Visiteur) : 51.42% ; Match nul : 24.01%. Pour IF Gnistan (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.07. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.27, soit une espérance positive de +4.93%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV +4.93%E +1.15%K +1.51%G +0.074%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -10.02%E -5.72%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV +2.03%E +0.478%K +0.625%G +0.013%4.1%2026-09-18 06:05
GTbets🎯4.09I 24.45%NM 22.73%EV +0.504%E +0.123%K +0.163%G +0.001%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.81%EV -9.50%E -5.40%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.77%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 05:00
Betsson🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -2.94%E -0.743%K -0.995%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86%EV -6.42%E -3.53%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -13.57%E -3.77%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 15:10
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -2.94%E -0.743%K -0.995%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86%EV -6.42%E -3.53%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -13.57%E -3.77%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 15:10
Pinnacle🎯3.94I 25.38%NM 24.50%EV -3.18%E -0.808%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.61%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.89%EV -3.01%E -0.745%K -0.990%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-18 15:30
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -4.17%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.77%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 15:10
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -4.17%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.99%E -5.08%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-18 15:15
SportsBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -4.17%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -9.50%E -5.40%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.77%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 15:30
Bovada🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.39%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.56%EV -6.42%E -3.53%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 15:24
BetUS🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.39%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.56%EV -6.42%E -3.53%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 15:25
DraftKings🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -5.90%E -3.23%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -5.17%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -5.90%E -3.23%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 15:15
Marathon Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 15:15
Unibet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -10.53%E -6.05%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -7.57%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 12:49
Unibet (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -10.53%E -6.05%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -7.57%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 12:50
Grosvenor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -10.53%E -6.05%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -7.57%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 12:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -10.53%E -6.05%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -7.57%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 12:50
TABtouch🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -10.53%E -6.05%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -7.57%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 12:50
Casumo🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -10.53%E -6.05%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -7.57%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 12:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -10.53%E -6.05%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -7.57%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 12:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -10.53%E -6.05%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -7.57%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 12:50
betPARX🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -10.53%E -6.05%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -7.57%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 12:50
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.18%EV -11.04%E -6.38%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 15:30
1xBet🎯3.79I 26.39%NM 24.67%EV -6.87%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -6.42%E -3.53%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.71%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -5.17%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 15:20
BetOnline.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.71%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -5.17%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 15:20
BetAnything🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.71%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -5.17%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 15:25
888sport🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 15:10
William Hill🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 15:10
PlayUp🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -8.99%E -5.08%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -12.37%E -3.39%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 14:35
BetRivers🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -12.59%E -7.40%K -17.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -12.59%E -7.40%K -17.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 12:50
LeoVegas🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -9.08%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -8.77%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 15:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -9.08%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -8.77%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 15:20
Bet Right🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -9.08%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -8.47%E -4.76%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -7.57%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -9.08%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -10.02%E -5.72%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.57%E -3.77%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 15:10
Neds🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -9.08%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -10.02%E -5.72%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.57%E -3.77%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -9.08%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -10.02%E -5.72%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.57%E -3.77%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 15:10
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -9.08%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -10.02%E -5.72%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.57%E -3.77%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 15:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -9.08%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.57%EV -13.62%E -8.10%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-18 12:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -9.08%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.57%EV -13.62%E -8.10%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-18 12:50
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.54%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.77%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 15:30
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.54%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.77%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 15:24
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.54%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.77%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 15:20
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.54%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -11.54%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.78%EV -8.47%E -4.76%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 15:20
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -11.54%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.99%EV -11.04%E -6.38%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -13.57%E -3.77%K -5.22%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-18 15:20
PMU (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 23.76%EV -11.54%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 52.48%EV -16.19%E -9.93%K -25.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.76%EV -13.57%E -3.77%K -5.22%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-18 12:50
Unibet (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.09%EV -12.77%E -3.60%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 51.82%EV -15.16%E -9.19%K -23.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.09%EV -14.77%E -4.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-18 15:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -13.99%E -4.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-16 16:00
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.60%EV -16.45%E -4.84%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.19%EV -12.59%E -7.40%K -17.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.21%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-18 15:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%0.8%2026-09-18 15:30
Matchbook◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%0.8%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-09-18 15:30