Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

IF Gnistan v AC Oulu

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 16:02 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IF Gnistan (Local)

Prediction 33.90%2.95fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -0.465%
Kelly -0.708%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.59%33.93%33.87%34.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.722.752.9140.00%36.71%36.36%34.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AC Oulu (Visit)

Prediction 39.68%2.52fair odd
EV -3.19%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.22%39.62%39.72%40.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.302.302.4447.62%43.48%43.48%40.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.43%3.78fair odd
EV -3.55%
Edge -0.972%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.10%26.45%26.41%28.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.453.453.6534.72%28.98%28.99%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IF Gnistan (Local): 33.90%; AC Oulu (Visit): 39.68%; Draw: 26.43%. For IF Gnistan (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.95. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.91, with an expected value of -1.35%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 33.05%EV -1.35%E -0.465%K -0.708%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.24%EV -5.18%E -2.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.71%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 15:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.52%EV -1.69%E -0.583%K -0.890%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.84%EV -3.19%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.63%EV -3.55%E -0.972%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-04 16:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.52%EV -1.69%E -0.583%K -0.890%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.84%EV -3.19%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.63%EV -3.55%E -0.972%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-04 16:00
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.13%EV -1.69%E -0.583%K -0.890%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.54%EV -5.97%E -2.52%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -3.55%E -0.972%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 15:58
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -5.08%E -1.81%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:00
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -5.08%E -1.81%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -5.08%E -1.81%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -5.08%E -1.81%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:00
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -5.08%E -1.81%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -5.08%E -1.81%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:00
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -5.08%E -1.81%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -5.08%E -1.81%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -5.08%E -1.81%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:00
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -5.08%E -1.81%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.44%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.05%EV -7.56%E -3.24%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.98%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 16:00
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -5.76%E -2.07%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 16:00
NordicBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -5.76%E -2.07%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 16:00
GTbets🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.07%EV -6.10%E -2.20%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -5.18%E -2.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.44%EV -5.66%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 15:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.78%E -2.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 16:00
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -6.78%E -2.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 16:00
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.78%E -2.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.51%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 16:00
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.78%E -2.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.75%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 15:59
BetAnything🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.78%E -2.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.75%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 15:59
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.78%E -2.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.75%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.15%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 16:00
Everygame🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.78%E -2.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -8.75%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -11.47%E -3.43%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 15:59
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -6.78%E -2.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 16:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -6.78%E -2.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 16:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -6.78%E -2.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 16:00
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -8.47%E -3.14%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -4.78%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -6.19%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 16:00
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.47%E -3.14%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -4.78%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -12.80%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 15:59
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.47%E -3.14%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -4.78%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -12.80%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 16:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.47%E -3.14%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -4.78%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -12.80%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 15:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.47%E -3.14%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -4.78%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -12.80%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 15:59
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.47%E -3.14%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.75%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.15%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 16:00
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.47%E -3.14%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -8.75%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -11.47%E -3.43%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 16:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.59%EV -8.47%E -3.14%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.74%EV -14.30%E -6.62%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -12.80%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-04 16:00
1xBet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.81%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.86%EV -4.34%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 15:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -10.17%E -3.84%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.51%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 16:00
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -10.17%E -3.84%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -8.75%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 15:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -10.17%E -3.84%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -8.75%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.84%E -4.12%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.15%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 15:59
Neds🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.84%E -4.12%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.15%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 15:59
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -10.84%E -4.12%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -8.75%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -14.12%E -4.34%K -6.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 16:00
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -11.18%E -4.27%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.75%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 15:58
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -11.18%E -4.27%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -8.75%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.80%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 16:00
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.18%E -4.27%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.15%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.18%E -4.27%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.15%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 16:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -11.86%E -4.56%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 15:59
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.51%EV -15.25%E -6.10%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.12%EV -14.70%E -6.84%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.37%EV -10.15%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-04 15:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.97%EV -15.25%E -6.10%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.50%EV -14.70%E -6.84%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.54%EV -15.44%E -4.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-04 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 32.70%EV -15.25%E -6.10%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 38.92%EV -16.68%E -7.94%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.38%EV -23.89%E -8.30%K -12.71%G +0.000%22.3%2026-04-04 16:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.82%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69%1.3%2026-04-04 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.82%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69%1.3%2026-04-04 16:00
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 33.82%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69%1.3%2026-04-04 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.85%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.26%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%1.9%2026-04-04 16:00